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Fresno State vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 63-72
26-35 37-37
Position#275
Record6-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#20
Record10-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fresno State v Utah State
30 Dec 2025
FRES63
UTAH72
07 Feb 2025
FRES81
UTAH89
27 Feb 2024
FRES73
UTAH77
28 Jan 2023
FRES53
UTAH70
18 Jan 2022
FRES61
UTAH54
06 Mar 2021
FRES51
UTAH57
06 Feb 2021
FRES v UTAH
upcoming
04 Feb 2021
FRES53
UTAH69
15 Feb 2020
FRES59
UTAH71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-20
54-42
30-42
43-36
33-40
42-34
39-42
41-36
41-37
44-39
27-35
49-18
40-34
31-42
24-34
34-48
37-47
50-42
41-39
31-45
151.1Avg total
75.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.172.5148.6+3.650%
Season at home (9)77.368.3145.7+9.067%
Season away (3)72.385.0157.3-12.70%
Last 10 (10)75.975.2151.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)72.876.8149.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.880.6149.4-11.815%
vs Similar (7)76.473.6150.0+2.943%
vs Weaker (2)73.564.5138.0+9.050%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H13/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
35-41
41-41
42-32
34-20
41-31
40-40
56-35
48-30
46-30
36-34
33-35
20-41
41-33
44-30
35-23
40-33
43-45
45-24
55-34
151.5Avg total
83.5Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.966.7152.6+19.291%
Season at home (7)87.967.4155.3+20.4100%
Season away (4)82.565.5148.0+17.075%
Last 10 (10)83.568.0151.5+15.590%
Last 5 (5)81.468.8150.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)71.580.0151.5-8.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.664.9150.5+20.695%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +8.8+8.8
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +8.8+8.8
Fresno StateUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#328
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/12
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.835.967.7-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.432.364.6+0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)31.040.771.7-9.723%-
Last 10 (10)34.037.071.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.871.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.437.967.2-8.515%-
vs Similar (7)36.631.968.4+4.786%-
vs Weaker (2)33.534.568.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H20/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.533.171.7+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.929.870.8+11.188%-
Last 30 away (14)35.836.972.7-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.332.972.2+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)33.237.370.5-4.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.630.772.4+10.979%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
9
Utah State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AUNLV72-84
11/12/25ACS Northridge87-89
06/12/25AArkansas58-82
30/11/25HCSU Bakersfield71-76
27/11/25HPepperdine76-53
22/11/25HNew Orleans85-76
19/11/25HStephen F. Austin80-78
16/11/25HUtah Valley State75-74
13/11/25HUC San Diego73-78
08/11/25HLong Beach State82-62
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HColorado State100-58
13/12/25HIllinois State83-78
07/12/25ACharlotte79-53
05/12/25ASouth Florida61-74
29/11/25HMontana State84-81 OT
24/11/25ADavidson94-60
21/11/25ATulane96-75
15/11/25HUTEP75-51
13/11/25HWeber State83-73
08/11/25HVCU Rams80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game76.177.372.3
Allowed / game72.568.385.0
Point differential+3.6+9.0-12.7
Avg total148.6145.7157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %91%100%75%
Points / game85.987.982.5
Allowed / game66.767.465.5
Point differential+19.2+20.4+17.0
Avg total152.6155.3148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%57%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1110191%85.966.7+19.2
2 New Mexico1210283%82.068.6+13.4
3 Wyoming1310377%85.071.3+13.7
4 Colorado State129375%83.472.2+11.2
5 Nevada129375%77.772.3+5.3
6 Grand Canyon128467%76.868.8+8.1
7 Boise State128467%77.070.4+6.6
8 San Diego State117464%82.072.5+9.5
9 Fresno State126650%76.172.5+3.6
10 UNLV126650%81.878.8+3.1
11 San Jose State125742%74.875.0-0.2
12 Air Force1331023%64.873.7-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State263763
Utah State353772
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