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Galatasaray vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-78
11-20 31-19 27-19 29-20
Position#20
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#28
Record4-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Sinan Erdem Dome
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galatasaray winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GalatasarayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A01/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
87avg 75
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 75
H08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
74-76
74
76
-2
66avg 75
A15/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
L
77-88
77
88
-11
68avg 75
H18/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
62-74
62
74
-12
50avg 75
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
95-76
95
76
+19
96avg 75
A29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
92avg 75
A01/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
75-76
75
76
-1
61avg 75
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
72-75
72
75
-3
52avg 75
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
20-23
15-16
22-27
25-18
21-22
27-16
20-21
12-20
28-13
18-23
27-25
16-22
20-24
17-16
21-14
19-30
23-22
17-19
18-17
18-22
17-16
15-18
12-18
22-19
23-16
23-24
27-17
16-24
24-11
20-23
23-25
19-23
20-19
20-20
16-14
29-18
9-28
20-8
14-21
161.9Avg total
80.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.593.5180.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)77.088.0165.0-11.00%
Season away (1)96.099.0195.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)80.681.3161.9-0.730%
Last 5 (5)80.080.0160.0+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.484.5164.9-4.130%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.581.8160.3-3.438%
vs Weaker (7)82.677.4160.0+5.157%
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#6
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 81
A29/09
Champions League
Vitoria
#7
W
107-66
107
66
+41
110avg 81
H04/10
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
110-70
110
70
+40
109avg 81
H07/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
63avg 81
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
71-78
71
78
-7
66avg 81
H13/10
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
50avg 81
A21/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
103-58
103
58
+45
101avg 81
H28/10
LPB
PAOK
#32
W
94-72
94
72
+22
93avg 81
H01/11
Champions League
Galomar
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 81
A04/11
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
66-84
66
84
-18
55avg 81
H08/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
18-26
24-15
24-13
28-17
25-22
25-10
29-17
29-15
13-25
38-10
30-20
20-17
15-27
14-19
24-11
24-21
14-18
13-20
20-19
14-20
10-16
16-14
22-29
23-15
31-16
18-7
31-20
17-15
23-26
28-19
26-12
17-8
20-15
24-30
17-17
24-17
15-29
15-18
12-20
157.1Avg total
84.7Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.470.0160.4+20.480%
Season at home (4)92.269.2161.5+23.075%
Season away (1)83.073.0156.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.772.4157.1+12.360%
Last 5 (5)80.672.6153.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.080.0176.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.877.2151.0-3.550%
vs Weaker (23)94.471.3165.7+23.083%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +5.7+5.7
GalatasarayBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A01/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A15/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H18/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A01/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.6Avg total
40.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.779.6-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.639.979.5-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.479.8-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.581.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.142.581.6-3.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.639.076.6-1.454%-
vs Weaker (7)41.341.182.4+0.143%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A29/09
Champions League
Vitoria
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H04/10
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H07/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/10
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A21/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H28/10
LPB
PAOK
#32
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/11
Champions League
Galomar
#10
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A04/11
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
Champions League
78.1Avg total
39.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.536.683.1+9.977%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.537.684.1+8.972%-
Last 30 away (12)46.635.281.8+11.483%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.478.1+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.474.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.841.280.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (23)47.335.883.0+11.583%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.6
49.6%
51.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.0
32.4%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.113.2
77.2%
74.5%13.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.4
53.6%
51.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.1
35.3%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.418.0
68.2%
74.5%18.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galatasaray
LLLWLLLWWL
Benfica
LWWWLLLWWW
#20
League position
#28
-1.9
Net rating
+17.1
107.6
Offensive rating
111.7
109.5
Defensive rating
94.6
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.43
32.4%
3-point %
35.3%
66.8%
Assist %
64.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 111.7Defence109.5 · 94.6Shooting49.2% · 53.3%3-point %32.4% · 35.3%Ball care17.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds36.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Galatasaray   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Galatasaray wins
0
Benfica wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ADarussafaka72-75
05/11/23HTurk Telekom75-76
01/11/23AHapoel Jerusalem96-99 OT
29/10/23AAnadolu Efes95-76
22/10/23HFenerbahce62-74
18/10/23HPAOK77-88
15/10/23APetkim Spor74-76
08/10/23HManisa85-81
30/09/23AMerkezefendi93-77
01/06/23ATurk Telekom77-91
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem66-84
04/11/23AGalomar78-70
01/11/23HPAOK94-72
28/10/23HImortal103-58
21/10/23AFC Porto62-79
13/10/23HOliveirense71-78
11/10/23HOliveirense73-74
07/10/23HEsgueira110-70
04/10/23HVitoria107-66
29/09/23ANorrkoping83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galatasaray
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game86.577.096.0
Allowed / game93.588.099.0
Point differential-7.0-11.0-3.0
Avg total180.0165.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
Benfica
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game90.492.283.0
Allowed / game70.069.273.0
Point differential+20.4+23.0+10.0
Avg total160.4161.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Promitheas220100%96.571.0+25.5
2 Dijon220100%95.575.0+20.5
3 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
4 Hapoel Jerusalem220100%91.581.0+10.5
5 Karsiyaka220100%89.580.0+9.5
6 AEK Athens330100%84.378.3+6.0
7 Tortona220100%83.077.0+6.0
8 Strasbourg550100%82.076.2+5.8
9 Hapoel Holon110100%75.074.0+1.0
10 Cholet65183%82.079.5+2.5
11 Benfica54180%90.470.0+20.4
12 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
13 Tenerife32167%85.072.7+12.3
14 Bonn32167%83.773.0+10.7
15 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
16 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
17 Darussafaka32167%84.083.3+0.7
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Murcia21150%73.062.5+10.5
20 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
21 Breogan21150%69.567.0+2.5
22 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Tofas21150%92.095.0-3.0
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 PAOK21150%80.085.5-5.5
28 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
29 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
30 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
31 Szczecin31233%82.784.3-1.7
32 Szombathely31233%76.379.0-2.7
33 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
34 Peristeri31233%73.082.3-9.3
35 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
36 Oldenburg2020%83.085.0-2.0
37 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
38 Rytas2020%79.582.5-3.0
39 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
40 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
41 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
42 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
43 Galatasaray2020%86.593.5-7.0
44 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
45 VEF Riga3030%67.778.0-10.3
46 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
47 Igokea2020%74.588.0-13.5
48 Oostende2020%72.587.5-15.0
49 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava2020%66.5109.5-43.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Galatasaray1131272998
Benfica2019192078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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