Geelong vs Albury Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Aug 2017

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 109-84

29-16 28-22 26-27 26-19

Position#4

Record15-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game81.3

Geelong 🏆

Albury

Position#11

Record9-14

FormLWLLL

Points / game91.3

Allowed / game94.0

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Geelong v Albury

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Albury winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

82-77

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

72-95

-23

H17/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

94-104

104

-10

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

88-93

-5

A30/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

92-85

A01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

84-107

107

-23

A07/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

79-62

+17

H09/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

100-72

100

+28

H15/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

86-84

H21/07

SEABL

Nunawading

96-76

+20

H28/07

SEABL

29-19

21-24

15-16

17-18

14-23

13-17

26-31

19-24

27-41

21-35

19-6

27-22

18-23

12-22

31-29

27-19

26-15

24-15

15-30

27-25

22-25

18-37

28-23

16-22

15-13

21-18

20-21

23-10

18-20

28-15

23-16

31-21

20-17

24-15

21-27

21-25

27-23

20-19

27-11

22-23

172.8Avg total

87.3Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	87.3	81.3	168.6	+5.9	65%
Season at home (11)	86.5	76.0	162.5	+10.5	73%
Season away (12)	88.0	86.2	174.2	+1.8	58%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	85.5	172.8	+1.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	80.2	169.2	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	88.0	94.8	182.8	-6.8	25%
vs Similar (6)	83.3	82.8	166.2	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	91.3	78.7	170.0	+12.6	80%

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Albury

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#13

107-80

107

+27

H17/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

83-113

113

-30

A23/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

86-89

-3

A24/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

83-110

110

-27

A01/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

90-103

103

-13

A02/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

80-88

-8

H07/07

SEABL

Ballarat

104-93

104

+11

H14/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

82-103

103

-21

A21/07

SEABL

Nunawading

86-96

-10

A22/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

93-103

103

-10

H29/07

SEABL

25-17

31-25

32-24

19-14

24-30

23-35

15-21

21-27

25-24

16-20

29-22

16-23

28-23

12-27

20-21

23-39

32-24

24-18

22-29

12-32

24-26

16-25

21-9

19-28

19-20

25-30

24-24

36-19

22-22

23-25

20-27

17-29

19-17

22-32

27-26

18-21

20-31

26-28

27-22

20-22

187.2Avg total

89.4Scored

97.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	91.3	94.0	185.3	-2.7	39%
Season at home (12)	93.8	88.6	182.4	+5.2	58%
Season away (11)	88.6	99.9	188.5	-11.3	18%
Last 10 (10)	89.4	97.8	187.2	-8.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	96.6	185.6	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	87.1	96.6	183.8	-9.5	29%
vs Similar (12)	90.6	91.2	181.8	-0.6	42%
vs Weaker (4)	97.2	88.5	185.8	+8.8	75%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongAlbury

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.7	44.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.9	43.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	28.8	48.8	-8.8	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	21.7	41.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	20.4	43.9	+3.2	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	23.2	47.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.6	22.4	47.0	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	23.9	47.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	23.4	47.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.1	23.8	45.9	-1.6	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	25.2	22.3	47.6	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.0	23.5	49.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.2	43.1	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	18.1	41.8	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	22.3	44.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	24.8	41.8	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.1	18.6	43.7	+6.4	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	23.5	45.4	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	24.5	47.0	-2.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.5	43.7	-1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	26.5	48.3	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	28.0	50.4	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.0	26.2	48.2	-4.2	14%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	19.8	42.2	+2.8	75%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

50-43

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

27-40

-13

H17/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

48-76

-28

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

30-45

-15

A30/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

50-30

+20

A01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

40-62

-22

A07/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

36-31

H09/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

46-35

+11

H15/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

44-32

+12

H21/07

SEABL

Nunawading

47-42

H28/07

SEABL

85.4Avg total

41.8Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	41.9	87.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.2	38.9	85.1	+7.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.2	44.9	89.1	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.6	85.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.4	83.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.0	53.5	90.5	-16.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.3	44.0	83.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	48.6	39.0	87.6	+9.6	95%	-

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#13

56-42

+14

H17/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

47-65

-18

A23/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

41-44

-3

A24/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

40-50

-10

A01/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

56-42

+14

A02/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

40-51

-11

H07/07

SEABL

Ballarat

44-50

-6

H14/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

45-47

-2

A21/07

SEABL

Nunawading

41-49

-8

A22/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

46-59

-13

H29/07

SEABL

95.5Avg total

45.6Scored

49.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	46.7	92.4	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.1	46.9	94.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	46.4	90.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	49.9	95.5	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	51.2	94.4	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	44.1	50.0	94.1	-5.9	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	46.8	43.9	90.7	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.5	43.2	91.8	+5.2	75%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.6	43.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.8	20.2	46.0	+5.5	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	20.4	41.1	+0.4	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.0	44.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	20.4	43.9	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	23.7	44.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	22.5	46.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.6	45.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	24.8	21.2	45.9	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.2	24.8	50.0	+0.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.9	42.5	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	20.0	43.7	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.9	43.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.2	21.0	46.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.8	20.8	43.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	24.2	45.6	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.9	42.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	27.4	48.8	-6.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	25.4	45.5	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.8	45.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.9	23.6	46.5	-0.6	43%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.1	26.1	45.2	-7.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	39.8	83.8	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	38.9	82.1	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.9	40.7	85.6	+4.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	41.9	87.4	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	39.8	86.2	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	51.0	41.2	92.2	+9.8	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.0	38.8	82.8	+5.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.7	39.8	82.5	+3.0	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	46.2	89.9	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	41.3	86.4	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	51.1	93.4	-8.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	47.9	91.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	45.4	91.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	42.1	45.6	87.7	-3.4	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.8	47.2	91.1	-3.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.8	45.2	94.0	+3.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Albury wins

Date	Game	Score
21/04/17	Albury v Geelong	98-97
20/08/16	Geelong v Albury	82-84
21/05/16	Geelong v Albury	94-73
07/05/16	Albury v Geelong	94-97
05/09/15	Albury v Geelong	84-78
22/08/15	Albury v Geelong	88-83
13/06/15	Albury v Geelong	85-74
25/04/15	Geelong v Albury	96-87

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/07/17	H	Nunawading	96-76
21/07/17	H	Southern Sabres	86-84
15/07/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	100-72
09/07/17	H	Kilsyth	79-62
07/07/17	A	Ballarat	84-107
01/07/17	A	NW Tasmania	92-85
30/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	88-93
23/06/17	A	Mt Gambier	94-104
17/06/17	H	Mt Gambier	72-95
04/06/17	A	Kilsyth	82-77

Alburylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/07/17	H	Kilsyth	93-103
22/07/17	A	Nunawading	86-96
21/07/17	A	Mt Gambier	82-103
14/07/17	H	Ballarat	104-93
07/07/17	H	NW Tasmania	80-88
02/07/17	A	Kilsyth	90-103
01/07/17	A	Southern Sabres	83-110
24/06/17	A	NW Tasmania	86-89
23/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	83-113
17/06/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	107-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	65%
Home	LWWWW	73%
Away	WLLWL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	65%	73%	58%
Points / game	87.3	86.5	88.0
Allowed / game	81.3	76.0	86.2
Point differential	+5.9	+10.5	+1.8
Avg total	168.6	162.5	174.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	55%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Albury

SEABL 2017

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	39%
Home	WWLWL	58%
Away	LLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	39%	58%	18%
Points / game	91.3	93.8	88.6
Allowed / game	94.0	88.6	99.9
Point differential	-2.7	+5.2	-11.3
Avg total	185.3	182.4	188.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	42%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	23	20	3	87%	93.0	79.5	+13.4
2	Nunawading	23	16	7	70%	88.6	82.3	+6.3
3	Dandenong	23	16	7	70%	82.5	78.3	+4.2
4	Hobart Chargers	23	15	8	65%	94.0	81.2	+12.8
5	Geelong	23	15	8	65%	87.3	81.3	+5.9
6	Ballarat	23	15	8	65%	88.7	84.3	+4.3
7	NW Tasmania	23	12	11	52%	82.6	83.1	-0.5
8	Bendigo	23	11	12	48%	87.1	87.3	-0.2
9	Kilsyth	23	11	12	48%	79.9	80.7	-0.9
10	Southern Sabres	24	11	13	46%	83.6	84.0	-0.4
11	Albury	23	9	14	39%	91.3	94.0	-2.7
12	Frankston	23	7	16	30%	80.9	87.8	-6.9
13	Melbourne Tigers	23	6	17	26%	75.7	89.0	-13.3
14	BA CoE	15	2	13	13%	74.7	89.1	-14.4
15	Canberra	23	3	20	13%	79.5	92.1	-12.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	29	28	26	26	109
Albury	16	22	27	19	84

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Albury Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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