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Georgia State vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 59-68
30-31 29-37
Position#252
Record13-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#214
Record11-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Georgia State v Texas State
24 Feb 2024
GEOR59
TEXA68
21 Dec 2019
GEOR81
TEXA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H02/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H10/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-43
39-43
30-29
38-48
39-29
34-44
30-30
41-51
33-36
41-42
30-39
48-30
35-25
38-28
26-51
37-32
36-32
32-33
37-30
35-41
146.8Avg total
72.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.974.1151.1+2.848%
Season at home (11)82.868.5151.4+14.373%
Season away (16)72.978.0150.9-5.131%
Last 10 (10)72.074.8146.8-2.840%
Last 5 (5)70.868.2139.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.481.7146.1-17.30%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.676.8155.3+1.850%
vs Weaker (10)79.170.1149.2+9.060%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-43
36-36
34-39
31-39
24-30
22-36
28-24
46-42
31-24
29-31
29-26
34-30
37-31
31-29
18-35
37-37
38-33
36-45
28-37
48-47
134.7Avg total
65.3Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)68.370.6138.9-2.239%
Season at home (13)72.867.2140.0+5.754%
Season away (15)64.473.5137.9-9.127%
Last 10 (10)65.369.4134.7-4.140%
Last 5 (5)67.270.0137.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)58.272.7130.9-14.417%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.869.3140.1+1.554%
vs Weaker (5)84.667.0151.6+17.660%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -2.2-2.2
Georgia StateTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A25/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H02/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H03/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H10/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/02
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.7Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.736.472.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.833.971.7+3.850%-
Last 30 away (18)34.338.172.4-3.839%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.467.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.468.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.038.768.7-8.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.138.875.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker (10)38.132.570.6+5.670%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
18-35
18
35
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/02
NCAA
62.5Avg total
30.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.863.5-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.530.462.8+2.162%-
Last 30 away (17)29.434.663.9-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.262.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.462.4-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.235.162.2-7.98%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.831.563.3+0.469%-
vs Weaker (5)36.230.666.8+5.660%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Georgia State wins
2
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HCoastal Carolina72-71
18/02/24AOld Dominion68-65
16/02/24AJames Madison63-83
10/02/24HMiami (Ohio)73-53
08/02/24ALouisiana Lafayette78-69
03/02/24HTroy74-78
02/02/24HAppalachian State71-81
27/01/24ACoastal Carolina83-85 OT
25/01/24AMarshall68-77
20/01/24AGeorgia Southern70-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24AGeorgia Southern76-84
17/02/24ASouthern Miss74-78
16/02/24ASouth Alabama55-72
10/02/24HBall State68-60
08/02/24HAppalachian State63-56
03/02/24HSouthern Miss60-55
02/02/24HSouth Alabama74-66
28/01/24ALouisiana Lafayette46-66
25/01/24ATroy65-78
20/01/24HArkansas State72-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW48%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %48%73%31%
Points / game76.982.872.9
Allowed / game74.168.578.0
Point differential+2.8+14.3-5.1
Avg total151.1151.4150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%45%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL39%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %39%54%27%
Points / game68.372.864.4
Allowed / game70.667.273.5
Point differential-2.2+5.7-9.1
Avg total138.9140.0137.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%23%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2825389%84.868.6+16.1
2 Appalachian State2823582%78.866.8+12.0
3 Troy28181064%79.669.8+9.8
4 Louisiana Lafayette28171161%76.570.7+5.8
5 Southern Miss28151354%70.170.6-0.5
6 Arkansas State28141450%79.578.1+1.4
7 South Alabama28141450%73.875.4-1.6
8 Georgia State27131448%76.974.1+2.8
9 Marshall28121643%74.176.5-2.4
10 Louisiana Monroe26111542%70.173.9-3.8
11 Texas State28111739%68.370.6-2.2
12 Coastal Carolina2681831%74.878.9-4.1
13 Old Dominion2862221%70.476.1-5.8
14 Georgia Southern2862221%71.879.7-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State302959
Texas State313768
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