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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 114-137
27-47 29-29 33-33 25-28
Position#17
Record10-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game113.5
vs
Position#11
Record10-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game117.5
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors
02 Apr 2027
MIN v GSW
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
MIN114
GSW119
26 Jan 2026
MIN108
GSW83
25 Jan 2026
MIN85
GSW111
14 May 2025
MIN121
GSW110
08 May 2025
MIN117
GSW93
06 May 2025
MIN88
GSW99
15 Jan 2025
MIN115
GSW116
21 Dec 2024
MIN103
GSW113
24 Mar 2024
MIN114
GSW110
01 Feb 2023
MIN119
GSW114
27 Nov 2022
MIN114
GSW137
01 Mar 2022
MIN129
GSW114
16 Jan 2022
MIN119
GSW99
29 Apr 2021
MIN126
GSW114
02 Jan 2020
MIN99
GSW84
08 Nov 2019
MIN125
GSW119
29 Mar 2019
MIN131
GSW130
19 Mar 2019
MIN107
GSW117
11 Mar 2018
MIN109
GSW103
10 Mar 2017
MIN103
GSW102
11 Dec 2016
MIN108
GSW116
21 Mar 2016
MIN104
GSW109
12 Nov 2015
MIN116
GSW129
11 Feb 2015
MIN91
GSW94
08 Dec 2014
MIN86
GSW102
06 Nov 2013
MIN93
GSW106
24 Feb 2013
MIN99
GSW100
16 Nov 2012
MIN98
GSW106
22 Apr 2012
MIN88
GSW93
04 Apr 2012
MIN94
GSW97
27 Feb 2011
MIN126
GSW123
27 Nov 2010
MIN94
GSW104
07 Apr 2010
MIN107
GSW116
06 Jan 2010
MIN101
GSW107
03 Mar 2009
MIN94
GSW118
02 Jan 2009
MIN115
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
W
129-117
129
117
+12
136avg 109
H06/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
107-120
107
120
-13
103avg 109
H08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
117-129
117
129
-12
114avg 109
H10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
103-114
103
114
-11
98avg 109
A12/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
129-124
129
124
+5
131avg 109
A13/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
126-108
126
108
+18
120avg 109
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
112-109
112
109
+3
108avg 109
A20/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
105-101
105
101
+4
100avg 109
H22/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
115-101
115
101
+14
125avg 109
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
108-110
108
110
-2
96avg 109
A25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-34
28-15
35-34
26-34
29-38
23-38
28-27
27-17
25-39
26-30
31-35
35-25
30-33
33-39
21-24
19-18
40-20
27-30
37-34
25-40
42-24
32-25
24-31
28-28
33-23
30-28
34-33
15-25
30-33
17-27
37-19
21-22
29-21
24-27
34-29
28-24
34-29
28-23
21-39
25-19
228.4Avg total
115.1Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)114.0113.5227.5+0.553%
Season at home (10)115.2116.1231.3-0.950%
Season away (9)112.7110.6223.2+2.156%
Last 10 (10)115.1113.3228.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)113.2105.8219.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)129.0124.0253.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)112.4113.5226.0-1.150%
vs Weaker (7)118.3119.3237.6-1.043%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
116-113
116
113
+3
113avg 107
H08/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
106-101
106
101
+5
106avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
115-122
115
122
-7
109avg 107
A14/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
132-95
132
95
+37
133avg 107
H15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
119-130
119
130
-11
112avg 107
A17/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
111-101
111
101
+10
108avg 107
H19/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
127-120
127
120
+7
130avg 107
A21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
83-128
83
128
-45
70avg 107
A22/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
124-107
124
107
+17
121avg 107
H24/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
129-118
129
118
+11
126avg 107
H26/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
26-36
24-21
37-25
25-25
23-27
26-25
32-24
39-26
23-38
29-34
24-24
33-26
28-19
38-23
33-27
33-36
32-36
24-31
30-27
35-19
26-31
26-24
24-27
40-28
21-37
36-29
30-26
16-35
25-30
24-32
18-31
32-29
34-18
32-35
26-25
37-23
22-28
38-35
32-32
229.7Avg total
116.2Scored
113.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)116.8117.5234.2-0.750%
Season at home (10)121.7110.7232.4+11.090%
Season away (10)111.9124.2236.1-12.310%
Last 10 (10)116.2113.5229.7+2.770%
Last 5 (5)114.8114.8229.6+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.793.3165.0-21.70%
vs Similar ◀ (22)112.3112.3224.6-0.059%
vs Weaker (5)123.0118.6241.6+4.440%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H06/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A12/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A13/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
74-49
74
49
+25
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A20/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H22/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A25/11
NBA
117.6Avg total
60.0Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.356.9115.2+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.158.1115.2-1.053%-
Last 30 away (13)59.855.4115.2+4.569%-
Last 10 (10)60.057.6117.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)59.852.0111.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.156.6112.7-0.559%-
vs Weaker (7)64.059.0123.0+5.057%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H08/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H12/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A17/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H19/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
41-65
41
65
-24
A22/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H24/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H26/11
NBA
115.7Avg total
57.9Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.056.5112.5-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.853.0109.8+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)55.160.5115.6-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)57.957.8115.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)57.655.6113.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.746.081.7-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)58.257.7115.9+0.545%-
vs Weaker (5)58.457.6116.0+0.840%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.431.0
62.8%
54.5%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.2
33.2%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.919.5
81.6%
78.1%19.5
They take 83.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.1 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.3
56.9%
54.5%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.417.7
39.9%
35.8%53.1
🏀 Free throws15.712.5
79.6%
78.1%12.5
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLLLW
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWLWLWW
#17
League position
#11
+1.7
Net rating
+2.6
111.3
Offensive rating
112.1
109.5
Defensive rating
109.5
57.5%
Effective FG%
58.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.18
33.2%
3-point %
39.9%
69.2%
Assist %
70.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 112.1Defence109.5 · 109.5Shooting57.5% · 58.3%3-point %33.2% · 39.9%Ball care16.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds21.2% · 20.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22ACharlotte Hornets108-110
24/11/22AIndiana Pacers115-101
22/11/22HMiami Heat105-101
20/11/22APhiladelphia 76ers112-109
17/11/22AOrlando Magic126-108
13/11/22ACleveland Cavaliers129-124
12/11/22AMemphis Grizzlies103-114
10/11/22HPhoenix Suns117-129
08/11/22HNew York Knicks107-120
06/11/22HHouston Rockets129-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HUtah Jazz129-118
24/11/22HLos Angeles Clippers124-107
22/11/22ANew Orleans Pelicans83-128
21/11/22AHouston Rockets127-120
19/11/22HNew York Knicks111-101
17/11/22APhoenix Suns119-130
15/11/22HSan Antonio Spurs132-95
14/11/22ASacramento Kings115-122
12/11/22HCleveland Cavaliers106-101
08/11/22HSacramento Kings116-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game114.0115.2112.7
Allowed / game113.5116.1110.6
Point differential+0.5-0.9+2.1
Avg total227.5231.3223.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%90%10%
Points / game116.8121.7111.9
Allowed / game117.5110.7124.2
Point differential-0.7+11.0-12.3
Avg total234.2232.4236.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1915479%119.8112.9+6.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks1813572%111.8107.2+4.6
3 Phoenix Suns1913668%114.6107.7+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers1912763%114.8108.1+6.7
5 Denver Nuggets1912763%114.5113.8+0.7
6 Indiana Pacers1811761%116.6114.3+2.3
7 New Orleans Pelicans1911858%117.3111.7+5.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies1911858%115.1113.8+1.3
9 Atlanta Hawks1911858%114.8114.7+0.2
10 Sacramento Kings1810856%119.1117.1+2.0
11 Portland Trail Blazers2011955%109.7110.3-0.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers2011955%106.0107.2-1.1
13 Utah Jazz22121055%117.1115.6+1.5
14 Philadelphia 76ers1910953%108.5106.2+2.3
15 Toronto Raptors1910953%111.4109.6+1.8
16 Minnesota Timberwolves1910953%114.0113.5+0.5
17 Washington Wizards1910953%108.3109.6-1.3
18 Dallas Mavericks189950%108.7106.4+2.3
19 Golden State Warriors20101050%116.8117.5-0.7
20 Brooklyn Nets21101148%111.6111.2+0.4
21 New York Knicks1991047%114.2116.4-2.2
22 Miami Heat2091145%108.5109.5-0.9
23 Chicago Bulls1981142%111.9112.0-0.1
24 Oklahoma City Thunder2081240%116.6118.3-1.7
25 Los Angeles Lakers1871139%112.2114.4-2.3
26 Charlotte Hornets2061430%109.4114.2-4.8
27 San Antonio Spurs2161529%110.6121.0-10.4
28 Orlando Magic1951426%108.9113.2-4.2
29 Houston Rockets1951426%110.2115.7-5.6
30 Detroit Pistons2151624%109.8117.4-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves27293325114
Golden State Warriors47293328137
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