PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 134-121
38-35 30-25 34-36 32-25
Position#3
Record17-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game112.9
vs
Position#10
Record10-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game108.9
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
131-112
131
112
+19
130avg 109
H12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
117-108
117
108
+9
108avg 109
A13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
126-122
126
122
+4
116avg 109
H15/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
126-101
126
101
+25
128avg 109
A17/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
117-109
117
109
+8
116avg 109
A19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
107-121
107
121
-14
98avg 109
A22/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
125-112
125
112
+13
122avg 109
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
122-104
122
104
+18
117avg 109
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
130-121
130
121
+9
128avg 109
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
140-105
140
105
+35
144avg 109
H29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
33-32
31-34
34-21
30-29
25-28
34-24
28-27
32-35
30-34
27-27
37-26
30-18
32-35
35-25
29-23
40-25
27-32
22-21
28-31
23-28
27-35
29-32
28-26
34-23
36-26
31-36
24-27
36-22
28-40
30-22
28-20
35-26
37-29
41-33
17-33
45-19
33-36
43-27
19-23
235.6Avg total
124.1Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)121.3112.9234.2+8.481%
Season at home (11)126.0113.6239.6+12.491%
Season away (10)116.1112.1228.2+4.070%
Last 10 (10)124.1111.5235.6+12.690%
Last 5 (5)124.8112.6237.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)109.9107.4217.3+2.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)120.7112.0232.7+8.786%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
117-112 OT
117
112
+5
100avg 101
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
132-115
132
115
+17
131avg 101
H13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-112
113
112
+1
106avg 101
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
104-112
104
112
-8
96avg 101
A17/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
91avg 101
A19/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
87-113
87
113
-26
69avg 101
A21/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
101-105
101
105
-4
89avg 101
A22/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
113-105
113
105
+8
103avg 101
H24/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
110-107
110
107
+3
103avg 101
H26/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
106-98
106
98
+8
106avg 101
A27/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
26-23
27-23
19-31
34-33
23-26
45-25
30-31
35-31
23-26
26-34
29-21
31-27
29-27
19-30
25-28
31-33
38-24
19-24
16-23
27-28
15-31
22-36
23-18
33-30
27-17
19-37
22-21
28-26
32-17
23-37
30-25
28-38
28-21
29-26
25-22
23-31
28-29
34-21
21-17
217.5Avg total
108.9Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)108.4108.9217.3-0.548%
Season at home (12)111.0109.2220.2+1.867%
Season away (9)105.0108.4213.4-3.422%
Last 10 (10)108.9108.6217.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)103.4105.6209.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)80.2101.2181.5-21.00%
vs Similar (21)104.3107.4211.8-3.143%
vs Weaker (5)113.8101.0214.8+12.880%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H15/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A17/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A22/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H29/11
NBA
122.3Avg total
64.6Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.455.5114.8+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.755.5118.2+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)56.055.5111.5+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)64.657.7122.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)66.856.8123.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)56.254.3110.6+1.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)62.956.8119.7+6.164%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A17/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A19/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A21/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A22/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H24/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H26/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A27/11
NBA
111.6Avg total
57.1Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.653.6106.1-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.852.6105.5+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)52.254.8107.0-2.554%-
Last 10 (10)57.154.5111.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.853.6107.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.850.589.2-11.825%-
vs Similar (21)54.054.7108.8-0.752%-
vs Weaker (5)57.451.2108.6+6.280%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 124.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.627.0
59.2%
54.5%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.117.7
42.0%
35.8%53.1
🏀 Free throws19.817.0
85.9%
78.1%17.0
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.727.0
53.3%
54.5%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.4
31.9%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws25.220.7
82.1%
78.1%20.7
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWW
Miami Heat
WWWLLLLWWW
#3
League position
#10
+12.5
Net rating
+0.3
123.0
Offensive rating
107.8
110.5
Defensive rating
107.5
61.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.1%
Turnover %
13.2%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.0%
3-point %
31.9%
64.4%
Assist %
60.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.0 · 107.8Defence110.5 · 107.5Shooting61.1% · 51.0%3-point %42.0% · 31.9%Ball care12.1% · 13.2%Off. rebounds19.9% · 22.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/22HCharlotte Hornets140-105
27/11/22HWashington Wizards130-121
26/11/22HSacramento Kings122-104
24/11/22HDallas Mavericks125-112
22/11/22AChicago Bulls107-121
19/11/22ANew Orleans Pelicans117-109
17/11/22AAtlanta Hawks126-101
15/11/22HOklahoma City Thunder126-122
13/11/22ADetroit Pistons117-108
12/11/22HDenver Nuggets131-112
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22AAtlanta Hawks106-98
26/11/22HWashington Wizards110-107
24/11/22HWashington Wizards113-105
22/11/22AMinnesota Timberwolves101-105
21/11/22ACleveland Cavaliers87-113
19/11/22AWashington Wizards106-107 OT
17/11/22AToronto Raptors104-112
15/11/22HPhoenix Suns113-112
13/11/22HCharlotte Hornets132-115
11/11/22HCharlotte Hornets117-112 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %81%91%70%
Points / game121.3126.0116.1
Allowed / game112.9113.6112.1
Point differential+8.4+12.4+4.0
Avg total234.2239.6228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%9%10%
Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %48%67%22%
Points / game108.4111.0105.0
Allowed / game108.9109.2108.4
Point differential-0.5+1.8-3.4
Avg total217.3220.2213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%8%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)83% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %10%8%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2117481%121.3112.9+8.4
2 Milwaukee Bucks1914574%112.5107.6+4.8
3 Phoenix Suns2014670%115.0108.2+6.8
4 Denver Nuggets2013765%115.2113.8+1.4
5 Cleveland Cavaliers2214864%112.9106.0+6.9
6 New Orleans Pelicans2012860%116.7111.2+5.5
7 Indiana Pacers2012860%115.7114.3+1.4
8 Memphis Grizzlies2012860%115.7114.2+1.4
9 Los Angeles Clippers2213959%107.0107.0-0.1
10 Toronto Raptors2011955%110.8108.5+2.3
11 Philadelphia 76ers22121055%108.3106.1+2.2
12 Atlanta Hawks22121055%113.9113.5+0.4
13 Sacramento Kings1910953%119.0117.4+1.6
14 Portland Trail Blazers21111052%109.8110.7-0.9
15 Washington Wizards21111052%110.5111.4-0.9
16 Utah Jazz23121152%116.7115.5+1.2
17 Dallas Mavericks20101050%109.4107.6+1.8
18 Brooklyn Nets22111150%111.5110.8+0.7
19 Golden State Warriors22111150%117.5117.2+0.3
20 Miami Heat21101148%108.4108.9-0.5
21 New York Knicks21101148%115.8116.6-0.8
22 Minnesota Timberwolves21101148%114.6116.0-1.3
23 Chicago Bulls2091145%112.0111.8+0.2
24 Oklahoma City Thunder2181338%115.9117.7-1.8
25 Los Angeles Lakers1971237%112.3114.5-2.2
26 Charlotte Hornets2161529%109.2115.4-6.2
27 San Antonio Spurs2161529%110.6121.0-10.4
28 Houston Rockets2051525%110.3116.4-6.1
29 Orlando Magic2251723%108.3114.4-6.1
30 Detroit Pistons2351822%109.1117.7-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics38303432134
Miami Heat35253625121
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.