PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 125-112
34-23 36-26 31-36 24-27
Position#3
Record13-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game119.4
Allowed / game113.5
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
vs
Dallas Mavericks
USA
Position#21
Record9-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game105.3
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks
15 Nov 2026
BOS v DAL
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BOS120
DAL100
06 Feb 2025
BOS120
DAL127
17 Jun 2024
BOS106
DAL88
09 Jun 2024
BOS105
DAL98
06 Jun 2024
BOS107
DAL89
01 Mar 2024
BOS138
DAL110
23 Nov 2022
BOS125
DAL112
13 Mar 2022
BOS92
DAL95
31 Mar 2021
BOS108
DAL113
11 Nov 2019
BOS116
DAL106
04 Jan 2019
BOS114
DAL93
06 Dec 2017
BOS97
DAL90
16 Nov 2016
BOS90
DAL83
18 Nov 2015
BOS102
DAL106
02 Jan 2015
BOS101
DAL119
09 Feb 2014
BOS91
DAL102
12 Dec 2012
BOS117
DAL115
11 Jan 2012
BOS85
DAL90
04 Feb 2011
BOS97
DAL101
18 Jan 2010
BOS90
DAL99
25 Jan 2009
BOS124
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
123-119
123
119
+4
115avg 107
H04/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
133-118
133
118
+15
128avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
109-106
109
106
+3
105avg 107
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
128-112
128
112
+16
126avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
131-112
131
112
+19
130avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
117-108
117
108
+9
108avg 107
A13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
126-122
126
122
+4
116avg 107
H15/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
126-101
126
101
+25
128avg 107
A17/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
117-109
117
109
+8
116avg 107
A19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
107-121
107
121
-14
98avg 107
A22/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
37-26
30-30
30-32
32-29
35-37
34-30
32-22
28-34
37-20
19-31
25-21
29-21
34-28
32-30
33-33
33-25
33-32
31-34
34-21
30-29
25-28
34-24
28-27
32-35
30-34
27-27
37-26
30-18
32-35
35-25
29-23
40-25
27-32
22-21
28-31
23-28
27-35
29-32
28-26
234.5Avg total
121.7Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)119.4113.5232.9+5.976%
Season at home (7)124.1115.4239.6+8.786%
Season away (10)116.1112.1228.2+4.070%
Last 10 (10)121.7112.8234.5+8.990%
Last 5 (5)118.6112.2230.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)109.2106.6215.8+2.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)117.7111.8229.5+5.982%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
W
103-100
103
100
+3
91avg 99
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
111-110
111
110
+1
103avg 99
H05/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 99
H08/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
87-94
87
94
-7
64avg 99
A09/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
105-113
105
113
-8
90avg 99
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
117-112
117
112
+5
113avg 99
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
103-101
103
101
+2
89avg 99
H16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
92-101
92
101
-9
66avg 99
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
127-99
127
99
+28
131avg 99
H19/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 99
H21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-35
24-15
27-28
29-22
31-29
31-28
34-24
15-29
29-34
24-16
19-23
24-21
28-24
26-26
20-23
13-21
34-28
27-30
22-29
22-26
35-25
24-32
26-31
32-24
30-15
24-17
15-33
34-36
28-31
23-26
23-19
18-25
29-27
44-28
32-28
22-16
25-25
31-30
18-24
23-19
206.0Avg total
103.8Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)109.1105.3214.4+3.856%
Season at home (11)109.8103.0212.8+6.873%
Season away (5)107.4110.4217.8-3.020%
Last 10 (10)103.8102.2206.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)107.2102.2209.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)112.098.5210.5+13.550%
vs Similar (26)107.6106.0213.6+1.754%
vs Weaker (2)104.5106.5211.0-2.050%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
Boston CelticsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H12/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H15/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A17/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A22/11
NBA
120.2Avg total
62.0Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.854.6112.3+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.554.3112.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (17)57.254.8111.9+2.459%-
Last 10 (10)62.058.2120.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)59.259.8119.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)56.452.7109.1+3.763%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)60.157.8117.9+2.355%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H05/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A09/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H19/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H21/11
NBA
109.1Avg total
57.0Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.751.5108.2+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.148.9105.9+8.276%-
Last 30 away (13)56.255.0111.2+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)57.052.1109.1+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)58.651.2109.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)64.555.0119.5+9.5100%-
vs Similar (26)56.250.8107.1+5.465%-
vs Weaker (2)55.057.0112.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 121.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.926.5
59.0%
54.5%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.917.0
39.6%
35.8%51.0
🏀 Free throws21.717.7
81.6%
78.1%17.7
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 103.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.5
56.2%
54.5%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.413.5
33.4%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws22.216.3
73.4%
78.1%16.3
They take 82.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWWWWWWWW
Dallas Mavericks
LWLWWLLWWW
#3
League position
#21
+8.7
Net rating
+1.7
119.5
Offensive rating
108.1
110.8
Defensive rating
106.5
59.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
12.4%
Turnover %
12.3%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
18.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.6%
3-point %
33.4%
63.9%
Assist %
58.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.5 · 108.1Defence110.8 · 106.5Shooting59.2% · 53.2%3-point %39.6% · 33.4%Ball care12.4% · 12.3%Off. rebounds19.0% · 18.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateGameScore
13/03/22Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks92-95
07/11/21Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics107-104
31/03/21Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks108-113
24/02/21Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics110-107
19/12/19Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics103-109
12/11/19Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks116-106
05/01/19Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks114-93
25/11/18Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics113-104
07/12/17Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks97-90
21/11/17Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics102-110 OT
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22AChicago Bulls107-121
19/11/22ANew Orleans Pelicans117-109
17/11/22AAtlanta Hawks126-101
15/11/22HOklahoma City Thunder126-122
13/11/22ADetroit Pistons117-108
12/11/22HDenver Nuggets131-112
10/11/22HDetroit Pistons128-112
08/11/22AMemphis Grizzlies109-106
05/11/22ANew York Knicks133-118
04/11/22HChicago Bulls123-119
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22HDenver Nuggets97-98
19/11/22HDenver Nuggets127-99
17/11/22HHouston Rockets92-101
16/11/22HLos Angeles Clippers103-101
13/11/22HPortland Trail Blazers117-112
11/11/22AWashington Wizards105-113
09/11/22AOrlando Magic87-94
08/11/22HBrooklyn Nets96-94
05/11/22HToronto Raptors111-110
03/11/22HUtah Jazz103-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %76%86%70%
Points / game119.4124.1116.1
Allowed / game113.5115.4112.1
Point differential+5.9+8.7+4.0
Avg total232.9239.6228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %12%14%10%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %56%73%20%
Points / game109.1109.8107.4
Allowed / game105.3103.0110.4
Point differential+3.8+6.8-3.0
Avg total214.4212.8217.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)83% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %12%9%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1713476%119.4113.5+5.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks1612475%111.4106.9+4.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1812667%115.5107.6+7.9
4 Phoenix Suns1711665%115.1107.8+7.3
5 Utah Jazz1912763%117.4114.5+2.9
6 Sacramento Kings1610662%120.9116.9+3.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers1811761%106.1105.8+0.3
8 New Orleans Pelicans1710759%116.9110.6+6.3
9 Indiana Pacers1710759%115.9114.1+1.8
10 Atlanta Hawks1710759%114.4114.4+0.0
11 Denver Nuggets1710759%113.5113.6-0.1
12 Washington Wizards1710759%108.6109.4-0.8
13 Dallas Mavericks169756%109.1105.3+3.8
14 Minnesota Timberwolves1810856%114.3113.7+0.7
15 Memphis Grizzlies1810856%114.1113.9+0.2
16 Portland Trail Blazers1810856%109.2109.2-0.1
17 Toronto Raptors179853%112.5110.0+2.5
18 Philadelphia 76ers189950%108.6106.6+2.0
19 New York Knicks189950%113.3115.5-2.2
20 Brooklyn Nets1881044%111.3111.8-0.4
21 Golden State Warriors1881044%115.7118.0-2.3
22 Chicago Bulls1771041%111.1111.3-0.2
23 Oklahoma City Thunder1771041%116.4117.5-1.2
24 Miami Heat1871139%108.2109.8-1.6
25 San Antonio Spurs1861233%110.1120.3-10.2
26 Los Angeles Lakers1651131%110.7114.2-3.6
27 Orlando Magic1851328%109.5113.5-4.0
28 Charlotte Hornets1951426%109.4114.5-5.1
29 Detroit Pistons1941521%109.4118.0-8.6
30 Houston Rockets1731418%108.6116.0-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics34363124125
Dallas Mavericks23263627112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.