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Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 110-121
32-36 19-38 22-28 37-19
Position#20
Record29-26
FormLWLWL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game113.7
vs
Position#5
Record35-19
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game108.4
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics
22 Nov 2026
GSW v BOS
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
GSW110
BOS121
20 Jan 2025
GSW85
BOS125
19 Dec 2023
GSW132
BOS126
10 Dec 2022
GSW123
BOS107
13 Jun 2022
GSW104
BOS94
05 Jun 2022
GSW107
BOS88
02 Jun 2022
GSW108
BOS120
16 Mar 2022
GSW88
BOS110
02 Feb 2021
GSW107
BOS111
15 Nov 2019
GSW100
BOS105
05 Mar 2019
GSW95
BOS128
27 Jan 2018
GSW109
BOS105
08 Mar 2017
GSW86
BOS99
01 Apr 2016
GSW106
BOS109
25 Jan 2015
GSW114
BOS111
10 Jan 2014
GSW99
BOS97
29 Dec 2012
GSW101
BOS83
14 Mar 2012
GSW103
BOS105
22 Feb 2011
GSW93
BOS115
28 Dec 2009
GSW103
BOS99
26 Dec 2008
GSW99
BOS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
115-123
115
123
-8
101avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
111-85
111
85
+26
104avg 107
A25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
83-108
83
108
-25
65avg 107
A27/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
140-124
140
124
+16
144avg 107
A29/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
124-131
124
131
-7
116avg 107
H31/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
94-113
94
113
-19
89avg 107
H04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
101-97
101
97
+4
98avg 107
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
99-105
99
105
-6
85avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
114-113
114
113
+1
114avg 107
H10/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
113-126
113
126
-13
110avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
23-31
39-29
26-39
24-19
23-27
38-17
26-22
20-21
18-32
19-22
26-33
34-24
34-31
33-38
39-31
37-45
27-32
31-31
29-23
32-31
23-27
16-26
23-29
25-29
34-26
17-27
25-15
21-20
21-21
29-38
28-26
32-32
25-33
28-33
29-15
38-31
29-32
27-31
19-32
221.9Avg total
109.4Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)115.5113.7229.2+1.853%
Season at home (28)118.9114.0232.9+4.964%
Season away (27)112.0113.3225.4-1.341%
Last 10 (10)109.4112.5221.9-3.140%
Last 5 (5)104.2110.8215.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)120.8123.7244.5-2.850%
vs Similar (16)112.3112.8225.1-0.538%
vs Weaker (8)124.4114.1238.5+10.288%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
111-114
111
114
-3
98avg 106
A25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
102-94
102
94
+8
89avg 106
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
106-117
106
117
-11
100avg 106
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-93
112
93
+19
101avg 106
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
107-79
107
79
+28
101avg 106
H01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
110-100
110
100
+10
103avg 106
A04/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
114-93
114
93
+21
112avg 106
A05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
98-96
98
96
+2
88avg 106
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
89-111
89
111
-22
75avg 106
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
124-105
124
105
+19
119avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
30-22
27-36
26-26
32-11
20-26
23-28
27-29
18-38
28-22
30-27
30-30
40-25
32-21
17-20
23-27
26-26
30-16
22-19
29-18
32-29
20-15
34-23
24-33
18-17
31-25
36-21
29-30
15-29
23-30
36-15
24-22
24-35
29-25
15-25
21-26
36-27
36-17
26-26
26-35
207.5Avg total
107.3Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)115.3108.4223.6+6.965%
Season at home (27)114.1107.7221.8+6.467%
Season away (27)116.4109.0225.4+7.463%
Last 10 (10)107.3100.2207.5+7.170%
Last 5 (5)107.0101.0208.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)102.7105.7208.3-3.017%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)116.4106.8223.2+9.679%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Golden State WarriorsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A23/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A27/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A29/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H31/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H10/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H12/02
NBA
111.5Avg total
54.7Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.758.4117.1+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)61.161.1122.2+0.156%-
Last 30 away (12)55.254.4109.6+0.867%-
Last 10 (10)54.756.8111.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)56.056.4112.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)62.764.0126.7-1.367%-
vs Similar (16)56.056.3112.3-0.356%-
vs Weaker (8)61.258.4119.6+2.962%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A04/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H12/02
NBA
103.4Avg total
54.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.253.4111.6+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.551.1107.7+5.460%-
Last 30 away (15)59.855.7115.5+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)54.848.6103.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)52.849.8102.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)53.853.7107.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)59.253.3112.6+5.967%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.6
58.1%
54.8%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.616.1
33.8%
35.8%48.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.9
76.8%
78.1%13.9
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 47.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.327.5
54.7%
54.8%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.713.7
32.9%
35.8%41.1
🏀 Free throws14.811.2
75.7%
78.1%11.2
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LWLWLLWLWL
Boston Celtics
WLWWWWWLWL
#20
League position
#5
-3.0
Net rating
+7.4
105.6
Offensive rating
112.5
108.6
Defensive rating
105.1
54.1%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
11.9%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.16
33.8%
3-point %
32.9%
74.1%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 112.5Defence108.6 · 105.1Shooting54.1% · 52.2%3-point %33.8% · 32.9%Ball care15.5% · 11.9%Off. rebounds24.4% · 29.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HSan Antonio Spurs113-126
10/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies114-113
08/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers99-105
06/02/26APhoenix Suns101-97
04/02/26HPhiladelphia 76ers94-113
31/01/26HDetroit Pistons124-131
29/01/26AUtah Jazz140-124
27/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves83-108
25/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-85
23/01/26ADallas Mavericks115-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HChicago Bulls124-105
08/02/26HNew York Knicks89-111
07/02/26HMiami Heat98-96
05/02/26AHouston Rockets114-93
04/02/26ADallas Mavericks110-100
01/02/26HMilwaukee Bucks107-79
31/01/26HSacramento Kings112-93
29/01/26HAtlanta Hawks106-117
27/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers102-94
25/01/26AChicago Bulls111-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL53%
HomeLLLWL64%
AwayWLWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %53%64%41%
Points / game115.5118.9112.0
Allowed / game113.7114.0113.3
Point differential+1.8+4.9-1.3
Avg total229.2232.9225.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)50% (4)40% (10)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWLWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542727
Win %65%67%63%
Points / game115.3114.1116.4
Allowed / game108.4107.7109.0
Point differential+6.9+6.4+7.4
Avg total223.6221.8225.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%37%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)43% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder54411376%119.6108.3+11.2
2 Detroit Pistons54411376%117.4109.3+8.1
3 San Antonio Spurs53371670%118.1111.8+6.3
4 Boston Celtics54351965%115.3108.4+6.9
5 Denver Nuggets55352064%120.4116.3+4.0
6 Houston Rockets54342063%114.5109.5+5.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers56352162%119.8115.3+4.5
8 Los Angeles Lakers53332062%116.0115.7+0.2
9 New York Knicks54332161%117.6112.2+5.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves56342261%119.7114.8+4.9
11 Toronto Raptors55332260%113.9112.0+2.0
12 Phoenix Suns55322358%113.7111.5+2.2
13 Philadelphia 76ers55302555%116.0115.9+0.1
14 Orlando Magic51272453%114.9115.1-0.1
15 Miami Heat55292653%119.8117.2+2.6
16 Golden State Warriors55292653%115.5113.7+1.8
17 Portland Trail Blazers56272948%116.3118.3-2.0
18 Los Angeles Clippers54262848%111.9112.3-0.4
19 Atlanta Hawks57273047%117.3118.4-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets56263046%115.4113.6+1.8
21 Milwaukee Bucks53233043%111.8115.2-3.4
22 Chicago Bulls56243243%116.5120.4-3.9
23 Memphis Grizzlies53203338%115.3117.5-2.2
24 Dallas Mavericks54193535%113.9117.4-3.5
25 Utah Jazz56183832%118.3125.9-7.7
26 Brooklyn Nets54153928%107.2114.9-7.6
27 Washington Wizards54153928%112.1122.8-10.6
28 New Orleans Pelicans56154127%114.6120.4-5.8
29 Indiana Pacers56154127%111.0118.5-7.4
30 Sacramento Kings56124421%110.1120.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors32192237110
Boston Celtics36382819121
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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