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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 103-102
34-24 28-29 26-23 15-26
Position#21
Record31-39
FormLWWLW
Points / game104.4
Allowed / game103.8
vs
Position#1
Record58-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game104.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors
02 Apr 2027
MIN v GSW
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
MIN114
GSW119
26 Jan 2026
MIN108
GSW83
25 Jan 2026
MIN85
GSW111
14 May 2025
MIN121
GSW110
08 May 2025
MIN117
GSW93
06 May 2025
MIN88
GSW99
15 Jan 2025
MIN115
GSW116
21 Dec 2024
MIN103
GSW113
24 Mar 2024
MIN114
GSW110
01 Feb 2023
MIN119
GSW114
27 Nov 2022
MIN114
GSW137
01 Mar 2022
MIN129
GSW114
16 Jan 2022
MIN119
GSW99
29 Apr 2021
MIN126
GSW114
02 Jan 2020
MIN99
GSW84
08 Nov 2019
MIN125
GSW119
29 Mar 2019
MIN131
GSW130
19 Mar 2019
MIN107
GSW117
11 Mar 2018
MIN109
GSW103
08 Oct 2017
MIN110
GSW142
12 Jul 2017
MIN69
GSW77
11 Jul 2017
MIN78
GSW76
10 Mar 2017
MIN103
GSW102
11 Dec 2016
MIN108
GSW116
21 Mar 2016
MIN104
GSW109
12 Nov 2015
MIN116
GSW129
11 Feb 2015
MIN91
GSW94
08 Dec 2014
MIN86
GSW102
06 Nov 2013
MIN93
GSW106
24 Feb 2013
MIN99
GSW100
16 Nov 2012
MIN98
GSW106
22 Apr 2012
MIN88
GSW93
04 Apr 2012
MIN94
GSW97
27 Feb 2011
MIN126
GSW123
27 Nov 2010
MIN94
GSW104
07 Apr 2010
MIN107
GSW116
06 Jan 2010
MIN101
GSW107
03 Mar 2009
MIN94
GSW118
02 Jan 2009
MIN115
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
106-122
106
122
-16
H11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
117-89
117
89
+28
H12/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
108-116
108
116
-8
H15/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
112-99
112
99
+13
A16/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
97-84
97
84
+13
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
130-142
130
142
-12
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
102-88
102
88
+14
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
107-80
107
80
+27
A02/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
107-91
107
91
+16
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-28
25-33
24-37
17-24
34-17
23-23
27-25
33-24
30-26
31-43
32-24
15-23
32-31
30-29
23-19
27-20
26-22
23-18
22-23
26-21
28-35
30-31
30-40
42-36
20-25
40-19
17-21
25-23
21-16
30-19
30-18
26-27
26-14
29-29
15-19
13-21
31-19
27-36
24-13
25-23
208.4Avg total
107.6Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)104.4103.8208.3+0.644%
Season at home (37)106.1101.8207.9+4.451%
Season away (33)102.6106.2208.7-3.636%
Last 10 (10)107.6100.8208.4+6.860%
Last 5 (5)107.299.6206.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)109.7117.8227.5-8.217%
vs Similar (20)103.499.8203.2+3.755%
vs Weaker (4)110.8104.5215.2+6.275%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
110-132
110
132
-22
A14/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
109-86
109
86
+23
H16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
123-113
123
113
+10
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
112-95
112
95
+17
H26/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
119-108
119
108
+11
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
108-112
108
112
-4
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
112-105
112
105
+7
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
119-111
119
111
+8
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-42
24-37
31-28
25-25
28-25
19-25
42-15
20-21
31-24
18-37
50-26
24-26
32-28
30-23
29-25
21-19
32-31
27-25
34-24
26-28
26-40
23-21
36-24
23-27
26-19
25-28
22-32
14-15
29-18
20-32
35-26
28-29
35-42
26-24
33-24
25-21
28-25
22-21
24-26
12-27
214.0Avg total
108.5Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)116.6104.9221.5+11.682%
Season at home (33)119.4102.5221.9+16.988%
Season away (38)114.1107.1221.1+7.076%
Last 10 (10)108.5105.5214.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)102.4104.2206.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)117.0106.5223.4+10.577%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +8.6+8.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H12/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H15/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A16/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A02/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H09/03
NBA
108.9Avg total
57.6Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.453.5107.8+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.252.8107.0+1.565%-
Last 30 away (13)54.554.4108.9+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)57.651.3108.9+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)56.448.6105.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)60.060.3120.3-0.350%-
vs Similar (20)52.851.1103.9+1.655%-
vs Weaker (4)54.054.8108.8-0.875%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
54-79
54
79
-25
A14/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H26/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H09/03
NBA
109.8Avg total
53.1Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.654.7113.3+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.654.5116.1+7.164%-
Last 30 away (16)56.054.8110.8+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)53.156.7109.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)52.054.0106.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)58.654.7113.3+4.060%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.934.5
53.2%
50.2%69.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.6
32.0%
35.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws23.518.8
80.0%
77.0%18.8
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.629.8
53.6%
50.2%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.4
32.4%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.617.7
81.9%
77.0%17.7
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWLWWLWL
Golden State Warriors
LWWLLWWWWL
#21
League position
#1
+7.0
Net rating
+3.0
110.1
Offensive rating
107.1
103.2
Defensive rating
104.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.0%
3-point %
32.4%
59.9%
Assist %
68.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 107.1Defence103.2 · 104.1Shooting51.9% · 51.8%3-point %32.0% · 32.4%Ball care13.3% · 13.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 22.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers107-91
05/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs90-97 OT
02/03/17AUtah Jazz107-80
28/02/17ASacramento Kings102-88
26/02/17AHouston Rockets130-142
25/02/17HDallas Mavericks97-84
16/02/17ADenver Nuggets112-99
15/02/17HCleveland Cavaliers108-116
12/02/17HChicago Bulls117-89
11/02/17HNew Orleans Pelicans106-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/17HBoston Celtics86-99
07/03/17AAtlanta Hawks119-111
05/03/17ANew York Knicks112-105
03/03/17AChicago Bulls87-94
01/03/17AWashington Wizards108-112
28/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers119-108
26/02/17HBrooklyn Nets112-95
24/02/17HLos Angeles Clippers123-113
16/02/17HSacramento Kings109-86
14/02/17ADenver Nuggets110-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeLWLWW51%
AwayWLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703733
Win %44%51%36%
Points / game104.4106.1102.6
Allowed / game103.8101.8106.2
Point differential+0.6+4.4-3.6
Avg total208.3207.9208.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%35%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)25% (8)50% (10)
Overtime %6%5%6%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL82%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLLWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713338
Win %82%88%76%
Points / game116.6119.4114.1
Allowed / game104.9102.5107.1
Point differential+11.6+16.9+7.0
Avg total221.5221.9221.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%73%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (2)50% (10)
Overtime %6%6%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors71581382%116.6104.9+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs70541677%105.798.1+7.6
3 Houston Rockets71482368%115.2108.6+6.6
4 Boston Celtics72462664%107.5104.7+2.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers69442564%109.9106.5+3.4
6 Utah Jazz71442762%100.396.1+4.2
7 Washington Wizards70432761%108.3105.4+3.0
8 Los Angeles Clippers71422959%106.4104.6+1.8
9 Toronto Raptors70412959%107.1103.6+3.5
10 Memphis Grizzlies71403156%101.9100.8+1.0
11 Atlanta Hawks71403156%103.3103.5-0.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder69383155%106.1106.0+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers70363451%105.3105.8-0.5
14 Detroit Pistons71353649%101.5101.2+0.3
15 Miami Heat73353848%102.6101.5+1.0
16 Chicago Bulls71343748%102.5103.0-0.5
17 Milwaukee Bucks69333648%103.9104.0-0.1
18 Denver Nuggets72333946%109.9110.5-0.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers70323846%107.6109.5-1.9
20 Charlotte Hornets72324044%103.7103.5+0.2
21 Minnesota Timberwolves70313944%104.4103.8+0.6
22 New York Knicks71304142%105.9108.5-2.6
23 Dallas Mavericks70294141%97.9100.1-2.3
24 Sacramento Kings69274239%102.6105.7-3.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans71264537%102.8106.3-3.5
26 Orlando Magic73264736%99.6105.9-6.4
27 Phoenix Suns71254635%107.5112.0-4.6
28 Philadelphia 76ers71254635%101.3107.9-6.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers73225130%104.5110.6-6.1
30 Brooklyn Nets69125717%105.3114.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves34282615103
Golden State Warriors24292326102
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