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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 98-110
15-32 22-31 29-23 32-24
Position#14
Record26-32
FormWWLWL
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game105.2
vs
Position#17
Record27-33
FormLLWLW
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
117-121
117
121
-4
112avg 95
A04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
137-112
137
112
+25
139avg 95
A05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
88-106
88
106
-18
76avg 95
H09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
114-122
114
122
-8
111avg 95
H11/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
116-100
116
100
+16
114avg 95
A12/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
102-89
102
89
+13
97avg 95
H14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-125
129
125
+4
122avg 95
A16/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
95-109
95
109
-14
82avg 95
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 95
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
95-102
95
102
-7
85avg 95
A28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
22-39
36-28
28-23
45-25
29-41
27-23
36-23
15-28
29-27
19-26
25-25
30-47
25-29
29-27
30-19
29-22
33-30
26-22
28-26
23-19
28-15
26-27
25-28
39-33
23-27
33-22
34-43
27-36
19-23
29-28
20-22
21-23
21-24
35-26
23-23
25-27
25-25
23-25
22-25
217.5Avg total
109.3Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)105.2105.2210.4-0.045%
Season at home (30)107.9105.6213.5+2.350%
Season away (28)102.4104.9207.2-2.539%
Last 10 (10)109.3108.2217.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)104.2104.2208.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)105.8108.5214.2-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (19)103.3105.5208.8-2.337%
vs Weaker (7)112.7113.4226.1-0.743%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
110-87
110
87
+23
112avg 101
H07/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
106-117
106
117
-11
91avg 101
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
131-123
131
123
+8
128avg 101
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
109-125
109
125
-16
94avg 101
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-110
132
110
+22
138avg 101
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
99-112
99
112
-13
88avg 101
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
100-116
100
116
-16
90avg 101
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-109
129
109
+20
126avg 101
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 101
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
125-107
125
107
+18
127avg 101
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
30-13
23-30
28-20
30-39
25-33
32-26
19-19
34-32
30-34
36-22
31-35
33-28
22-31
23-33
31-33
42-30
37-24
28-31
25-25
31-32
29-30
19-23
20-27
26-29
18-32
26-26
30-29
30-25
34-28
37-22
28-34
19-22
28-28
21-18
30-37
22-25
34-34
35-24
34-24
225.0Avg total
113.9Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)110.8111.7222.4-0.945%
Season at home (30)114.0111.5225.5+2.553%
Season away (30)107.6111.8219.4-4.237%
Last 10 (10)113.9111.1225.0+2.850%
Last 5 (5)110.2109.8220.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.2120.6230.8-10.420%
vs Similar ◀ (15)110.5108.6219.1+1.953%
vs Weaker (10)121.3117.7239.0+3.660%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
55-76
55
76
-21
H11/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A12/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A16/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A28/02
NBA
111.0Avg total
53.9Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.456.2109.6-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.555.6110.1-1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)52.656.6109.2-4.029%-
Last 10 (10)53.957.1111.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)50.250.4100.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.556.8109.2-4.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)52.254.3106.5-2.137%-
vs Weaker (7)57.160.9118.0-3.743%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H07/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/03
NBA
115.6Avg total
58.3Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.556.6115.1+1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.053.8112.8+5.250%-
Last 30 away (14)57.959.8117.7-1.921%-
Last 10 (10)58.357.3115.6+1.030%-
Last 5 (5)54.257.0111.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.859.0119.8+1.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)57.254.1111.3+3.140%-
vs Weaker (10)59.359.1118.4+0.240%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.631.9
56.4%
50.2%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.4
38.4%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.520.3
76.6%
77.0%20.3
They take 78.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.129.4
52.4%
50.2%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.613.7
39.6%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
77.0%14.0
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLWWWLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLWLWLW
#14
League position
#17
+1.1
Net rating
+2.8
112.1
Offensive rating
114.2
111.0
Defensive rating
111.4
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
17.2%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.20
38.4%
3-point %
39.6%
61.8%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 114.2Defence111.0 · 111.4Shooting56.7% · 55.1%3-point %38.4% · 39.6%Ball care13.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds17.2% · 29.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Milwaukee Bucks wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers95-102
26/02/17HPhoenix Suns100-96
25/02/17HUtah Jazz95-109
16/02/17ABrooklyn Nets129-125
14/02/17HDetroit Pistons102-89
12/02/17AIndiana Pacers116-100
11/02/17HLos Angeles Lakers114-122
09/02/17HMiami Heat88-106
05/02/17APhoenix Suns137-112
04/02/17ADenver Nuggets117-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/17AChicago Bulls125-107
26/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies98-105
25/02/17HBrooklyn Nets129-109
24/02/17ASacramento Kings100-116
16/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves99-112
14/02/17HGolden State Warriors132-110
12/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers109-125
11/02/17ANew York Knicks131-123
09/02/17AAtlanta Hawks106-117
07/02/17HDallas Mavericks110-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL45%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLWWWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %45%50%39%
Points / game105.2107.9102.4
Allowed / game105.2105.6104.9
Point differential-0.0+2.3-2.5
Avg total210.4213.5207.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)40% (10)57% (7)
Overtime %5%7%4%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWWLWL53%
AwayLWLLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %45%53%37%
Points / game110.8114.0107.6
Allowed / game111.7111.5111.8
Point differential-0.8+2.5-4.2
Avg total222.4225.5219.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)38% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors60501083%118.0105.5+12.5
2 San Antonio Spurs58451378%106.998.3+8.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers58411771%111.1105.9+5.2
4 Houston Rockets61421969%115.0108.4+6.7
5 Boston Celtics60382263%108.0105.7+2.3
6 Utah Jazz60372362%100.595.8+4.7
7 Los Angeles Clippers59362361%108.1104.7+3.4
8 Washington Wizards59362361%107.9105.4+2.5
9 Toronto Raptors61362559%108.0104.0+4.0
10 Memphis Grizzlies61362559%101.299.8+1.5
11 Oklahoma City Thunder60352558%106.2105.9+0.4
12 Atlanta Hawks60342657%103.4104.1-0.7
13 Indiana Pacers60312952%105.5106.3-0.8
14 Chicago Bulls60303050%102.9103.4-0.5
15 Detroit Pistons60293148%101.7102.0-0.3
16 Miami Heat61283346%102.0102.0-0.0
17 Denver Nuggets60273345%110.8111.7-0.8
18 Milwaukee Bucks58263245%105.2105.2-0.0
19 Charlotte Hornets60263443%104.8104.4+0.4
20 Sacramento Kings60253542%102.7105.4-2.8
21 New York Knicks61253641%105.8108.8-3.0
22 Portland Trail Blazers59243541%107.4110.2-2.7
23 Minnesota Timberwolves60243640%105.0105.6-0.6
24 Dallas Mavericks60243640%97.799.8-2.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans60233738%103.1106.9-3.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers60223837%101.7107.4-5.8
27 Orlando Magic61223936%99.5105.8-6.3
28 Los Angeles Lakers61194231%104.2110.8-6.7
29 Phoenix Suns60184230%107.1112.8-5.7
30 Brooklyn Nets5894916%105.3114.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks1522293298
Denver Nuggets32312324110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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