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Gottingen vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 104-109 (OT)
23-15 23-26 24-26 21-24 13-18
Position#8
Record4-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Sparkassen-Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gottingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GottingenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGottingen
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
110-104 OT
110
104
+6
no box
H07/10
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
99-101 OT
99
101
-2
no box
A12/10
German Cup
TSU
#41
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 75
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
46avg 75
A22/10
BBL
Varese
#7
W
91-79
91
79
+12
88avg 75
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-114
77
114
-37
64avg 75
H30/10
BBL
Keravnos
#38
W
90-71
90
71
+19
92avg 75
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
89-97
89
97
-8
81avg 75
A04/11
BBL
TSU
#41
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 75
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
L
118-123 OT
118
123
-5
no box
H11/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
13-27
21-21
30-25
16-16
26-23
16-21
27-25
12-20
28-13
21-25
25-23
17-20
11-17
19-18
16-22
24-17
26-25
22-15
19-22
14-39
25-17
24-29
14-29
27-18
19-15
24-14
20-24
21-24
25-21
20-27
23-25
18-14
25-23
22-18
21-30
32-14
22-27
20-27
21-27
184.1Avg total
90.9Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.279.0167.2+9.2100%
Season at home (2)88.076.0164.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)88.582.0170.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.993.2184.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)92.098.0190.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.192.6173.7-11.518%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.184.4168.5-0.358%
vs Weaker (5)90.885.8176.6+5.080%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 84
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 84
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 84
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 84
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 84
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 84
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 84
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 84
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 84
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
L
96-97
96
97
-1
96avg 84
A11/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
28-17
24-23
19-22
19-17
28-22
21-20
21-19
27-29
18-22
27-19
21-22
30-34
180.2Avg total
90.0Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.086.0181.0+9.075%
Season at home (3)95.088.0183.0+7.067%
Season away (1)95.080.0175.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.090.2180.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)96.090.2186.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.2100.5182.8-18.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.888.1172.9-3.333%
vs Weaker (9)99.688.1187.7+11.4100%
This opponent (Gottingen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
GottingenVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GottingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/10
BBL
Vechta
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A12/10
German Cup
TSU
#41
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A22/10
BBL
Varese
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H30/10
BBL
Keravnos
#38
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A04/11
BBL
TSU
#41
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H11/11
BBL
83.4Avg total
42.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.485.6-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.143.284.4-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)43.443.686.9-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.783.4+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.488.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.246.386.5-6.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.843.086.8+0.858%-
vs Weaker (5)43.037.080.0+6.080%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A11/11
Lega A
92.1Avg total
48.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.646.191.7-0.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.544.491.9+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)43.747.891.5-4.113%-
Last 10 (10)48.543.692.1+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)53.842.896.6+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.851.094.8-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.945.789.7-1.833%-
vs Weaker (9)51.645.697.1+6.056%-
This opponent (Gottingen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gottingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gottingen: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.3
51.7%
52.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
73.0%14.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.915.7
52.5%
52.2%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.614.7
39.1%
33.8%44.1
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
73.0%13.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gottingen
LWLWLWLWLW
Varese
LWWWLLLWLL
#8
League position
#7
-6.7
Net rating
-0.2
104.4
Offensive rating
109.6
111.1
Defensive rating
109.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.4%
3-point %
39.1%
63.9%
Assist %
67.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 109.6Defence111.1 · 109.9Shooting50.5% · 55.9%3-point %32.4% · 39.1%Ball care17.3% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.9% · 22.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Gottingen   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gottingen wins
0
Varese wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Varese v Gottingen79-91
Gottingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HHamburg118-123 OT
08/11/23ATSU86-85
04/11/23ASyntainics MBC89-97
01/11/23HKeravnos90-71
30/10/23HAlba Berlin77-114
25/10/23AVarese91-79
22/10/23AChemnitz63-77
18/10/23HTSU86-81
12/10/23AVechta99-101 OT
07/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins110-104 OT
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ABasket Napoli96-97
08/11/23HKeravnos97-90
05/11/23HSassari90-79
02/11/23HTSU109-83
29/10/23AVenezia88-102
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
22/10/23HTrento84-85
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80
15/10/23HTortona78-80
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gottingen
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.288.088.5
Allowed / game79.076.082.0
Point differential+9.2+12.0+6.5
Avg total167.2164.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game95.095.095.0
Allowed / game86.088.080.0
Point differential+9.0+7.0+15.0
Avg total181.0183.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz550100%91.068.4+22.6
2 Bilbao550100%85.468.0+17.4
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia550100%84.873.2+11.6
5 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
6 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
7 Balkan330100%84.775.7+9.0
8 Manisa76186%83.075.3+7.7
9 Nymburk54180%90.076.6+13.4
10 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%88.879.2+9.6
11 Jonava54180%92.283.6+8.6
12 Varese43175%95.086.0+9.0
13 Leiden43175%56.849.2+7.5
14 Rostock75271%87.476.9+10.6
15 FC Porto75271%86.479.6+6.9
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 CSM Oradea53260%88.882.6+6.2
19 Caledonia Gladiators53260%74.479.4-5.0
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
24 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
25 Sabah Baku84450%76.281.9-5.6
26 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
27 Peja42250%79.290.0-10.8
28 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
29 Anwil Wloclawek52340%77.067.6+9.4
30 Levice52340%73.277.6-4.4
31 AEK Larnaca52340%77.682.4-4.8
32 Spojnia Stargard52340%77.083.6-6.6
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
35 Keravnos72529%80.982.4-1.6
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Bakken Bears51420%83.286.0-2.8
38 TSU51420%78.285.0-6.8
39 Karhu Basket51420%82.891.8-9.0
40 Mornar Bar51420%72.681.8-9.2
41 Norrkoping51420%67.880.2-12.4
42 Kataja71614%76.385.3-9.0
43 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
44 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
45 Den Bosch4040%76.085.2-9.2
46 Brindisi3030%76.386.0-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu5050%61.683.4-21.8
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Gottingen2323242113104
Varese1526262418109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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