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Varese vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 84-85
28-17 16-25 23-24 17-19
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game92.3
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record2-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game82.3
ItalyLega ARound 4· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Trento
21 Mar 2027
VAR v TRE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
VAR74
TRE85
09 Feb 2025
VAR79
TRE92
22 Oct 2023
VAR84
TRE85
16 Oct 2022
VAR91
TRE94
30 Jan 2022
VAR90
TRE89
28 Mar 2021
VAR88
TRE70
29 Dec 2019
VAR81
TRE86
21 Oct 2018
VAR93
TRE85
04 Nov 2017
VAR93
TRE66
15 Apr 2017
VAR83
TRE80
06 Mar 2016
VAR96
TRE82
09 Nov 2014
VAR70
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 83
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
98avg 83
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
69avg 83
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 83
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 83
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 83
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 83
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 83
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 83
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
25-24
30-12
18-23
18-23
18-19
17-21
28-29
32-16
14-21
23-20
26-24
24-23
15-20
22-27
21-28
23-21
12-18
14-21
24-11
22-25
22-24
34-23
10-24
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
173.3Avg total
85.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.792.3174.0-10.733%
Season at home (2)80.581.0161.5-0.550%
Season away (1)84.0115.0199.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)85.288.1173.3-2.950%
Last 5 (5)85.690.6176.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.0100.8185.8-15.80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.888.3174.1-2.538%
vs Weaker (10)98.591.1189.6+7.490%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 67
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
71avg 67
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 67
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 67
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 67
H30/09
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
70-80
70
80
-10
67avg 67
A03/10
Eurocup
Pistoia
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
76avg 67
A08/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
67avg 67
H10/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 67
H15/10
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
L
73-87
73
87
-14
67avg 67
H18/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
27-24
12-19
21-17
17-18
17-23
24-25
23-18
10-12
18-27
22-14
29-23
27-19
12-25
20-26
22-12
33-20
19-22
20-24
19-18
18-16
20-26
16-18
16-20
25-14
12-28
25-20
16-11
23-23
15-21
21-18
13-17
17-25
23-16
19-28
16-21
20-31
21-13
23-18
9-25
159.2Avg total
77.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.382.3163.7-1.067%
Season at home (2)83.087.0170.0-4.050%
Season away (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.881.4159.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)73.681.8155.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.386.4162.7-10.110%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.478.2157.6+1.156%
vs Weaker (3)76.774.3151.0+2.333%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
VareseTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
86.0Avg total
41.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.747.492.1-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.645.891.4-0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)44.048.692.6-4.618%-
Last 10 (10)41.944.186.0-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.889.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.451.892.2-11.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.246.190.3-1.831%-
vs Weaker (10)49.448.197.5+1.350%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H30/09
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/10
Eurocup
Pistoia
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H10/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H18/10
Eurocup
81.4Avg total
39.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.579.1-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.639.879.4-0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)37.541.478.8-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.281.4-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.244.184.3-3.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.939.377.2-1.444%-
vs Weaker (3)38.735.374.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.2
52.8%
53.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.813.6
39.1%
35.7%40.8
🏀 Free throws13.510.5
77.8%
76.3%10.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.0
52.2%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.7
33.3%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.213.1
76.2%
76.3%13.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWLWLWLW
Trento
LLLWLWLWLL
#12
League position
#6
-4.2
Net rating
-4.8
107.1
Offensive rating
106.6
111.3
Defensive rating
111.4
55.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.1%
3-point %
33.3%
67.1%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 106.6Defence111.3 · 111.4Shooting55.9% · 51.3%3-point %39.1% · 33.3%Ball care17.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds19.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Trento wins
DateGameScore
22/01/23Trento v Varese90-80
16/10/22Varese v Trento91-94 OT
30/01/22Varese v Trento90-89
28/01/22Trento v Varese84-90
28/03/21Varese v Trento88-70
22/11/20Trento v Varese74-77
29/12/19Varese v Trento81-86
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80
15/10/23HTortona78-80
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115
04/10/23HPistoia83-82
29/09/23ACholet88-96
27/09/23AFMP Beograd73-71
07/05/23AVirtus Bologna82-98
30/04/23HScafati95-81
23/04/23AVenezia81-92
19/04/23HBrindisi93-86
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HGran Canaria73-87
15/10/23HVirtus Bologna75-90
10/10/23HJL Bourg72-79
08/10/23APistoia78-73
03/10/23AUlm70-80
30/09/23HCremona91-84
21/05/23HTortona81-82
19/05/23HTortona79-76
16/05/23ATortona81-84
14/05/23ATortona78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.780.584.0
Allowed / game92.381.0115.0
Point differential-10.7-0.5-31.0
Avg total174.0161.5199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game81.383.078.0
Allowed / game82.387.073.0
Point differential-1.0-4.0+5.0
Avg total163.7170.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna330100%95.378.0+17.3
2 Brescia330100%86.773.7+13.0
3 Venezia330100%77.066.7+10.3
4 Reggiana43175%83.877.5+6.2
5 Basket Napoli32167%86.379.3+7.0
6 Olimpia Milano32167%77.775.0+2.7
7 Trento32167%81.382.3-1.0
8 Tortona32167%69.774.0-4.3
9 Pesaro31233%74.775.0-0.3
10 Scafati31233%79.081.0-2.0
11 Sassari31233%81.391.0-9.7
12 Varese31233%81.792.3-10.7
13 Cremona41325%84.284.8-0.5
14 Pistoia3030%77.382.0-4.7
15 Brindisi3030%66.379.0-12.7
16 Treviso3030%75.788.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2816231784
Trento1725241985
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