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Venezia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 102-88
35-23 23-29 21-10 23-26
Position#4
Record4-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game69.2
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game90.5
ItalyLega ARound 5· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Venezia v Varese
31 Jan 2027
VEN v VAR
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
VEN86
VAR75
11 May 2025
VEN83
VAR64
29 Oct 2023
VEN102
VAR88
23 Apr 2023
VEN92
VAR81
13 Feb 2022
VEN82
VAR93
20 Dec 2020
VEN86
VAR77
15 Mar 2020
VEN v VAR
upcoming
09 Dec 2018
VEN61
VAR66
21 Jan 2018
VEN63
VAR75
23 Apr 2017
VEN87
VAR81
20 Dec 2015
VEN84
VAR58
02 Nov 2014
VEN98
VAR95
02 Feb 2014
VEN77
VAR93
16 May 2013
VEN84
VAR72
14 May 2013
VEN79
VAR93
05 May 2013
VEN76
VAR71
18 Mar 2012
VEN71
VAR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 73
A18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 73
A20/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
76-60
76
60
+16
71avg 73
H01/10
Lega A
London Lions
#5
L
69-76
69
76
-7
61avg 73
A04/10
Eurocup
Pesaro
#16
W
76-64
76
64
+12
74avg 73
A08/10
Lega A
Paris
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 73
H11/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 73
H14/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
81-97
81
97
-16
73avg 73
H17/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
W
82-77
82
77
+5
71avg 73
A22/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 73
H24/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-21
14-24
20-15
25-24
8-21
20-15
30-27
17-12
18-12
21-15
20-21
25-17
16-21
15-16
13-22
23-19
18-9
19-17
16-19
22-24
19-16
19-16
15-25
28-19
15-14
14-22
22-21
21-20
19-21
24-27
17-29
21-24
16-22
21-18
24-13
15-17
18-9
15-21
31-17
153.1Avg total
76.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.269.2147.5+9.0100%
Season at home (2)77.568.0145.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)79.070.5149.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.976.2153.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.883.3158.2-8.517%
vs Similar (17)79.777.5157.2+2.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
98avg 82
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
69avg 82
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 82
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 82
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 82
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 82
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 82
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 82
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 82
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 82
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
14-21
23-20
26-24
24-23
15-20
22-27
21-28
23-21
12-18
14-21
24-11
22-25
22-24
34-23
10-24
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
172.0Avg total
84.1Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.290.5172.8-8.225%
Season at home (3)81.782.3164.0-0.733%
Season away (1)84.0115.0199.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)84.187.9172.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)84.090.2174.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.299.0180.2-17.80%
vs Similar (15)85.288.3173.5-3.133%
vs Weaker (9)98.691.1189.7+7.489%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
VeneziaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H01/10
Lega A
London Lions
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A04/10
Eurocup
Pesaro
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A08/10
Lega A
Paris
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H17/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H24/10
Eurocup
74.1Avg total
37.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.780.0+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.878.7+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.641.781.3-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.274.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.240.876.0-5.733%-
vs Similar (17)41.138.579.6+2.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.738.286.8+10.583%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
86.4Avg total
42.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.047.091.0-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.145.190.2+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)43.148.691.7-5.612%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.086.4-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.487.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.850.889.5-12.00%-
vs Similar (15)44.146.190.1-2.033%-
vs Weaker (9)48.348.096.3+0.344%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.0
51.0%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.5
35.1%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.414.4
70.6%
76.3%14.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.6
53.5%
53.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.0
36.2%
35.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws13.410.9
81.3%
76.3%10.9
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WWLWLWLWLL
Varese
LLWLLWLWLW
#4
League position
#12
+0.7
Net rating
-5.1
101.1
Offensive rating
105.0
100.4
Defensive rating
110.0
51.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.1%
3-point %
36.2%
57.7%
Assist %
68.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 105.0Defence100.4 · 110.0Shooting51.7% · 54.0%3-point %35.1% · 36.2%Ball care18.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds24.1% · 20.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Venezia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Venezia wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
23/04/23Venezia v Varese92-81
19/11/22Varese v Venezia93-90
13/02/22Venezia v Varese82-93
15/01/22Varese v Venezia76-68
14/04/21Varese v Venezia75-77
20/12/20Venezia v Varese86-77
17/11/19Varese v Venezia93-91 OT
31/03/19Varese v Venezia87-79
09/12/18Venezia v Varese61-66
21/01/18Venezia v Varese63-75
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23HJoventut Badalona79-64
22/10/23ATreviso82-77
17/10/23HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-97
14/10/23HCremona79-76
11/10/23HParis75-81
08/10/23APesaro76-64
04/10/23ALondon Lions69-76
01/10/23HTortona76-60
20/05/23ASassari83-87
18/05/23ASassari69-80
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
22/10/23HTrento84-85
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80
15/10/23HTortona78-80
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115
04/10/23HPistoia83-82
29/09/23ACholet88-96
27/09/23AFMP Beograd73-71
07/05/23AVirtus Bologna82-98
30/04/23HScafati95-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.277.579.0
Allowed / game69.268.070.5
Point differential+9.0+9.5+8.5
Avg total147.5145.5149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game82.281.784.0
Allowed / game90.582.3115.0
Point differential-8.2-0.7-31.0
Avg total172.8164.0199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna440100%91.575.0+16.5
2 Venezia440100%78.269.2+9.0
3 Brescia54180%85.276.6+8.6
4 Trento54180%83.882.6+1.2
5 Basket Napoli43175%87.277.2+10.0
6 Reggiana43175%83.877.5+6.2
7 Olimpia Milano53260%78.878.0+0.8
8 Tortona53260%75.675.0+0.6
9 Cremona52340%91.890.2+1.6
10 Pesaro52340%83.482.8+0.6
11 Scafati52340%91.293.6-2.4
12 Varese41325%82.290.5-8.2
13 Pistoia51420%76.480.4-4.0
14 Sassari51420%76.889.4-12.6
15 Treviso4040%76.086.8-10.8
16 Brindisi5050%68.481.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia35232123102
Varese2329102688
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