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Varese vs Gottingen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-91
17-24 25-26 15-22 22-19
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game80.0
Varese
vs
Gottingen 🏆
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Palasport Lino Oldrini
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gottingen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
98avg 82
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
69avg 82
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 82
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 82
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 82
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 82
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 82
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 82
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 82
H22/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
18-19
17-21
28-29
32-16
14-21
23-20
26-24
24-23
15-20
22-27
21-28
23-21
12-18
14-21
24-11
22-25
22-24
34-23
10-24
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
172.3Avg total
84.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.080.0175.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)95.080.0175.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.388.0172.3-3.740%
Last 5 (5)84.888.4173.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.0100.8185.8-15.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.688.1173.7-2.436%
vs Weaker (9)98.691.1189.7+7.489%
This opponent (Gottingen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GottingenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGottingen
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
60-95
60
95
-35
44avg 74
H02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
82-88
82
88
-6
84avg 74
H07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
67-87
67
87
-20
55avg 74
A16/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 74
A18/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
54-65
54
65
-11
46avg 74
H21/05
BBL
Den Bosch
#21
L
84-96
84
96
-12
74avg 74
A27/09
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
110-104 OT
110
104
+6
no box
H07/10
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
99-101 OT
99
101
-2
no box
A12/10
German Cup
TSU
#41
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 74
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
46avg 74
A22/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
13-30
14-18
13-24
21-17
26-21
15-22
20-28
14-21
22-23
14-22
17-21
23-24
20-31
23-14
19-18
14-17
23-19
7-17
10-12
20-23
21-30
23-20
20-23
26-17
13-27
21-21
30-25
16-16
26-23
16-21
27-25
12-20
28-13
21-25
25-23
17-20
11-17
19-18
16-22
167.1Avg total
79.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.088.1167.1-9.120%
Last 5 (5)88.491.8180.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.188.7165.8-11.620%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.484.9170.2+0.564%
vs Weaker (4)88.287.8176.0+0.550%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
VareseGottingen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
85.0Avg total
41.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.247.291.4-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.545.591.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)43.148.691.7-5.612%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.285.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.488.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.451.892.2-11.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.245.890.0-1.636%-
vs Weaker (9)48.348.096.3+0.344%-
This opponent (Gottingen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GottingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H07/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A16/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A18/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H21/05
BBL
Den Bosch
#21
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A27/09
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/10
BBL
Vechta
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A12/10
German Cup
TSU
#41
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A22/10
BBL
81.8Avg total
38.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.684.9-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.643.383.9-2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)41.943.985.9-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.281.8-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.279.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.846.385.1-7.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.042.985.9+0.150%-
vs Weaker (4)41.238.579.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.515.8
51.8%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.5
38.1%
33.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws13.710.7
78.1%
73.0%10.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gottingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gottingen: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.4
48.3%
52.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.4
29.5%
33.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
73.0%16.0
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLLWLWLWL
Gottingen
LWLWLLLLLL
#7
League position
#8
-5.3
Net rating
-9.0
106.1
Offensive rating
100.9
111.3
Defensive rating
109.9
54.7%
Effective FG%
46.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
19.1%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.1%
3-point %
29.5%
66.9%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 100.9Defence111.3 · 109.9Shooting54.7% · 46.7%3-point %38.1% · 29.5%Ball care16.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds19.1% · 28.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Varese   ■ Gottingen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Gottingen wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HTrento84-85
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80
15/10/23HTortona78-80
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115
04/10/23HPistoia83-82
29/09/23ACholet88-96
27/09/23AFMP Beograd73-71
07/05/23AVirtus Bologna82-98
30/04/23HScafati95-81
23/04/23AVenezia81-92
Gottingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23AChemnitz63-77
18/10/23HTSU86-81
12/10/23AVechta99-101 OT
07/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins110-104 OT
27/09/23ADen Bosch84-96
21/05/23HBayern54-65
18/05/23ABayern85-87
16/05/23ABayern67-87
07/05/23HFrankfurt82-88
02/05/23HBonn60-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game95.0-95.0
Allowed / game80.0-80.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total175.0-175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Gottingen
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz220100%91.069.0+22.0
2 Leiden220100%80.561.5+19.0
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia220100%85.569.5+16.0
5 Varese110100%95.080.0+15.0
6 Bilbao220100%86.071.5+14.5
7 Manisa440100%84.871.5+13.2
8 Caledonia Gladiators110100%80.068.0+12.0
9 Balkan110100%88.078.0+10.0
10 Basket Zaragoza330100%88.780.0+8.7
11 Nymburk220100%83.575.0+8.5
12 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%76.070.0+6.0
13 Gottingen110100%86.081.0+5.0
14 AEK Larnaca220100%82.578.0+4.5
15 Sporting CP110100%83.079.0+4.0
16 Rostock43175%90.872.2+18.5
17 FC Porto43175%84.578.2+6.2
18 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
19 Trepca32167%69.373.3-4.0
20 Sabah Baku53260%77.677.4+0.2
21 Bahcesehir Kol.21150%85.577.0+8.5
22 CSM Oradea21150%89.083.0+6.0
23 Jonava21150%92.087.5+4.5
24 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
25 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
26 TSU21150%72.073.0-1.0
27 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
28 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
29 Levice21150%85.088.5-3.5
30 Mornar Bar21150%71.076.5-5.5
31 Peja21150%85.591.0-5.5
32 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
33 Spojnia Stargard21150%79.086.5-7.5
34 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
35 Keravnos41325%80.277.8+2.5
36 Kataja41325%75.583.8-8.2
37 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
38 Anwil Wloclawek1010%79.083.0-4.0
39 Brindisi2020%78.583.5-5.0
40 Alba Fehervar2020%78.585.5-7.0
41 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%69.077.0-8.0
42 Bakken Bears2020%77.085.5-8.5
43 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
44 Den Bosch2020%86.595.5-9.0
45 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
46 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
47 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
48 Norrkoping2020%61.579.0-17.5
49 CSU Sibiu2020%66.084.5-18.5
50 Karhu Basket2020%76.598.5-22.0
51 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 51 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1725152279
Gottingen2426221991
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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