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Basket Napoli vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-96
22-18 19-27 22-21 34-30
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#12
Record2-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game90.5
ItalyLega ARound 7· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Varese
20 Dec 2026
NAP v VAR
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
NAP104
VAR75
12 Apr 2025
NAP87
VAR97
11 Nov 2023
NAP97
VAR96
05 Mar 2023
NAP93
VAR101
14 Mar 2022
NAP74
VAR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 72
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
70avg 72
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
98-87
98
87
+11
95avg 72
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 72
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
111-90
111
90
+21
110avg 72
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
60avg 72
A15/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
90-71
90
71
+19
86avg 72
H22/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 72
H30/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
97-77
97
77
+20
92avg 72
A04/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
18-20
14-25
27-19
16-24
19-9
27-20
20-16
30-27
22-23
21-23
25-14
25-16
22-31
13-16
28-19
27-19
28-21
31-22
25-28
23-13
12-22
23-12
19-21
22-23
16-18
19-18
14-21
21-14
26-15
25-16
18-26
22-23
6-23
20-21
27-21
19-25
28-12
24-18
26-22
166.5Avg total
86.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.879.0165.8+7.867%
Season at home (3)80.775.7156.3+5.067%
Season away (3)93.082.3175.3+10.767%
Last 10 (10)86.580.0166.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)82.076.8158.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.885.1164.8-5.331%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.681.1160.7-1.558%
vs Weaker (2)93.574.0167.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 83
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 83
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 83
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 83
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 83
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 83
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 83
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 83
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 83
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 83
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
28-17
24-23
19-22
19-17
28-22
21-20
21-19
27-29
177.4Avg total
88.7Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.590.5175.0-6.033%
Season at home (4)83.881.5165.2+2.250%
Season away (2)86.0108.5194.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)88.788.7177.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)92.689.0181.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.2100.5182.8-18.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.387.6172.9-2.340%
vs Weaker (9)99.688.1187.7+11.4100%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
Basket NapoliVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H30/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/11
Lega A
82.1Avg total
41.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.679.7-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.481.1+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.778.4-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.282.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.676.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.941.981.9-2.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.840.076.8-3.233%-
vs Weaker (2)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
92.9Avg total
48.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.946.292.1-0.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.544.491.9+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)44.348.092.3-3.713%-
Last 10 (10)48.444.592.9+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)53.244.697.8+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.851.094.8-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.645.990.5-1.333%-
vs Weaker (9)51.645.697.1+6.056%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.1
53.2%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.5
40.4%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
76.3%15.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.116.8
54.0%
53.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.713.7
38.4%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws17.113.4
78.4%
76.3%13.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WLWLWWWWWL
Varese
WWWLLLWLLW
#7
League position
#12
+7.9
Net rating
+0.5
114.3
Offensive rating
110.1
106.4
Defensive rating
109.6
56.3%
Effective FG%
55.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.4%
3-point %
38.4%
54.4%
Assist %
66.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 110.1Defence106.4 · 109.6Shooting56.3% · 55.9%3-point %40.4% · 38.4%Ball care15.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds23.7% · 21.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Napoli wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
05/03/23Basket Napoli v Varese93-101
15/01/23Varese v Basket Napoli106-79
14/03/22Basket Napoli v Varese74-82
12/12/21Varese v Basket Napoli89-98 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23APesaro97-77
30/10/23HVirtus Bologna75-88
22/10/23HBrindisi90-71
15/10/23ABrescia71-80
08/10/23HOlimpia Milano77-68
01/10/23ASassari111-90
07/05/23AVerona88-82
29/04/23HPesaro98-87
23/04/23HTortona82-69
19/04/23AOlimpia Milano76-88
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HKeravnos97-90
05/11/23HSassari90-79
02/11/23HTSU109-83
29/10/23AVenezia88-102
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
22/10/23HTrento84-85
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80
15/10/23HTortona78-80
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115
04/10/23HPistoia83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game86.880.793.0
Allowed / game79.075.782.3
Point differential+7.8+5.0+10.7
Avg total165.8156.3175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game84.583.886.0
Allowed / game90.581.5108.5
Point differential-6.0+2.2-22.5
Avg total175.0165.2194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%89.777.9+11.9
2 Brescia65183%85.573.7+11.8
3 Venezia65183%82.075.0+7.0
4 Trento65183%86.283.5+2.7
5 Basket Napoli64267%86.879.0+7.8
6 Olimpia Milano64267%80.274.5+5.7
7 Reggiana64267%85.581.8+3.7
8 Cremona63350%92.089.0+3.0
9 Scafati63350%92.292.5-0.3
10 Tortona63350%72.877.0-4.2
11 Pistoia62433%77.879.8-2.0
12 Pesaro62433%82.385.2-2.8
13 Varese62433%84.590.5-6.0
14 Sassari61517%77.289.5-12.3
15 Treviso7070%78.789.3-10.6
16 Brindisi6060%66.582.0-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2219223497
Varese1827213096
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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