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Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 115-84
33-22 25-17 23-28 34-17
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game82.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· PalaDozza
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Varese
27 Mar 2027
VIR v VAR
upcoming
10 May 2026
VIR104
VAR85
27 Apr 2025
VIR104
VAR67
08 Oct 2023
VIR115
VAR84
07 May 2023
VIR98
VAR82
03 Oct 2021
VIR97
VAR56
27 Feb 2021
VIR85
VAR76
19 Oct 2019
VIR87
VAR80
12 May 2019
VIR84
VAR72
22 Apr 2018
VIR69
VAR71
13 Mar 2016
VIR76
VAR67
04 Apr 2015
VIR86
VAR78
19 Apr 2014
VIR77
VAR78
21 Oct 2012
VIR74
VAR84
13 Nov 2011
VIR74
VAR63
20 Mar 2011
VIR69
VAR71
14 Mar 2010
VIR80
VAR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-79
76
79
-3
72avg 79
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 79
H14/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 79
A19/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-66
85
66
+19
84avg 79
H21/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
55-67
55
67
-12
48avg 79
A23/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 79
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
97-60
97
60
+37
105avg 79
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Scafati
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
82avg 79
A01/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 79
H05/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
18-24
19-19
22-22
15-17
19-12
18-13
17-19
24-14
16-17
20-16
16-29
24-26
13-16
17-17
18-20
23-27
26-16
18-16
18-7
9-21
20-17
5-10
21-19
14-12
20-20
25-21
19-20
27-10
21-25
28-8
21-17
25-15
23-21
13-19
20-20
23-15
19-22
23-21
14-24
151.6Avg total
78.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.075.0156.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.075.0156.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.573.1151.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)78.071.4149.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.397.7173.0-22.30%
vs Similar (10)76.877.8154.6-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.978.8170.6+13.181%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 82
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 82
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 82
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 82
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
98avg 82
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
69avg 82
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 82
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 82
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 82
H04/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
20-30
24-22
25-22
14-29
26-20
15-17
26-19
17-24
21-19
23-22
22-15
20-27
25-24
30-12
18-23
18-23
18-19
17-21
28-29
32-16
14-21
23-20
26-24
24-23
15-20
22-27
21-28
23-21
12-18
14-21
24-11
22-25
22-24
34-23
10-24
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
172.2Avg total
85.6Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
Season at home (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.686.6172.2-1.060%
Last 5 (5)84.285.6169.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.297.2182.5-12.00%
vs Similar (14)87.989.4177.3-1.450%
vs Weaker (10)97.791.6189.3+6.190%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
Virtus BolognaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H14/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H21/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Scafati
#14
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A01/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/10
Euroleague
75.7Avg total
39.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.582.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.438.282.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.343.082.3-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.175.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.675.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.049.380.3-18.30%-
vs Similar (10)38.738.176.8+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.640.887.4+5.862%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
86.9Avg total
41.5Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.347.592.8-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.845.691.4+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)44.849.193.9-4.319%-
Last 10 (10)41.545.486.9-3.910%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.685.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.850.291.0-9.50%-
vs Similar (14)45.846.191.9-0.343%-
vs Weaker (10)48.449.698.0-1.240%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.318.6
61.4%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.015.4
73.3%
76.3%15.4
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.6
55.2%
53.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.2
37.1%
35.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws16.112.5
77.6%
76.3%12.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWWWLWLWWL
Varese
WLWLWLWWLW
#2
League position
#12
+0.9
Net rating
-1.3
109.8
Offensive rating
108.4
108.9
Defensive rating
109.6
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.0%
3-point %
37.1%
71.8%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 108.4Defence108.9 · 109.6Shooting55.3% · 55.4%3-point %32.0% · 37.1%Ball care18.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds23.9% · 20.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Virtus Bologna wins
1
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas79-82
01/10/23AScafati81-75
24/09/23HBrescia97-60
23/09/23AOlimpia Milano78-73
23/06/23AOlimpia Milano55-67
21/06/23HOlimpia Milano85-66
19/06/23AOlimpia Milano72-79
16/06/23HOlimpia Milano93-89 OT
14/06/23HOlimpia Milano69-61
11/06/23AOlimpia Milano76-79
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23HPistoia83-82
29/09/23ACholet88-96
27/09/23AFMP Beograd73-71
07/05/23AVirtus Bologna82-98
30/04/23HScafati95-81
23/04/23AVenezia81-92
19/04/23HBrindisi93-86
16/04/23ATrieste83-80
08/04/23HReggiana81-85
02/04/23ATreviso97-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+1.0+1.0-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Reggiana220100%86.070.0+16.0
2 Venezia110100%76.060.0+16.0
3 Basket Napoli220100%94.079.0+15.0
4 Brescia220100%90.075.0+15.0
5 Trento220100%84.578.5+6.0
6 Virtus Bologna110100%81.075.0+6.0
7 Varese110100%83.082.0+1.0
8 Cremona21150%85.082.5+2.5
9 Olimpia Milano21150%77.078.5-1.5
10 Tortona21150%64.572.0-7.5
11 Pesaro1010%79.081.0-2.0
12 Pistoia2020%77.580.5-3.0
13 Scafati2020%76.083.0-7.0
14 Brindisi2020%65.578.0-12.5
15 Sassari2020%82.098.5-16.5
16 Treviso2020%75.592.5-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna33252334115
Varese2217281784
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