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Guangzhou vs Guangdong Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game90.4
ChinaCBARound 30· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangzhou v Guangdong
31 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
01 May 2026
GUAN64
GUAN85
23 Dec 2025
GUAN85
GUAN93
16 Jan 2025
GUAN77
GUAN85
03 Jan 2024
GUAN93
GUAN105
17 Mar 2023
GUAN79
GUAN101
13 Mar 2022
GUAN120
GUAN101
01 Mar 2021
GUAN98
GUAN105
22 Dec 2019
GUAN90
GUAN116
08 Nov 2018
GUAN110
GUAN125
27 Dec 2017
GUAN101
GUAN113
18 Dec 2016
GUAN80
GUAN101
03 Feb 2016
GUAN105
GUAN121
14 Nov 2014
GUAN116
GUAN123
13 Nov 2013
GUAN72
GUAN81
22 Jan 2013
GUAN114
GUAN127
13 Jan 2012
GUAN124
GUAN133
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 79
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
35avg 79
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
114-81
114
81
+33
no box
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
no box
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
no box
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
33-21
15-24
28-18
14-16
21-24
24-35
26-18
22-23
181.0Avg total
87.4Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.295.1186.4-3.950%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (5)91.295.8187.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)87.493.6181.0-6.240%
Last 5 (5)88.099.8187.8-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)85.694.1179.6-8.518%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.289.2180.4+2.056%
vs Weaker (4)95.576.0171.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
96avg 88
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 88
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
L
109-112
109
112
-3
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
27-19
12-21
21-20
16-25
35-27
21-27
25-24
28-34
179.4Avg total
88.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.690.4179.0-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.286.8180.0+6.575%
Season away (4)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)88.491.0179.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.090.6178.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.892.1183.9-0.350%
vs Weaker (13)94.081.6175.6+12.462%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
GuangzhouGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A03/11
CBA
91.9Avg total
43.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.046.690.5-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.987.6-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)45.248.393.5-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.348.691.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.693.2-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.849.492.2-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.945.291.1+0.767%-
vs Weaker (4)44.837.582.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H02/11
CBA
91.0Avg total
43.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.992.0+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.544.492.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.391.1+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.791.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.947.493.2-1.529%-
vs Weaker (13)50.439.990.3+10.577%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLWLLWWLL
Guangdong
LLWLWWLLLW
#9
League position
#12
-11.7
Net rating
+6.1
90.5
Offensive rating
102.5
102.2
Defensive rating
96.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
36.5%
60.4%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 102.5Defence102.2 · 96.4Shooting47.4% · 56.0%3-point %33.2% · 36.5%Ball care14.7% · 14.2%Free throws0.43 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Guangdong v Guangzhou90-80
01/05/26Guangzhou v Guangdong64-85
28/04/26Guangdong v Guangzhou76-93
23/12/25Guangzhou v Guangdong85-93
19/12/25Guangdong v Guangzhou97-94
24/01/25Guangdong v Guangzhou111-82
16/01/25Guangzhou v Guangdong77-85
13/11/24Guangdong v Guangzhou88-68
31/03/24Guangdong v Guangzhou124-97
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ALiaoning93-100
01/11/26AJilin90-79
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HQingdao109-112
31/10/26AShandong76-85
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game91.291.391.2
Allowed / game95.194.095.8
Point differential-3.9-2.7-4.6
Avg total186.4185.3187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game88.693.284.0
Allowed / game90.486.894.0
Point differential-1.8+6.5-10.0
Avg total179.0180.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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