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Tianjin vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 99-103
18-21 29-22 23-41 29-19
Position#14
Record21-27
FormLLLLW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game109.1
vs
Position#9
Record26-22
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game99.1
ChinaCBARound 49· University of Finance and Economics
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tianjin v Guangzhou
23 Oct 2026
TIAN102
GUAN86
04 Jan 2026
TIAN106
GUAN108
12 Mar 2025
TIAN87
GUAN96
17 Nov 2024
TIAN69
GUAN89
29 Mar 2024
TIAN99
GUAN103
09 Mar 2023
TIAN77
GUAN98
01 Mar 2022
TIAN106
GUAN110
27 Mar 2021
TIAN111
GUAN112
30 Oct 2020
TIAN95
GUAN108
27 Jul 2020
TIAN118
GUAN110
23 Oct 2018
TIAN103
GUAN114
24 Jan 2018
TIAN131
GUAN126
22 Jan 2017
TIAN99
GUAN89
03 Jan 2016
TIAN134
GUAN128
19 Dec 2014
TIAN112
GUAN123
29 Nov 2013
TIAN115
GUAN100
01 Jan 2013
TIAN111
GUAN103
12 Feb 2012
TIAN115
GUAN116
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tianjin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TianjinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTianjin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
94-84
94
84
+10
68avg 97
A05/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
99-109
99
109
-10
95avg 97
H08/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
113-93
113
93
+20
106avg 97
H10/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
109-127
109
127
-18
91avg 97
A12/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
108-102
108
102
+6
113avg 97
H15/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
96-103
96
103
-7
91avg 97
H17/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
107-125
107
125
-18
97avg 97
H19/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
101-110
101
110
-9
96avg 97
A21/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
103-122
103
122
-19
88avg 97
A24/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
129-111
129
111
+18
132avg 97
A26/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
29-15
16-31
29-20
30-33
29-28
19-24
21-24
28-27
26-26
34-22
25-18
27-36
22-35
27-32
33-24
23-24
25-28
31-23
29-27
19-24
25-19
28-33
24-27
21-30
26-30
32-30
28-35
21-26
29-36
30-24
21-24
33-25
33-35
18-34
19-28
40-24
25-29
42-32
22-26
214.5Avg total
105.9Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)106.7109.1215.8-2.444%
Season at home (24)108.1106.0214.2+2.162%
Season away (24)105.2112.1217.3-6.925%
Last 10 (10)105.9108.6214.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)107.2114.2221.4-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)107.9115.4223.3-7.523%
vs Similar (11)112.5111.8224.3+0.645%
vs Weaker (6)109.297.8207.0+11.3100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-96
109
96
+13
95avg 97
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 97
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
97avg 97
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
97-104
97
104
-7
78avg 97
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 97
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
108-96
108
96
+12
103avg 97
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 97
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 97
A21/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
115-106
115
106
+9
100avg 97
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 97
H26/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
34-17
16-28
26-23
20-26
27-20
19-38
34-18
34-29
29-27
23-32
17-21
22-25
26-30
16-19
33-30
34-35
29-22
26-21
26-22
27-21
29-28
23-19
29-28
27-24
27-19
23-15
24-21
25-27
20-22
27-24
30-26
32-26
17-23
38-29
28-28
29-33
30-22
29-20
32-28
206.4Avg total
107.0Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)102.699.1201.8+3.554%
Season at home (24)105.098.0203.0+7.062%
Season away (24)100.3100.2200.6+0.146%
Last 10 (10)107.099.4206.4+7.670%
Last 5 (5)109.296.6205.8+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)100.7103.3204.0-2.733%
vs Similar (13)101.8101.2202.9+0.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)106.496.4202.7+10.073%
This opponent (Tianjin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
TianjinGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TianjinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A05/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H08/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H10/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A12/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H15/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H19/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A21/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A24/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A26/03
CBA
107.9Avg total
53.1Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.356.0110.3-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.354.2109.5+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)53.357.8111.1-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)53.154.8107.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.455.6110.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)51.157.3108.4-6.223%-
vs Similar (11)58.559.6118.1-1.255%-
vs Weaker (6)53.546.5100.0+7.083%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A21/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H26/03
CBA
105.5Avg total
55.1Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.851.5104.2+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.251.9107.1+3.471%-
Last 30 away (16)50.651.1101.8-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)55.150.4105.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)52.649.0101.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.355.7109.0-2.350%-
vs Similar (13)50.852.2103.0-1.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)54.848.3103.1+6.582%-
This opponent (Tianjin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tianjintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tianjin: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.3
53.0%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.413.5
34.3%
34.6%40.5
🏀 Free throws25.119.8
78.9%
76.0%19.8
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.127.9
50.6%
52.7%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.511.2
42.3%
34.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.616.8
77.8%
76.0%16.8
They take 81.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tianjin
WLLLLWLWLW
Guangzhou
WWWWWWLLLW
#14
League position
#9
-2.9
Net rating
+8.6
111.3
Offensive rating
117.7
114.1
Defensive rating
109.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.2%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
42.3%
72.6%
Assist %
55.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 117.7Defence114.1 · 109.0Shooting52.2% · 54.8%3-point %34.3% · 42.3%Ball care13.2% · 13.2%Off. rebounds24.9% · 30.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Tianjin   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tianjin wins
7
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23Guangzhou v Tianjin93-106
15/03/23Guangzhou v Tianjin113-84
09/03/23Tianjin v Guangzhou77-98
07/03/22Guangzhou v Tianjin98-113
01/03/22Tianjin v Guangzhou106-110
06/04/21Guangzhou v Tianjin147-140 OT
27/03/21Tianjin v Guangzhou111-112 OT
09/12/20Guangzhou v Tianjin96-85
30/10/20Tianjin v Guangzhou95-108
27/07/20Tianjin v Guangzhou118-110 OT
Tianjinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24AJiangsu Dragons129-111
24/03/24AShanghai103-122
21/03/24AZhejiang Guangsha101-110
19/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters107-125
17/03/24HLiaoning96-103
15/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha108-102
12/03/24ANanjing Tongxi109-127
10/03/24HSichuan113-93
08/03/24HShenzhen99-109
05/02/24ASichuan94-84
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha120-103
24/03/24AShenzhen115-106
21/03/24AQingdao102-99
19/03/24HJiangsu Dragons101-79
16/03/24HXinjiang108-96
14/03/24AJilin115-100
11/03/24HShanghai97-104
09/03/24ALiaoning103-109
06/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-102
05/02/24HShenzhen109-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tianjin
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game106.7108.1105.2
Allowed / game109.1106.0112.1
Point differential-2.4+2.1-6.9
Avg total215.8214.2217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game102.6105.0100.3
Allowed / game99.198.0100.2
Point differential+3.5+7.0+0.1
Avg total201.8203.0200.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%54%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4940982%103.493.6+9.8
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou49381178%108.798.8+9.9
3 Xinjiang49381178%105.496.8+8.6
4 Guangdong48341471%109.9104.3+5.6
5 Zhejiang Guangsha48321667%104.497.1+7.3
6 Shanghai49311863%106.5102.9+3.6
7 Qingdao49292059%103.1100.3+2.9
8 Shenzhen49292059%104.9102.5+2.4
9 Beijing Royal Fighters49272255%106.1104.3+1.9
10 Guangzhou48262254%102.699.1+3.5
11 Beijing48242450%100.499.9+0.5
12 Shanxi Zhongyu48242450%110.6111.3-0.8
13 Nanjing Tongxi48222646%103.4105.8-2.5
14 Tianjin48212744%106.7109.1-2.4
15 Shandong49202941%103.5104.9-1.4
16 Jilin48183038%103.4106.7-3.3
17 Fujian49173235%103.2107.1-3.9
18 Jiangsu Dragons4964312%92.2103.4-11.2
19 Ningbo Rockets4964312%93.0107.2-14.2
20 Sichuan494458%95.0111.2-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tianjin1829232999
Guangzhou21224119103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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