PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Halcones de Xalapa vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:10
Final 88-75
23-20 19-14 17-16 29-25
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#7
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game85.8
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals· Nido del Halcón
Other2023-24
Meetings · Halcones de Xalapa v Nacional
11 Mar 2024
HALC88
NACI75
10 Mar 2024
HALC105
NACI104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Xalapa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXalapa
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H15/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H17/11
LNBP
Real Esteli
#8
L
70-80
70
80
-10
66avg 83
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 83
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
86avg 83
A22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
92-74
92
74
+18
82avg 83
A23/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 83
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
100-75
100
75
+25
101avg 83
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 83
A06/03
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
W
105-104 OT
105
104
+1
98avg 83
H10/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
20-18
30-25
17-23
20-20
25-23
23-29
17-16
18-15
15-22
20-16
17-27
17-22
22-21
15-18
22-21
33-22
25-21
14-16
32-20
24-27
18-14
29-15
21-18
32-18
14-26
19-27
26-16
26-20
23-25
25-21
26-9
23-26
22-17
14-12
19-24
21-17
25-21
22-27
19-22
172.2Avg total
88.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.582.5172.0+7.062%
Season at home (4)93.087.0180.0+6.075%
Season away (4)86.078.0164.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)88.483.8172.2+4.650%
Last 5 (5)93.283.8177.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.488.8165.2-12.410%
vs Similar (10)87.584.4171.9+3.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.983.0171.9+5.960%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 83
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 83
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
no box
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
65avg 83
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 83
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
76avg 83
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
57avg 83
H22/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
71avg 83
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
80avg 83
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
108avg 83
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-18
20-25
21-20
22-24
24-22
20-17
20-19
21-14
9-13
17-19
12-13
14-24
16-14
17-22
21-19
9-15
22-32
21-24
24-22
20-23
18-20
18-13
22-16
17-19
16-20
11-18
21-15
16-16
28-27
14-26
16-20
26-23
17-22
12-14
24-19
17-21
21-25
27-22
22-19
160.2Avg total
77.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.585.8169.2-2.250%
Season at home (4)80.279.5159.8+0.875%
Season away (4)86.892.0178.8-5.225%
Last 10 (10)77.982.3160.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)80.083.2163.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.385.2166.5-3.833%
vs Similar (11)83.384.8168.1-1.564%
vs Weaker (13)92.478.6171.0+13.885%
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
Halcones de XalapaNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H15/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H17/11
LNBP
Real Esteli
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A06/03
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H10/03
Champions League Americas
85.8Avg total
43.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.586.1-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.142.788.8+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.144.383.3-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.985.8+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.287.8+3.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.044.480.4-8.420%-
vs Similar (10)47.242.990.1+4.370%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.643.187.7+1.560%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H22/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A10/03
Champions League Americas
78.5Avg total
37.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.285.1+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.840.384.1+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)43.942.286.1+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)37.041.578.5-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.282.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.040.580.5-0.533%-
vs Similar (11)41.544.886.4-3.327%-
vs Weaker (13)47.638.586.2+9.192%-
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Xalapatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Xalapa: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.5
56.0%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.4
35.7%
33.2%34.1
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
69.9%
73.9%13.4
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.2
52.0%
52.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.8
33.9%
33.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
73.9%12.9
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Xalapa
WLWWWWLLLL
Nacional
LWLLWLLWWL
#4
League position
#7
+8.9
Net rating
-2.5
111.9
Offensive rating
102.3
103.1
Defensive rating
104.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
33.9%
67.1%
Assist %
71.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 102.3Defence103.1 · 104.9Shooting54.8% · 51.6%3-point %35.7% · 33.9%Ball care15.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 24.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Halcones de Xalapa   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Halcones de Xalapa wins
1
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Halcones de Xalapa v Nacional105-104 OT
06/03/24Nacional v Halcones de Xalapa79-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HNacional105-104 OT
06/03/24ANacional78-79
10/02/24HReal Esteli100-75
08/02/24HGladiadores91-87
23/01/24AGladiadores92-74
22/01/24AReal Esteli104-79
18/12/23HGladiadores76-82
17/12/23AReal Esteli70-80
17/11/23HFuerza Regia85-88
15/11/23HFuerza Regia83-90
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AHalcones de Xalapa104-105 OT
06/03/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-78
02/03/24AUrupan74-89
22/02/24HDefensor65-72
12/02/24HQuimsa78-72
11/02/24ASao Paulo76-93
07/02/24APenarol68-79
03/02/24HBigua71-67 OT
29/01/24HSao Paulo86-82
27/01/24HQuimsa78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Xalapa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game89.593.086.0
Allowed / game82.587.078.0
Point differential+7.0+6.0+8.0
Avg total172.0180.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Nacional
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game83.580.286.8
Allowed / game85.879.592.0
Point differential-2.2+0.8-5.2
Avg total169.2159.8178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo87188%86.074.5+11.5
2 Franca96367%96.684.9+11.7
3 Halcones de Xalapa85362%89.582.5+7.0
4 Quimsa84450%89.280.4+8.9
5 Obras Sanitarias84450%86.688.5-1.9
6 Nacional84450%83.585.8-2.2
7 Sao Paulo63350%84.288.2-4.0
8 Real Esteli84450%80.889.1-8.4
9 Hebraica y Macabi94544%80.386.9-6.6
10 Boca Juniors62433%72.773.5-0.8
11 Gladiadores62433%81.784.7-3.0
12 U. De Concepcion6060%70.890.5-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Xalapa2319172988
Nacional2014162575
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.