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Nacional vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-72
17-19 16-20 11-18 21-15
Position#3
Record16-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#4
Record14-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nacional v Defensor
02 May 2026
NACI97
DEFE73
31 Oct 2025
NACI80
DEFE61
06 May 2025
NACI90
DEFE82
28 Apr 2025
NACI97
DEFE61
27 Mar 2025
NACI81
DEFE69
27 Jan 2025
NACI96
DEFE81
19 Apr 2024
NACI v DEFE
upcoming
22 Feb 2024
NACI65
DEFE72
12 Apr 2023
NACI81
DEFE71
31 Mar 2023
NACI79
DEFE73
11 Feb 2023
NACI72
DEFE85
19 Dec 2021
NACI70
DEFE65
24 May 2021
NACI95
DEFE81
21 Nov 2020
NACI77
DEFE66
14 Nov 2020
NACI67
DEFE68
03 Nov 2020
NACI97
DEFE91
13 Mar 2020
NACI86
DEFE77
07 Jan 2020
NACI86
DEFE73
08 Mar 2019
NACI87
DEFE82
01 Mar 2019
NACI78
DEFE93
09 Nov 2018
NACI87
DEFE92
16 Mar 2018
NACI93
DEFE87
03 Oct 2017
NACI89
DEFE67
24 Oct 2013
NACI77
DEFE83
12 Jan 2013
NACI81
DEFE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
111-61
111
61
+50
111avg 83
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 83
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
111-105 OT
111
105
+6
no box
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 83
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 83
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 83
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
no box
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
65avg 83
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 83
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
76avg 83
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-13
31-25
25-14
23-9
16-24
30-13
32-21
21-21
18-26
25-30
36-21
19-21
20-22
21-14
26-8
19-17
19-23
18-18
20-25
21-20
22-24
24-22
20-17
20-19
21-14
9-13
17-19
12-13
14-24
16-14
17-22
21-19
9-15
22-32
21-24
24-22
20-23
18-20
18-13
22-16
164.9Avg total
86.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.980.8171.7+10.184%
Season at home (9)86.173.2159.3+12.989%
Season away (10)95.287.6182.8+7.680%
Last 10 (10)86.478.5164.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)75.878.6154.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.280.0157.2-2.838%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.186.1171.2-1.070%
vs Weaker (12)93.977.8171.7+16.292%
This opponent (Defensor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
59avg 72
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
59avg 72
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 72
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 72
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 72
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
44avg 72
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
78avg 72
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
79avg 72
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 72
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
91avg 72
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
20-25
20-21
17-18
20-26
15-17
21-18
22-23
20-17
25-21
28-17
15-22
26-24
26-20
23-14
9-22
20-23
25-21
22-18
29-24
10-18
16-25
14-18
24-20
18-27
25-10
16-22
26-23
26-15
25-27
16-25
21-17
22-16
14-24
16-19
24-15
23-25
22-13
26-20
21-19
164.5Avg total
82.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.678.8160.4+2.967%
Season at home (11)84.079.5163.5+4.573%
Season away (10)79.077.9156.9+1.160%
Last 10 (10)82.881.7164.5+1.170%
Last 5 (5)81.079.6160.6+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.084.0162.0-6.017%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.483.2164.6-1.843%
vs Weaker (10)84.575.1159.6+9.4100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
NacionalDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/02
Champions League Americas
81.4Avg total
40.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.684.5+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.040.184.1+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.841.285.0+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.981.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.275.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.838.478.1+1.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.445.487.8-3.030%-
vs Weaker (12)47.938.286.1+9.892%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
84.0Avg total
41.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.783.0-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.084.1+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.543.581.9-5.040%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.284.0-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.544.282.7-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.942.482.3-2.650%-
vs Weaker (10)45.039.384.3+5.780%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.9
52.8%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.6
40.5%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.112.5
73.1%
71.7%12.5
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.1
52.2%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.515.0
66.7%
71.7%15.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WLLWWLWWWW
Defensor
WWWWLWWWLL
#3
League position
#4
+11.7
Net rating
+6.0
113.9
Offensive rating
109.1
102.2
Defensive rating
103.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
50.3%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.5%
3-point %
31.7%
64.9%
Assist %
56.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 109.1Defence102.2 · 103.1Shooting56.0% · 50.3%3-point %40.5% · 31.7%Ball care17.3% · 12.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Nacional   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nacional wins
4
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Defensor v Nacional91-99
12/04/23Nacional v Defensor81-71
05/04/23Defensor v Nacional92-73
31/03/23Nacional v Defensor79-73
29/03/23Defensor v Nacional66-78
09/03/23Defensor v Nacional87-79
11/02/23Nacional v Defensor72-85
05/12/22Defensor v Nacional75-80
08/03/22Defensor v Nacional73-66
20/12/21Nacional v Defensor70-65
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/24HQuimsa78-72
11/02/24ASao Paulo76-93
07/02/24APenarol68-79
03/02/24HBigua71-67 OT
29/01/24HSao Paulo86-82
27/01/24HQuimsa78-86
23/01/24HCordon86-61
19/01/24AAguada111-105 OT
16/01/24ATrouville99-79
13/01/24HGoes111-61
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HLarre Borges92-77
06/02/24ACordon76-74
30/01/24HTrouville88-84
23/01/24HMalvin85-82
20/01/24APenarol64-81
12/01/24HBigua96-86
09/01/24HGoes84-80
05/01/24AUrupan88-77
22/12/23HHebraica y Macabi78-84
15/12/23AAguada77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL84%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %84%89%80%
Points / game90.986.195.2
Allowed / game80.873.287.6
Point differential+10.1+12.9+7.6
Avg total171.7159.3182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game81.684.079.0
Allowed / game78.879.577.9
Point differential+2.9+4.5+1.1
Avg total160.4163.5156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1916384%90.980.8+10.1
2 Penarol2218482%81.970.1+11.8
3 Aguada2217577%89.480.6+8.8
4 Defensor2114767%81.678.8+2.9
5 Hebraica y Macabi2113862%83.980.5+3.4
6 Bigua22101245%84.584.5+0.0
7 Cordon22101245%72.574.7-2.2
8 Malvin2291341%81.480.9+0.5
9 Trouville2271532%80.086.2-6.2
10 Urupan2161529%77.284.9-7.7
11 Goes2261627%78.685.4-6.7
12 Larre Borges2231914%76.589.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1716112165
Defensor1920181572
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