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Halcones de Xalapa vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 105-104 (OT)
21-17 25-21 22-27 19-22 18-17
Position#4
Record4-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals· Nido del Halcón
Other2023-24
Meetings · Halcones de Xalapa v Nacional
11 Mar 2024
HALC88
NACI75
10 Mar 2024
HALC105
NACI104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Xalapa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXalapa
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
no box
H14/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H15/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H17/11
LNBP
Real Esteli
#8
L
70-80
70
80
-10
66avg 81
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 81
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
86avg 81
A22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
92-74
92
74
+18
82avg 81
A23/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 81
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
100-75
100
75
+25
101avg 81
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 81
A06/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
12-25
31-23
16-22
16-24
20-18
30-25
17-23
20-20
25-23
23-29
17-16
18-15
15-22
20-16
17-27
17-22
22-21
15-18
22-21
33-22
25-21
14-16
32-20
24-27
18-14
29-15
21-18
32-18
14-26
19-27
26-16
26-20
23-25
25-21
26-9
23-26
22-17
14-12
19-24
171.2Avg total
88.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.379.4166.7+7.957%
Season at home (3)89.081.3170.3+7.767%
Season away (4)86.078.0164.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)88.083.2171.2+4.850%
Last 5 (5)93.078.8171.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.289.6165.8-13.59%
vs Similar (10)87.584.4171.9+3.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.180.7167.8+6.456%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 82
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 82
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 82
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
no box
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
65avg 82
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 82
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
76avg 82
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
57avg 82
H22/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
71avg 82
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
80avg 82
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
21-14
26-8
19-17
19-23
18-18
20-25
21-20
22-24
24-22
20-17
20-19
21-14
9-13
17-19
12-13
14-24
16-14
17-22
21-19
9-15
22-32
21-24
24-22
20-23
18-20
18-13
22-16
17-19
16-20
11-18
21-15
16-16
28-27
14-26
16-20
26-23
17-22
12-14
24-19
154.0Avg total
76.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.683.0163.6-2.457%
Season at home (4)80.279.5159.8+0.875%
Season away (3)81.087.7168.7-6.733%
Last 10 (10)76.177.9154.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)74.480.8155.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.081.8157.8-5.833%
vs Similar (11)83.384.8168.1-1.564%
vs Weaker (13)92.478.6171.0+13.885%
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
Halcones de XalapaNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H15/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H17/11
LNBP
Real Esteli
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A06/03
Champions League Americas
86.4Avg total
43.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.085.9-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.143.089.1+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.344.883.1-6.525%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.786.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.291.2+4.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.245.280.4-10.018%-
vs Similar (10)47.242.990.1+4.370%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.443.788.1+0.856%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H22/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/03
Champions League Americas
77.8Avg total
37.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.184.9+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.840.384.1+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)43.841.985.7+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.577.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.481.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.739.779.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (11)41.544.886.4-3.327%-
vs Weaker (13)47.638.586.2+9.192%-
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Xalapatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Xalapa: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.1
56.4%
52.9%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.0
36.7%
33.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.9
71.4%
73.9%12.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.9
51.0%
52.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
33.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.711.2
71.3%
73.9%11.2
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Xalapa
LWWWWLLLLW
Nacional
WLLWLLWWLW
#4
League position
#7
+9.8
Net rating
+0.4
111.1
Offensive rating
103.8
101.3
Defensive rating
103.4
55.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.7%
3-point %
35.4%
63.8%
Assist %
68.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 103.8Defence101.3 · 103.4Shooting55.8% · 51.9%3-point %36.7% · 35.4%Ball care16.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Halcones de Xalapa   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Halcones de Xalapa wins
1
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Nacional v Halcones de Xalapa79-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ANacional78-79
10/02/24HReal Esteli100-75
08/02/24HGladiadores91-87
23/01/24AGladiadores92-74
22/01/24AReal Esteli104-79
18/12/23HGladiadores76-82
17/12/23AReal Esteli70-80
17/11/23HFuerza Regia85-88
15/11/23HFuerza Regia83-90
14/11/23HFuerza Regia101-98 OT
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-78
02/03/24AUrupan74-89
22/02/24HDefensor65-72
12/02/24HQuimsa78-72
11/02/24ASao Paulo76-93
07/02/24APenarol68-79
03/02/24HBigua71-67 OT
29/01/24HSao Paulo86-82
27/01/24HQuimsa78-86
23/01/24HCordon86-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Xalapa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game87.389.086.0
Allowed / game79.481.378.0
Point differential+7.9+7.7+8.0
Avg total166.7170.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game80.680.281.0
Allowed / game83.079.587.7
Point differential-2.4+0.8-6.7
Avg total163.6159.8168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo87188%86.074.5+11.5
2 Franca96367%96.684.9+11.7
3 Quimsa74357%88.678.3+10.3
4 Halcones de Xalapa74357%87.379.4+7.9
5 Nacional74357%80.683.0-2.4
6 Obras Sanitarias84450%86.688.5-1.9
7 Sao Paulo63350%84.288.2-4.0
8 Hebraica y Macabi94544%80.386.9-6.6
9 Real Esteli73443%78.788.4-9.7
10 Boca Juniors62433%72.773.5-0.8
11 Gladiadores62433%81.784.7-3.0
12 U. De Concepcion6060%70.890.5-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Halcones de Xalapa2125221918105
Nacional1721272217104
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