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Herlev Wolfpack vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 64-93
22-22 7-21 18-29 17-21
Position#9
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg
21 Sep 2024
HERL64
SVEN93
29 Nov 2023
HERL73
SVEN88
02 Mar 2023
HERL77
SVEN81
26 Nov 2022
HERL87
SVEN79
18 Dec 2021
HERL79
SVEN100
31 Oct 2020
HERL70
SVEN82
05 Oct 2019
HERL79
SVEN71
29 Sep 2018
HERL66
SVEN88
15 Feb 2018
HERL50
SVEN83
05 Mar 2015
HERL86
SVEN91
08 Nov 2014
HERL110
SVEN82
13 Mar 2014
HERL90
SVEN102
16 Feb 2012
HERL94
SVEN109
19 Jan 2012
HERL82
SVEN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
L
87-117
87
117
-30
67avg 64
A07/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 64
H15/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
62-84
62
84
-22
46avg 64
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
94avg 64
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 64
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
40avg 64
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
90avg 64
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
94-97
94
97
-3
78avg 64
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
65-82
65
82
-17
58avg 64
H27/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-28
26-30
21-29
31-30
17-20
16-28
23-18
22-20
19-12
25-23
16-21
21-25
11-23
16-21
23-12
12-28
25-20
24-19
23-18
16-20
23-20
16-20
15-17
19-28
14-21
28-15
8-26
24-16
20-19
27-20
20-26
21-14
14-22
18-22
30-21
32-32
17-16
15-22
17-27
16-17
168.7Avg total
80.8Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.887.9168.7-7.130%
Last 5 (5)78.884.2163.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.394.7167.0-22.35%
vs Similar (4)82.878.0160.8+4.875%
vs Weaker (4)88.285.0173.2+3.250%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
52avg 77
A25/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
81avg 77
H31/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
61avg 77
A05/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 77
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
54avg 77
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
95avg 77
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
65avg 77
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 77
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-124
87
124
-37
73avg 77
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 77
A10/05
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
9-25
20-30
19-27
22-23
26-30
19-25
25-24
11-17
25-26
22-20
12-17
25-16
11-23
20-21
32-23
17-15
14-19
14-24
17-28
21-19
25-25
22-24
25-16
23-30
13-19
15-24
27-24
27-25
21-23
16-21
16-24
25-28
17-35
17-33
28-28
23-20
28-29
19-17
17-28
175.0Avg total
80.7Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.794.3175.0-13.620%
Last 5 (5)85.098.4183.4-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.995.2171.1-19.211%
vs Similar (4)85.580.8166.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)103.983.6187.4+20.3100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
Herlev WolfpackSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A07/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H15/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H27/04
Basketligaen
80.1Avg total
38.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.044.482.4-6.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.141.980.1-3.836%-
Last 30 away (16)37.946.584.4-8.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.180.1-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.546.883.3-10.314%-
vs Similar (4)41.837.279.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker (4)41.239.881.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A25/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A10/05
Basketligaen
87.0Avg total
40.5Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.887.1-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.042.385.3+0.738%-
Last 30 away (17)41.846.688.4-4.941%-
Last 10 (10)40.546.587.0-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)44.650.695.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.847.886.6-8.916%-
vs Similar (4)44.043.087.0+1.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.737.688.3+13.186%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.4
46.4%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.46.9
25.2%
32.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws27.519.0
69.1%
70.2%19.0
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.2
49.3%
51.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.2
30.3%
32.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.813.9
63.8%
70.2%13.9
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LLWLLWLWLL
Svendborg
LLLLWLWLLL
#9
League position
#2
-8.4
Net rating
-16.5
95.9
Offensive rating
96.7
104.3
Defensive rating
113.1
43.0%
Effective FG%
48.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
25.2%
3-point %
30.3%
77.2%
Assist %
53.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 96.7Defence104.3 · 113.1Shooting43.0% · 48.0%3-point %25.2% · 30.3%Ball care18.4% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 29.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
9
Svendborg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HCopenhagen65-82
23/04/24AAmager94-97
07/04/24HBears Academy88-79
26/03/24AHolbaek-Stenhus74-78
23/03/24ACopenhagen73-85
16/03/24HAmager88-77
09/03/24ABears Academy62-84
02/03/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-94 OT
15/02/24HRanders78-86
07/02/24ASvendborg87-117
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24AHorsens87-94
29/04/24ABakken Bears87-124
25/04/24HBakken Bears80-93
22/04/24ABakken Bears78-97
15/04/24ARanders93-84
12/04/24HBakken Bears62-86
08/04/24HVaerlose88-83
05/04/24AHorsens70-80
31/03/24HTeam FOG Naestved92-102
25/03/24ABakken Bears70-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Amager110100%100.075.0+25.0
2 Horsens110100%90.072.0+18.0
3 Bakken Bears1010%72.090.0-18.0
4 Copenhagen1010%75.0100.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack227181764
Svendborg2221292193
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