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Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 96-88
28-20 28-26 18-23 22-19
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game67.5
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#6
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game111.0
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 3
Other2020-21
Meetings · Horsens v Vaerlose
02 Oct 2026
HORS99
VAER79
02 Nov 2025
HORS98
VAER72
01 Dec 2024
HORS95
VAER64
14 Nov 2024
HORS95
VAER59
28 Mar 2024
HORS70
VAER78
29 Oct 2023
HORS88
VAER56
22 Jan 2023
HORS90
VAER63
16 Jan 2022
HORS95
VAER92
11 Oct 2020
HORS96
VAER88
24 Nov 2019
HORS95
VAER85
22 Dec 2018
HORS85
VAER65
05 Feb 2015
HORS107
VAER78
06 Feb 2014
HORS92
VAER83
26 Jan 2014
HORS103
VAER89
13 Dec 2012
HORS89
VAER77
15 Jan 2012
HORS78
VAER79
27 Nov 2011
HORS80
VAER73
26 Sep 2010
HORS70
VAER64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H11/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
H23/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A25/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
H30/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
H16/02
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H26/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
H05/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A06/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
18-13
20-18
31-16
26-17
31-28
11-18
17-10
14-26
14-30
19-23
23-24
18-19
8-35
27-5
29-17
24-23
26-24
16-27
32-24
22-26
33-14
20-35
19-28
23-8
27-23
27-15
18-11
24-19
18-15
20-28
14-14
21-12
32-14
21-29
20-21
14-18
17-15
25-18
24-8
169.6Avg total
89.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.067.5154.5+19.5100%
Season at home (1)94.076.0170.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)80.059.0139.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.280.4169.6+8.870%
Last 5 (5)91.276.2167.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.289.8162.0-17.70%
vs Similar (5)94.683.0177.6+11.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.172.5166.6+21.595%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H10/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
98-71
98
71
+27
A15/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H23/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H26/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A02/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
96-84
96
84
+12
A11/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H16/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
72-116
72
116
-44
A03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
H06/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
16-28
24-25
20-19
20-24
22-20
13-20
16-21
24-13
25-14
18-21
31-23
25-24
21-19
17-20
25-21
19-16
15-18
19-18
33-17
17-14
16-13
23-37
28-23
24-22
26-27
26-9
20-26
24-19
20-21
19-21
19-13
20-29
19-24
18-33
15-30
22-27
20-32
14-21
18-26
170.7Avg total
83.6Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.0111.0184.0-38.00%
Season at home (1)74.0106.0180.0-32.00%
Season away (1)72.0116.0188.0-44.00%
Last 10 (10)83.687.1170.7-3.550%
Last 5 (5)81.693.4175.0-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.6100.1179.7-20.40%
vs Similar (7)84.482.0166.4+2.471%
vs Weaker (9)88.780.8169.4+7.967%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
HorsensVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
28-56
28
56
-28
H23/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A25/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H30/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H16/02
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H26/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H05/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A06/10
Basketligaen
83.1Avg total
43.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.780.2+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.435.678.9+7.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.540.281.7+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)43.539.683.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.232.879.0+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.841.871.7-12.017%-
vs Similar (5)45.841.287.0+4.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.635.581.2+10.179%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H10/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A15/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H23/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H26/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A02/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A11/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H16/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H06/10
Basketligaen
84.7Avg total
42.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.185.1-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.044.085.0-3.040%-
Last 30 away (15)41.144.185.2-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.784.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.687.2-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.449.989.4-10.57%-
vs Similar (7)42.740.483.1+2.357%-
vs Weaker (9)42.237.880.0+4.478%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Horsens wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
24/11/19Horsens v Vaerlose95-85
27/09/19Vaerlose v Horsens73-93
16/01/19Vaerlose v Horsens94-101
22/12/18Horsens v Vaerlose85-65
05/02/15Horsens v Vaerlose107-78
04/12/14Vaerlose v Horsens68-76
13/10/14Vaerlose v Horsens63-91
06/02/14Horsens v Vaerlose92-83
26/01/14Horsens v Vaerlose103-89
31/10/13Vaerlose v Horsens78-70
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/20ACopenhagen80-59
02/10/20HAmager94-76
05/03/20HSvendborg93-86 OT
26/02/20HEBAA Aarhus95-57
16/02/20HTeam FOG Naestved94-103
30/01/20HRanders105-107 OT
25/01/20ASvendborg82-76
23/01/20HBakken Bears70-103
16/01/20ATeam FOG Naestved85-73
11/01/20HHerlev Wolfpack94-64
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/20HBakken Bears74-106
03/10/20ASvendborg72-116
16/02/20HAmager82-74
11/02/20ACopenhagen96-84
02/02/20AEBAA Aarhus84-87
26/01/20HEBAA Aarhus86-69
23/01/20HHerlev Wolfpack88-84
15/01/20AAmager98-71
10/01/20HBakken Bears71-85
29/12/19ARanders85-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.094.080.0
Allowed / game67.576.059.0
Point differential+19.5+18.0+21.0
Avg total154.5170.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.074.072.0
Allowed / game111.0106.0116.0
Point differential-38.0-32.0-44.0
Avg total184.0180.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg220100%90.067.0+23.0
2 Horsens220100%87.067.5+19.5
3 Randers220100%95.087.0+8.0
4 Herlev Wolfpack110100%82.077.0+5.0
5 Bakken Bears32167%97.773.3+24.3
6 Team FOG Naestved21150%70.067.5+2.5
7 Bears Academy31233%82.386.7-4.3
8 Amager3030%78.786.7-8.0
9 Copenhagen2020%57.092.5-35.5
10 Vaerlose2020%73.0111.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens2828182296
Vaerlose2026231988
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