Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	76.3	84.7	161.0	-8.3	33%
Season at home (1)	73.0	101.0	174.0	-28.0	0%
Season away (2)	78.0	76.5	154.5	+1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	90.9	170.5	-11.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	93.4	168.2	-18.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	80.1	89.1	169.2	-9.1	29%
vs Similar (4)	83.0	78.0	161.0	+5.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	91.2	79.1	170.3	+12.1	89%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVaerlose

Date

Competition

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

87-80

81avg 71

H28/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

61-75

-14

51avg 71

A31/03

Basketligaen

Vejen

83-86

-3

74avg 71

A08/04

Basketligaen

Amager

#13

96-90

94avg 71

H12/04

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#10

74-97

-23

67avg 71

H19/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

89-83

87avg 71

A23/04

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

70-91

-21

61avg 71

H28/04

Basketligaen

Gladsaxe

88-78

+10

78avg 71

A19/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

74-88

-14

58avg 71

A22/09

Basketligaen

Randers

85-89 OT

-4

62avg 71

H27/09

Basketligaen

23-24

20-13

15-21

29-22

26-21

12-24

15-17

8-13

18-22

25-27

18-24

22-13

23-19

21-24

24-22

28-25

23-27

14-27

19-21

18-22

24-12

23-23

19-26

23-22

15-22

17-28

25-15

13-26

24-23

18-11

17-28

29-16

20-16

19-23

14-24

21-25

16-13

20-23

14-25

23-12

166.4Avg total

80.7Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	82.3	85.0	167.3	-2.7	33%
Season at home (1)	85.0	89.0	174.0	-4.0	0%
Season away (2)	81.0	83.0	164.0	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	85.7	166.4	-5.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	85.8	167.0	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	73.5	95.5	169.0	-21.9	9%
vs Similar (17)	85.9	84.1	170.1	+1.8	76%
vs Weaker (2)	83.5	86.5	170.0	-3.0	50%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsensVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.9	42.9	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.1	42.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	24.5	43.4	-5.6	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	24.6	45.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	24.0	42.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.5	25.2	44.7	-5.8	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	18.2	39.5	+3.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.6	20.6	41.1	+0.0	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	23.1	42.9	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	23.0	42.7	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	23.1	43.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.1	24.7	42.8	-6.6	27%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.8	21.6	42.5	-0.8	41%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	18.6	42.5	+5.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.2	41.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	25.8	44.0	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	53%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	26.3	19.1	45.4	+7.2	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.5	23.9	41.5	-6.4	18%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	50%	-

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

44-29

+15

H10/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-43

-7

A16/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

54-46

H20/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

38-49

-11

A27/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-52

-10

H30/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

31-56

-25

A04/05

Basketligaen

Svendborg

44-50

-6

A14/05

Basketligaen

Svendborg

40-38

A17/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

34-46

-12

A24/09

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

36-59

-23

H27/09

Basketligaen

86.7Avg total

39.9Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	43.1	84.9	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.3	39.6	84.9	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	46.1	84.9	-7.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	46.8	86.7	-6.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	49.8	86.8	-12.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	40.1	46.1	86.1	-6.0	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.2	38.0	76.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	46.9	39.7	86.6	+7.2	89%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

43-37

H28/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-45

-7

A31/03

Basketligaen

Vejen

43-49

-6

A08/04

Basketligaen

Amager

#13

44-43

H12/04

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#10

37-54

-17

H19/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

47-35

+12

A23/04

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

32-50

-18

H28/04

Basketligaen

Gladsaxe

42-34

A19/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

39-39

A22/09

Basketligaen

Randers

36-36

H27/09

Basketligaen

82.3Avg total

40.1Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	45.2	84.0	-6.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	45.1	84.4	-5.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	45.2	83.6	-6.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	42.2	82.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.8	78.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.6	48.6	84.3	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	40.7	42.6	83.3	-1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	48.0	88.5	-7.5	50%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	22.4	42.1	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.6	37.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	17.8	37.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.3	19.2	40.6	+2.1	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.4	42.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	22.9	41.9	-3.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.6	41.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.6	24.1	41.7	-6.5	9%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.8	21.1	42.8	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	21.4	44.4	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	47%	-
vs Similar (4)	25.0	22.2	47.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	45%	-
vs Similar (17)	22.5	19.6	42.2	+2.9	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	41.1	82.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	43.4	84.2	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	39.1	81.2	+2.9	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	44.1	83.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.6	81.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	39.2	42.2	81.5	-3.0	47%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.8	40.0	84.8	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	44.3	39.4	83.8	+4.9	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	42.3	83.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	41.9	84.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	42.6	83.1	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	41.9	81.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.8	83.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.8	45.4	82.2	-8.5	9%	-
vs Similar (17)	44.3	40.7	85.0	+3.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	38.5	81.5	+4.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 79.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.6	22.7	54.6%	55.2%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	6.4	27.7%	31.2%	19.2
🏀 Free throws	24.4	14.9	61.1%	68.0%	14.9

They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀25%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.9	52.5%	55.2%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	6.8	27.0%	31.2%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	28.0	18.1	64.6%	68.0%	18.1

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	24.8	63.3%	55.2%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.4	33.6%	31.2%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	23.0	16.0	69.6%	68.0%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	20.2	56.6%	55.2%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.1	31.5%	31.2%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	25.6	18.0	70.3%	68.0%	18.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	22.0	54.5%	55.2%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.2	32.3%	31.2%	24.5
🏀 Free throws	23.0	14.4	62.4%	68.0%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	19.6	52.3%	55.2%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	7.4	30.3%	31.2%	22.3
🏀 Free throws	26.1	17.4	66.8%	68.0%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.3	58.4%	55.2%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.1	33.6%	31.2%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.8	71.2%	68.0%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	21.7	55.4%	55.2%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.3	32.9%	31.2%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.0	71.5%	68.0%	17.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Horsens

LLWLLLLWWW

Vaerlose

LLWLWLWLLW

League position

#10

-12.7

Net rating

-5.8

89.3

Offensive rating

85.7

102.0

Defensive rating

91.5

49.9%

Effective FG%

47.8%

58.3%

Opp. effective FG%

52.4%

15.7%

Turnover %

17.8%

0.38

Free-throw rate

0.43

27.7%

3-point %

27.0%

58.1%

Assist %

61.4%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Horsens ■ Vaerlose

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsens wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/25	Horsens v Vaerlose	98-72
26/10/25	Vaerlose v Horsens	60-74
08/02/25	Vaerlose v Horsens	69-89
01/12/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-64
14/11/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-59
28/03/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	70-78
18/03/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	64-86
25/01/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	78-99
12/11/23	Vaerlose v Horsens	71-90
29/10/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	88-56

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/09/26	H	Team FOG Naestved	73-101
24/09/26	A	Bakken Bears	64-83
17/09/26	A	Svendborg	92-70
14/05/26	A	Svendborg	78-103
04/05/26	A	Bakken Bears	67-110
30/04/26	H	Bakken Bears	64-103
27/04/26	A	Bakken Bears	79-89
20/04/26	H	Team FOG Naestved	103-82
16/04/26	A	Bakken Bears	89-86
10/04/26	H	Randers	87-82

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/09/26	H	Randers	85-89 OT
22/09/26	A	Copenhagen	74-88
19/09/26	A	Gladsaxe	88-78
28/04/26	H	Bears Academy	70-91
23/04/26	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	89-83
19/04/26	H	BMS Herlev	74-97
12/04/26	H	Amager	96-90
08/04/26	A	Vejen	83-86
31/03/26	A	Bears Academy	61-75
28/03/26	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens

Basketligaen 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLL	33%
Home	L	0%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	33%	0%	50%
Points / game	76.3	73.0	78.0
Allowed / game	84.7	101.0	76.5
Point differential	-8.3	-28.0	+1.5
Avg total	161.0	174.0	154.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLL	33%
Home	L	0%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	33%	0%	50%
Points / game	82.3	85.0	81.0
Allowed / game	85.0	89.0	83.0
Point differential	-2.7	-4.0	-2.0
Avg total	167.3	174.0	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	33%	100%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Team FOG Naestved	3	3	0	100%	102.7	65.0	+37.7
2	Bakken Bears	3	3	0	100%	101.0	74.3	+26.7
3	Randers	3	2	1	67%	90.7	88.3	+2.3
4	Copenhagen	3	2	1	67%	77.0	75.3	+1.7
5	Svendborg	3	2	1	67%	84.0	83.3	+0.7
6	Vejen	2	1	1	50%	83.0	93.5	-10.5
7	Bears Academy	3	1	2	33%	83.7	83.3	+0.3
8	Vaerlose	3	1	2	33%	82.3	85.0	-2.7
9	Horsens	3	1	2	33%	76.3	84.7	-8.3
10	Gladsaxe	4	1	3	25%	79.2	86.8	-7.5
11	BMS Herlev	4	1	3	25%	81.0	90.8	-9.8
12	Holbaek-Stenhus	4	1	3	25%	73.8	95.0	-21.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Horsens	20	26	21	32	99
Vaerlose	25	16	21	17	79

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Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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