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Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 104-103
24-31 18-24 29-30 33-18
Position#10
Record25-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game120.3
Allowed / game115.1
vs
Position#2
Record25-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs
18 Feb 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
15 May 2026
MIN109
SAS139
10 May 2026
MIN114
SAS109
08 May 2026
MIN108
SAS115
11 Jan 2026
MIN104
SAS103
30 Nov 2025
MIN125
SAS112
09 Mar 2025
MIN141
SAS124
29 Dec 2024
MIN112
SAS110
27 Feb 2024
MIN114
SAS105
06 Dec 2023
MIN102
SAS94
26 Oct 2022
MIN134
SAS122
24 Oct 2022
MIN106
SAS115
07 Apr 2022
MIN127
SAS121
18 Nov 2021
MIN115
SAS90
10 Jan 2021
MIN96
SAS88
09 Jan 2021
MIN122
SAS125
26 Mar 2020
MIN v SAS
upcoming
13 Nov 2019
MIN129
SAS114
18 Jan 2019
MIN113
SAS116
28 Nov 2018
MIN128
SAS89
15 Nov 2017
MIN98
SAS86
21 Mar 2017
MIN93
SAS100
06 Dec 2016
MIN91
SAS105
08 Mar 2016
MIN91
SAS116
23 Dec 2015
MIN83
SAS108
10 Jan 2015
MIN93
SAS108
21 Nov 2014
MIN92
SAS121
08 Apr 2014
MIN110
SAS91
12 Mar 2013
MIN107
SAS83
06 Feb 2013
MIN94
SAS104
27 Jan 2012
MIN87
SAS79
02 Jan 2012
MIN106
SAS96
11 Jan 2011
MIN96
SAS107
24 Nov 2010
MIN109
SAS113
12 Mar 2010
MIN85
SAS103
12 Dec 2008
MIN86
SAS98
05 Nov 2008
MIN125
SAS129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
W
115-104
115
104
+11
102avg 111
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
138-142 OT
138
142
-4
128avg 111
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
107-123
107
123
-16
96avg 111
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-101
136
101
+35
133avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
102-126
102
126
-24
93avg 111
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-115
125
115
+10
121avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
141-115
141
115
+26
137avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-94
122
94
+28
120avg 111
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
131-122
131
122
+9
132avg 111
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
134-146
134
146
-12
132avg 111
A10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
27-24
27-27
30-25
29-32
26-25
23-35
37-23
30-33
33-29
23-36
21-25
21-23
34-27
40-28
41-23
26-33
23-37
24-28
29-28
27-25
29-25
34-36
35-29
38-28
35-30
35-21
33-36
27-29
34-25
32-23
29-17
32-31
31-36
43-22
25-33
33-29
32-34
26-36
43-47
243.9Avg total
125.1Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)120.3115.1235.4+5.264%
Season at home (20)116.5109.9226.4+6.670%
Season away (19)124.2120.5244.7+3.758%
Last 10 (10)125.1118.8243.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)130.6118.4249.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)115.2110.2225.4+5.080%
vs Similar (11)119.8119.6239.5+0.245%
vs Weaker (14)123.4112.7236.1+10.779%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
130-110
130
110
+20
129avg 109
H24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
117-102
117
102
+15
113avg 109
A25/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
114-127
114
127
-13
105avg 109
H28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 109
H30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
134-132
134
132
+2
128avg 109
H01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
123-113
123
113
+10
110avg 109
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
110-115
110
115
-5
103avg 109
H04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
105-106
105
106
-1
92avg 109
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 109
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
100-95
100
95
+5
88avg 109
A11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
27-31
29-22
43-28
41-36
28-24
26-19
22-23
40-32
20-38
27-28
27-29
26-25
29-24
23-27
23-37
36-45
27-28
30-29
41-30
30-31
41-27
22-27
30-28
24-35
27-20
29-32
30-28
31-21
23-25
27-36
24-24
26-23
22-20
31-25
28-23
21-26
29-29
23-20
27-20
224.5Avg total
114.1Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)118.3112.8231.1+5.669%
Season at home (18)118.4111.8230.2+6.672%
Season away (18)118.3113.8232.1+4.567%
Last 10 (10)114.1110.4224.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)109.0104.0213.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)123.5114.2237.7+9.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)117.1113.6230.7+3.558%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A10/01
NBA
118.1Avg total
59.8Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.557.3114.9+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.957.1114.9+0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)57.157.6114.8-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)59.858.3118.1+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)63.658.4122.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)53.056.6109.6-3.620%-
vs Similar (11)56.259.8116.0-3.636%-
vs Weaker (14)60.255.6115.9+4.657%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A25/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A11/01
NBA
114.8Avg total
57.9Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.255.9116.1+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.555.5113.0+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)62.956.3119.1+6.673%-
Last 10 (10)57.956.9114.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.851.4106.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)58.362.0120.3-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)60.754.3115.0+6.379%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 125.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.832.5
60.4%
54.8%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.314.1
36.8%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws23.617.8
75.4%
78.1%17.8
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.030.3
56.1%
54.8%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.910.9
29.5%
35.8%32.7
🏀 Free throws25.920.8
80.3%
78.1%20.8
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWLWLLW
San Antonio Spurs
WWLLWWLLWW
#10
League position
#2
+6.0
Net rating
+3.6
118.9
Offensive rating
111.9
112.9
Defensive rating
108.3
58.3%
Effective FG%
51.3%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
11.9%
Turnover %
11.2%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
29.5%
60.5%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 111.9Defence112.9 · 108.3Shooting58.3% · 51.3%3-point %36.8% · 29.5%Ball care11.9% · 11.2%Off. rebounds25.9% · 24.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers134-146
09/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers131-122
07/01/26HMiami Heat122-94
04/01/26AWashington Wizards141-115
03/01/26AMiami Heat125-115
31/12/25AAtlanta Hawks102-126
30/12/25AChicago Bulls136-101
28/12/25HBrooklyn Nets107-123
26/12/25ADenver Nuggets138-142 OT
24/12/25HNew York Knicks115-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ABoston Celtics100-95
08/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers107-91
07/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies105-106
04/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-115
03/01/26AIndiana Pacers123-113
01/01/26HNew York Knicks134-132
30/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers101-113
28/12/25HUtah Jazz114-127
25/12/25AOklahoma City Thunder117-102
24/12/25HOklahoma City Thunder130-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %64%70%58%
Points / game120.3116.5124.2
Allowed / game115.1109.9120.5
Point differential+5.2+6.7+3.7
Avg total235.4226.4244.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%16%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW69%
HomeLLWLW72%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %69%72%67%
Points / game118.3118.4118.3
Allowed / game112.8111.8113.8
Point differential+5.6+6.6+4.5
Avg total231.1230.2232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)25% (4)75% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3731684%121.2108.7+12.5
2 Detroit Pistons38281074%117.8111.2+6.6
3 San Antonio Spurs36251169%118.3112.8+5.6
4 Denver Nuggets38251366%123.1117.8+5.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers35231266%115.8115.8+0.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves39251464%120.3115.1+5.2
7 Boston Celtics38241463%117.2110.4+6.7
8 Houston Rockets35221363%118.5110.7+7.7
9 New York Knicks37231462%119.2115.2+4.0
10 Phoenix Suns37231462%115.4111.6+3.9
11 Toronto Raptors39241562%114.5112.2+2.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers37211657%117.2115.5+1.6
13 Orlando Magic38211755%116.1114.7+1.4
14 Cleveland Cavaliers40221855%120.0117.6+2.4
15 Miami Heat37201754%119.9117.6+2.3
16 Golden State Warriors39211854%115.5113.4+2.2
17 Atlanta Hawks40192148%118.2118.5-0.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers40192148%116.3118.8-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls38182047%117.3120.8-3.5
20 Milwaukee Bucks38172145%113.1115.3-2.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies39172244%114.9116.2-1.3
22 Los Angeles Clippers38152339%111.9113.6-1.7
23 Charlotte Hornets39142536%116.3116.6-0.3
24 Dallas Mavericks39142536%113.0117.1-4.2
25 Utah Jazz38132534%119.0127.3-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets36112531%108.8113.9-5.0
27 Washington Wizards37102727%113.3124.3-11.0
28 New Orleans Pelicans4193222%114.9122.4-7.5
29 Sacramento Kings3883021%109.8122.1-12.3
30 Indiana Pacers3983121%111.2119.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves24182933104
San Antonio Spurs31243018103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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