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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 126-123
21-22 48-22 27-40 30-39
Position#2
Record26-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#10
Record27-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game114.5
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves
22 Jan 2027
SAS v MIN
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
SAS121
MIN111
12 May 2026
SAS126
MIN97
06 May 2026
SAS133
MIN95
04 May 2026
SAS102
MIN104
17 Jan 2026
SAS126
MIN123
15 Dec 2024
SAS92
MIN106
02 Nov 2024
SAS113
MIN103
27 Jan 2024
SAS113
MIN112
10 Nov 2023
SAS110
MIN117
08 Apr 2023
SAS131
MIN151
30 Oct 2022
SAS107
MIN98
14 Mar 2022
SAS139
MIN149
03 Feb 2021
SAS111
MIN108
14 Mar 2020
SAS v MIN
upcoming
27 Nov 2019
SAS101
MIN113
21 Dec 2018
SAS124
MIN98
17 Oct 2018
SAS112
MIN108
17 Mar 2018
SAS117
MIN101
18 Oct 2017
SAS107
MIN99
04 Mar 2017
SAS97
MIN90
17 Jan 2017
SAS122
MIN114
28 Dec 2015
SAS101
MIN95
15 Mar 2015
SAS123
MIN97
06 Dec 2014
SAS123
MIN101
12 Jan 2014
SAS104
MIN86
13 Dec 2013
SAS117
MIN110
17 Apr 2013
SAS95
MIN108
13 Jan 2013
SAS106
MIN88
21 Mar 2012
SAS116
MIN100
09 Jan 2011
SAS94
MIN91
03 Dec 2010
SAS107
MIN101
12 Apr 2010
SAS133
MIN111
29 Dec 2009
SAS117
MIN99
17 Mar 2009
SAS93
MIN86
23 Dec 2008
SAS99
MIN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 109
H30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
134-132
134
132
+2
128avg 109
H01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
123-113
123
113
+10
110avg 109
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
110-115
110
115
-5
103avg 109
H04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
105-106
105
106
-1
92avg 109
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 109
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
100-95
100
95
+5
88avg 109
A11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
103-104
103
104
-1
92avg 109
A12/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
98-119
98
119
-21
85avg 109
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
119-101
119
101
+18
123avg 109
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
29-24
23-27
23-37
36-45
27-28
30-29
41-30
30-31
41-27
22-27
30-28
24-35
27-20
29-32
30-28
31-21
23-25
27-36
24-24
26-23
22-20
31-25
28-23
21-26
29-29
23-20
27-20
31-24
24-18
30-29
18-33
26-32
26-23
24-40
22-24
31-27
35-26
40-16
13-32
218.9Avg total
110.0Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)117.4112.4229.8+5.067%
Season at home (19)118.4111.2229.6+7.274%
Season away (20)116.5113.5230.1+3.060%
Last 10 (10)110.0108.9218.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)105.4102.0207.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)119.7115.7235.3+4.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)116.2112.2228.5+4.058%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-101
136
101
+35
133avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
102-126
102
126
-24
93avg 111
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-115
125
115
+10
121avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
141-115
141
115
+26
137avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-94
122
94
+28
120avg 111
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
131-122
131
122
+9
132avg 111
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
134-146
134
146
-12
132avg 111
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-103
104
103
+1
93avg 111
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
139-106
139
106
+33
142avg 111
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 111
A17/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
34-27
40-28
41-23
26-33
23-37
24-28
29-28
27-25
29-25
34-36
35-29
38-28
35-30
35-21
33-36
27-29
34-25
32-23
29-17
32-31
31-36
43-22
25-33
33-29
32-34
26-36
43-47
24-31
18-24
29-30
33-18
38-20
38-25
30-33
33-28
34-29
21-24
27-28
23-29
237.7Avg total
123.9Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)120.0114.5234.4+5.564%
Season at home (21)116.0109.6225.5+6.471%
Season away (21)124.0119.3243.3+4.757%
Last 10 (10)123.9113.8237.7+10.170%
Last 5 (5)122.6117.4240.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)113.3109.0222.3+4.383%
vs Similar (12)118.6118.8237.4-0.242%
vs Weaker (12)123.2112.0235.2+11.275%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
San Antonio SpursMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A12/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H16/01
NBA
109.4Avg total
56.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.155.3115.4+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.055.5113.5+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)61.955.1117.0+6.975%-
Last 10 (10)56.552.9109.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)54.249.6103.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)58.562.8121.3-4.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)60.553.4113.9+7.183%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
76-45
76
45
+31
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A17/01
NBA
116.0Avg total
59.5Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.156.8113.9+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.756.7113.4+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)57.656.9114.5+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)59.556.5116.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)60.256.6116.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)51.256.3107.5-5.217%-
vs Similar (12)56.159.2115.3-3.242%-
vs Weaker (12)61.254.5115.7+6.767%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.227.0
51.7%
54.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.211.4
30.6%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws26.921.8
81.0%
78.1%21.8
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 123.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.132.1
60.5%
54.8%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.214.6
39.2%
35.8%43.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.9
70.0%
78.1%15.9
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WLLWWLLWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#10
+1.1
Net rating
+9.8
107.5
Offensive rating
120.1
106.4
Defensive rating
110.3
49.3%
Effective FG%
59.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
12.1%
Turnover %
12.5%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.6%
3-point %
39.2%
61.7%
Assist %
60.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 120.1Defence106.4 · 110.3Shooting49.3% · 59.8%3-point %30.6% · 39.2%Ball care12.1% · 12.5%Off. rebounds22.8% · 26.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks119-101
14/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder98-119
12/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves103-104
11/01/26ABoston Celtics100-95
08/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers107-91
07/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies105-106
04/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-115
03/01/26AIndiana Pacers123-113
01/01/26HNew York Knicks134-132
30/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers101-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AHouston Rockets105-110
14/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks139-106
12/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs104-103
10/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers134-146
09/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers131-122
07/01/26HMiami Heat122-94
04/01/26AWashington Wizards141-115
03/01/26AMiami Heat125-115
31/12/25AAtlanta Hawks102-126
30/12/25AChicago Bulls136-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWLWW74%
AwayWLWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %67%74%60%
Points / game117.4118.4116.5
Allowed / game112.4111.2113.5
Point differential+5.0+7.2+3.0
Avg total229.8229.6230.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)25% (4)67% (9)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game120.0116.0124.0
Allowed / game114.5109.6119.3
Point differential+5.5+6.4+4.7
Avg total234.4225.5243.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)75% (8)20% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4034685%121.0108.1+12.9
2 Detroit Pistons40301075%117.7110.2+7.4
3 Denver Nuggets41281368%122.6117.2+5.3
4 San Antonio Spurs39261367%117.4112.4+5.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves42271564%120.0114.5+5.5
6 Boston Celtics41261563%117.0110.1+6.9
7 Los Angeles Lakers38241463%116.4116.5-0.1
8 Houston Rockets39241562%117.1110.7+6.4
9 Phoenix Suns41251661%115.0111.1+3.9
10 Toronto Raptors42251760%114.3112.2+2.1
11 New York Knicks40231757%118.1115.1+3.0
12 Orlando Magic39221756%116.2114.6+1.5
13 Cleveland Cavaliers43241956%120.0117.4+2.6
14 Philadelphia 76ers40221855%116.8115.7+1.1
15 Golden State Warriors42231955%115.8113.2+2.5
16 Miami Heat40211952%119.7117.8+1.9
17 Portland Trail Blazers42202248%115.9118.4-2.6
18 Chicago Bulls41192246%117.3120.7-3.4
19 Atlanta Hawks44202445%117.6119.2-1.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers41182344%112.5113.4-0.9
21 Memphis Grizzlies40172342%114.8116.2-1.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks41172441%112.4115.8-3.3
23 Dallas Mavericks43172640%114.2117.0-2.9
24 Charlotte Hornets41152637%116.6116.7-0.1
25 Utah Jazz42142833%119.4127.6-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets39122731%108.9113.8-4.8
27 Sacramento Kings42123029%110.6120.6-10.0
28 Washington Wizards40103025%112.7124.0-11.3
29 Indiana Pacers43103323%110.2118.4-8.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans44103423%115.0122.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs21482730126
Minnesota Timberwolves22224039123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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