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Ibaraki Robots vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 103-109 (OT)
27-18 28-26 20-18 18-31 10-16
Position#21
Record15-39
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#1
Record42-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game79.4
JapanB League· Adastria Mito Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ibaraki Robots v Nagasaki
28 Apr 2027
IBAR v NAGA
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
IBAR103
NAGA109
18 Apr 2026
IBAR69
NAGA90
22 Dec 2024
IBAR85
NAGA97
21 Dec 2024
IBAR75
NAGA91
05 Nov 2023
IBAR92
NAGA88
04 Nov 2023
IBAR81
NAGA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ibaraki Robots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ibaraki RobotsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRobots
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
83-80
83
80
+3
84avg 70
A28/03
B League
Saga
#12
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 70
A29/03
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 70
A01/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
71-89
71
89
-18
68avg 70
H04/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
83avg 70
H05/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
60avg 70
H08/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
64-79
64
79
-15
55avg 70
A11/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
58-90
58
90
-32
47avg 70
A12/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 70
H15/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
61avg 70
H18/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
13-14
24-20
21-23
27-24
11-27
14-18
34-21
18-21
22-30
20-20
25-17
22-22
24-28
9-16
16-23
25-21
19-25
26-19
14-17
11-31
20-16
19-18
16-15
24-22
10-20
14-23
16-14
14-23
16-24
15-27
13-16
15-26
15-26
22-16
18-19
15-17
18-29
12-32
24-12
159.1Avg total
73.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)75.181.3156.4-6.228%
Season at home (27)74.681.3155.9-6.830%
Season away (27)75.681.2156.8-5.626%
Last 10 (10)73.685.5159.1-11.920%
Last 5 (5)65.485.2150.6-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.285.9161.1-10.722%
vs Similar (9)78.376.6154.9+1.844%
vs Weaker (3)75.765.3141.0+10.3100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
99avg 85
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
82avg 85
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
77avg 85
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
97-83
97
83
+14
96avg 85
H04/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
99-88
99
88
+11
105avg 85
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
91avg 85
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 85
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 85
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 85
H15/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-69
90
69
+21
86avg 85
A18/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
29-24
22-26
27-22
19-30
28-17
23-17
18-11
20-22
28-18
11-12
21-19
18-18
34-19
26-15
19-31
24-16
22-24
25-27
28-21
24-27
31-26
23-30
19-20
15-17
18-27
20-22
27-16
25-20
23-16
21-29
21-24
20-26
18-21
23-21
21-15
17-15
29-18
32-12
12-24
173.9Avg total
90.2Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)91.079.4170.4+11.778%
Season at home (27)91.679.8171.3+11.881%
Season away (27)90.578.9169.4+11.674%
Last 10 (10)90.283.7173.9+6.570%
Last 5 (5)87.885.2173.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.082.4170.4+5.764%
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Ibaraki RobotsNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ibaraki RobotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/03
B League
Saga
#12
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A29/03
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A01/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H04/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H05/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H08/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A11/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A12/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H15/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H18/04
B League
83.3Avg total
36.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.443.280.5-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.843.879.6-8.018%-
Last 30 away (13)39.442.381.7-2.946%-
Last 10 (10)36.446.983.3-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)31.646.878.4-15.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.246.183.2-8.917%-
vs Similar (9)37.439.677.0-2.144%-
vs Weaker (3)38.336.775.0+1.767%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H15/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A18/04
B League
88.6Avg total
46.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.785.9+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.742.789.5+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.782.4+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)46.342.388.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.686.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.741.886.5+2.961%-
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ibaraki Robotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibaraki Robots: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.0
49.4%
53.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.2
34.2%
33.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.410.5
68.2%
73.1%10.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.122.9
63.4%
53.1%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.3
32.7%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
73.1%15.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ibaraki Robots
LLLLLWLLLW
Nagasaki
WLWLLWWWWW
#21
League position
#1
-14.6
Net rating
+6.1
87.9
Offensive rating
100.5
102.5
Defensive rating
94.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
57.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
32.7%
78.6%
Assist %
70.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 100.5Defence102.5 · 94.4Shooting50.3% · 57.1%3-point %34.2% · 32.7%Ball care16.1% · 16.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Ibaraki Robots   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ibaraki Robots wins
4
Nagasaki wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HNagasaki69-90
15/04/26HKoshigaya Alphas70-87
12/04/26ARyukyu58-90
11/04/26ARyukyu64-79
08/04/26HGunma66-80
05/04/26HNeoPhoenix84-82
04/04/26HNeoPhoenix71-89
01/04/26AHokkaido85-88
29/03/26ASaga86-90
28/03/26ASaga83-80
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26AIbaraki Robots90-69
15/04/26HHiroshima D.82-83
12/04/26AHokkaido90-89
11/04/26AHokkaido80-82
08/04/26HNeoPhoenix97-103
05/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles99-88
04/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles97-83
01/04/26AOsaka80-71
29/03/26HSendai88-75
28/03/26HSendai99-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ibaraki Robots
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayWLLLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542727
Win %28%30%26%
Points / game75.174.675.6
Allowed / game81.381.381.2
Point differential-6.2-6.8-5.6
Avg total156.4155.9156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%11%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)38% (8)50% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW78%
HomeWWWLL81%
AwayWWLWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542727
Win %78%81%74%
Points / game91.091.690.5
Allowed / game79.479.878.9
Point differential+11.7+11.8+11.6
Avg total170.4171.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%63%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki54421278%91.079.4+11.7
2 Diamond Dolphins54411376%84.073.8+10.2
3 Utsunomiya Brex55411475%85.780.3+5.4
4 SeaHorses Mikawa55391671%84.177.7+6.4
5 Ryukyu54381670%81.974.5+7.4
6 Gunma55381769%82.772.7+10.0
7 Chiba55371867%83.576.8+6.7
8 Alvark55371867%80.176.9+3.1
9 Hokkaido55342162%88.086.1+1.9
10 Sendai55332260%82.279.3+2.9
11 NeoPhoenix54322259%86.183.8+2.3
12 Hiroshima D.55302555%86.583.8+2.7
13 Saga55292653%82.381.9+0.3
14 Shimane55262947%79.680.5-1.0
15 Yokohama55253045%79.181.2-2.1
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya55233242%76.480.2-3.8
17 Osaka55223340%81.082.8-1.8
18 Shiga54213339%80.785.0-4.3
19 Altiri Chiba55183733%79.083.9-4.9
20 Kyoto55183733%73.980.9-7.1
21 Koshigaya Alphas55183733%74.881.9-7.1
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles55173831%80.284.5-4.3
23 Ibaraki Robots54153928%75.181.3-6.2
24 Toyama55144125%80.988.9-8.0
25 Brave Thunders55144125%75.684.1-8.5
26 Akita55104518%73.385.0-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ibaraki Robots2728201810103
Nagasaki1826183116109
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