PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nagasaki vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 82-83
20-26 18-21 23-21 21-15
Position#1
Record41-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#13
Record29-23
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game83.6
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.
03 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
NAGA82
HIRO83
01 Feb 2026
NAGA98
HIRO74
31 Jan 2026
NAGA84
HIRO71
26 Mar 2025
NAGA77
HIRO78
17 Apr 2024
NAGA89
HIRO78
31 Dec 2023
NAGA68
HIRO86
30 Dec 2023
NAGA64
HIRO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H04/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A12/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
10-31
26-22
20-22
18-10
22-14
14-17
14-17
21-22
29-24
22-26
27-22
19-30
28-17
23-17
18-11
20-22
28-18
11-12
21-19
18-18
34-19
26-15
19-31
24-16
22-24
25-27
28-21
24-27
31-26
23-30
19-20
15-17
18-27
20-22
27-16
25-20
23-16
21-29
21-24
171.7Avg total
87.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)91.279.5170.7+11.779%
Season at home (26)91.979.7171.6+12.385%
Season away (26)90.579.3169.8+11.273%
Last 10 (10)87.983.8171.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)92.689.0181.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.382.4171.8+6.968%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A14/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A15/03
B League
Osaka
#17
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H28/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H29/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
88-91
88
91
-3
A01/04
B League
Chiba
#6
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H04/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
H05/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A08/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H11/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
79-88 OT
79
88
-9
H12/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
19-24
18-23
21-21
21-23
25-16
31-19
27-33
23-24
26-22
20-17
19-29
31-18
19-22
16-25
28-14
22-22
21-24
29-25
16-20
22-14
12-17
28-15
23-33
19-24
23-25
21-20
20-14
14-18
21-26
22-24
27-25
16-13
21-17
21-18
14-20
18-15
25-20
15-21
19-21
173.9Avg total
87.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)86.583.6170.2+2.956%
Season at home (26)87.784.5172.2+3.354%
Season away (26)85.382.8168.1+2.658%
Last 10 (10)87.186.8173.9+0.340%
Last 5 (5)83.285.6168.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)82.883.7166.5-0.850%
vs Similar (7)85.989.3175.1-3.429%
vs Weaker (17)90.483.3173.7+7.171%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
NagasakiHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/04
B League
87.2Avg total
45.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.586.5+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.542.389.8+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.783.2+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.887.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.088.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.641.587.1+4.064%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A15/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H28/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A01/04
B League
Chiba
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A08/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H11/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H12/04
B League
82.4Avg total
42.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.587.3+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.341.388.5+6.087%-
Last 30 away (15)42.343.786.1-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.382.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.876.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.342.881.2-4.533%-
vs Similar (7)43.745.689.3-1.943%-
vs Weaker (17)47.541.188.6+6.482%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.9
61.8%
53.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.6
33.9%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.416.2
79.4%
73.1%16.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.1
55.4%
53.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.4
33.1%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.7%
73.1%13.7
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLLWWWWWWL
Hiroshima D.
LWLLWLWLWL
#1
League position
#13
+3.5
Net rating
+0.2
100.1
Offensive rating
98.2
96.6
Defensive rating
98.0
56.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.9%
3-point %
33.1%
75.4%
Assist %
62.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 98.2Defence96.6 · 98.0Shooting56.8% · 52.8%3-point %33.9% · 33.1%Ball care16.7% · 13.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nagasaki wins
5
Hiroshima D. wins
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26AHokkaido90-89
11/04/26AHokkaido80-82
08/04/26HNeoPhoenix97-103
05/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles99-88
04/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles97-83
01/04/26AOsaka80-71
29/03/26HSendai88-75
28/03/26HSendai99-94
15/03/26ARyukyu68-58
14/03/26ARyukyu81-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HSun Rockers Shibuya79-88 OT
11/04/26HSun Rockers Shibuya72-68
08/04/26ASeaHorses Mikawa84-93
05/04/26HChiba96-100 OT
04/04/26HChiba85-79
01/04/26ANeoPhoenix88-91
29/03/26HOsaka94-79
28/03/26HOsaka88-92
15/03/26AAltiri Chiba104-91
14/03/26AAltiri Chiba81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW79%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayLWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %79%85%73%
Points / game91.291.990.5
Allowed / game79.579.779.3
Point differential+11.7+12.3+11.2
Avg total170.7171.6169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%65%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayWLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %56%54%58%
Points / game86.587.785.3
Allowed / game83.684.582.8
Point differential+2.9+3.3+2.6
Avg total170.2172.2168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)29% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki52411179%91.279.5+11.7
2 Diamond Dolphins52391375%83.673.4+10.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex52391375%86.280.4+5.8
4 Ryukyu52371571%81.674.2+7.3
5 Gunma52361669%82.872.9+9.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa52361669%83.877.5+6.3
7 Chiba52351767%83.176.4+6.7
8 Alvark52351767%80.277.1+3.0
9 Hokkaido52322062%87.885.7+2.1
10 NeoPhoenix52312160%86.083.3+2.7
11 Sendai52312160%82.380.2+2.2
12 Hiroshima D.52292356%86.583.6+2.9
13 Saga52272552%82.082.3-0.4
14 Shimane52232944%79.380.4-1.1
15 Yokohama52232944%79.481.8-2.4
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya52223042%77.380.5-3.2
17 Shiga52213140%80.384.3-4.1
18 Osaka52203238%80.382.8-2.5
19 Kyoto52183435%73.580.6-7.2
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles52173533%80.583.7-3.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas52173533%74.882.3-7.5
22 Altiri Chiba52163631%78.884.4-5.5
23 Ibaraki Robots52153729%75.381.0-5.7
24 Brave Thunders52143827%75.583.5-8.0
25 Toyama52124023%80.689.3-8.7
26 Akita52104219%73.985.4-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2018232182
Hiroshima D.2621211583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.