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Iceland vs Slovenia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-87
20-21 15-15 11-24 33-27
Position#22
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game92.3
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Spodek
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovenia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
71-95
71
95
-24
65avg 70
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 70
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 70
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
83-71
83
71
+12
80avg 70
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 70
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
64-71
64
71
-7
60avg 70
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 70
A31/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-23
19-18
18-17
16-19
17-18
16-14
21-14
16-16
14-19
17-19
28-22
12-27
13-22
29-16
17-30
22-9
10-20
26-27
23-18
21-20
11-28
25-24
21-15
26-16
20-22
23-16
14-17
19-23
13-13
20-24
19-23
21-17
15-15
16-14
12-25
16-19
16-22
19-20
24-23
153.1Avg total
74.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.079.3149.3-9.30%
Season at home (1)64.071.0135.0-7.00%
Season away (2)73.083.5156.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)74.878.3153.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)74.279.2153.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.482.8152.2-13.410%
vs Similar (8)85.084.9169.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (12)82.674.4157.0+8.283%
This opponent (Slovenia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
74-82
74
82
-8
68avg 78
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 78
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
84-71
84
71
+13
84avg 78
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 78
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 78
H28/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 78
A30/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 78
H31/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
27-23
28-19
19-25
21-22
18-18
25-13
23-20
8-20
32-17
25-16
23-26
10-22
14-27
24-15
26-18
24-17
20-32
22-19
17-14
24-22
21-14
21-19
18-16
15-11
16-25
28-25
15-23
25-29
21-18
23-33
26-25
30-28
24-19
16-21
25-35
16-10
27-21
21-17
22-21
168.8Avg total
85.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.092.3184.3-0.333%
Season at home (2)90.587.0177.5+3.550%
Season away (1)95.0103.0198.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)85.583.3168.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)86.886.4173.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.192.6175.7-9.429%
vs Similar (15)86.382.3168.5+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.178.8168.9+11.475%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
IcelandSlovenia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/08
EuroBasket
72.8Avg total
34.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.476.3-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.438.175.5-0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)36.440.576.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)34.138.772.8-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.074.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.540.371.8-8.830%-
vs Similar (8)39.440.279.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (12)39.738.177.8+1.658%-
This opponent (Slovenia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H28/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A30/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H31/08
EuroBasket
82.1Avg total
40.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.384.7+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.988.4+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.339.781.0+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.382.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.483.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.142.185.3+1.043%-
vs Similar (15)42.642.284.8+0.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.138.984.0+6.275%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.9 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.4
52.5%
52.4%34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.7
28.5%
33.4%23.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.2
74.9%
73.1%15.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.916.0
51.8%
52.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.6
32.8%
33.4%28.7
🏀 Free throws30.323.8
78.4%
73.1%23.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 02 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iceland
LLLWLWLLWW
Slovenia
WLLLWWLWWW
#22
League position
#8
-6.1
Net rating
+3.2
100.9
Offensive rating
109.7
107.1
Defensive rating
106.5
48.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
20.1%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.51
28.5%
3-point %
32.8%
70.4%
Assist %
78.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 109.7Defence107.1 · 106.5Shooting48.2% · 50.6%3-point %28.5% · 32.8%Ball care16.6% · 20.1%Off. rebounds24.4% · 33.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.51Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Iceland   ■ Slovenia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iceland wins
0
Slovenia wins
No previous meetings.
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/25APoland75-84
30/08/25HBelgium64-71
28/08/25AIsrael71-83
23/02/25HTurkey83-71
20/02/25AHungary78-87
25/11/24AItaly81-74
22/11/24HItaly71-95
25/02/24ATurkey75-76
22/02/24HHungary70-65
26/02/23AGeorgia80-77
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/25HBelgium86-69
30/08/25AFrance95-103
28/08/25HPoland95-105
24/02/25AIsrael74-84
21/02/25AUkraine84-71
25/11/24HPortugal83-82
22/11/24APortugal74-82
25/02/24HIsrael88-79
22/02/24HUkraine87-73
09/09/23AItaly89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iceland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.064.073.0
Allowed / game79.371.083.5
Point differential-9.3-7.0-10.5
Avg total149.3135.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Slovenia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game92.090.595.0
Allowed / game92.387.0103.0
Point differential-0.3+3.5-8.0
Avg total184.3177.5198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany440100%109.576.0+33.5
2 Turkey440100%91.067.2+23.8
3 Serbia440100%86.068.2+17.8
4 Poland330100%85.078.0+7.0
5 Greece43175%85.567.0+18.5
6 Finland43175%91.278.8+12.5
7 Lithuania43175%89.280.5+8.8
8 Israel43175%80.273.8+6.5
9 Spain32167%82.765.7+17.0
10 Italy32167%80.072.0+8.0
11 France32167%88.080.3+7.7
12 Latvia42250%75.877.2-1.5
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.281.2-2.0
14 Slovenia31233%92.092.3-0.3
15 Georgia31233%66.080.3-14.3
16 Sweden41325%83.086.0-3.0
17 Belgium41325%73.283.5-10.2
18 Estonia41325%71.882.2-10.5
19 Portugal41325%61.875.8-14.0
20 Montenegro41325%73.891.5-17.8
21 Iceland3030%70.079.3-9.3
22 Czech Republic4040%65.881.2-15.5
23 Cyprus3030%60.092.7-32.7
24 Great Britain4040%66.2100.2-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iceland2015113379
Slovenia2115242787
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