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Illinois State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-74
38-40 43-34
Position#96
Record19-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#25
Record26-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game73.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois State v Belmont
21 Dec 2026
ILLI v BELM
upcoming
01 Mar 2026
ILLI81
BELM74
29 Jan 2025
ILLI81
BELM78
23 Jan 2024
ILLI77
BELM67
04 Dec 2022
ILLI87
BELM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H07/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-44
33-36
35-29
35-36
24-22
26-32
47-32
39-44
32-45
48-43
34-34
52-30
26-33
30-50
36-28
42-33
31-43
29-31
28-23
43-46
142.0Avg total
70.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.768.1143.8+7.663%
Season at home (16)78.960.4139.2+18.588%
Season away (14)72.176.9148.9-4.836%
Last 10 (10)70.671.4142.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)70.270.2140.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)67.966.4134.3+1.562%
vs Weaker (15)81.169.9151.0+11.367%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
103-86
103
86
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
84-95 OT
84
95
-11
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
36-33
42-38
36-39
54-40
49-46
51-43
52-47
38-26
30-36
33-31
47-49
45-45
46-41
24-39
63-31
39-25
48-45
44-29
54-35
164.8Avg total
87.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.373.1156.4+10.284%
Season at home (17)86.873.0159.8+13.888%
Season away (14)79.073.1152.1+5.979%
Last 10 (10)87.976.9164.8+11.090%
Last 5 (5)89.477.0166.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.171.9154.0+10.3100%
vs Weaker (23)83.873.9157.7+10.078%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +5.9+5.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +5.9+5.9
Illinois StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A26/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
32.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.831.667.5+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.327.466.8+11.981%-
Last 30 away (14)31.936.468.3-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.366.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.230.661.8+0.654%-
vs Weaker (15)39.232.771.9+6.560%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H24/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H01/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H26/02
NCAA
76.6Avg total
41.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.735.072.7+2.880%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.534.273.8+5.281%-
Last 30 away (14)35.735.871.5-0.179%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.276.6+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.870.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.935.773.6+2.171%-
vs Weaker (23)37.734.772.4+3.083%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois State wins
5
Belmont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26ANorthern Iowa71-69
22/02/26ABradley60-74
19/02/26HMurray State78-61
15/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)56-83
13/02/26HValparaiso86-64
10/02/26AEvansville80-88
07/02/26HDrake86-76
04/02/26HSouthern Illinois50-54
29/01/26AMurray State70-65
24/01/26ABelmont69-80
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HEvansville98-64
22/02/26HIndiana State87-70
15/02/26AMurray State87-70
13/02/26HNorthern Iowa91-86
10/02/26ABradley84-95 OT
07/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)68-62
04/02/26HDrake103-90
01/02/26HMurray State103-86
29/01/26AValparaiso78-77
24/01/26HIllinois State80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW63%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %63%88%36%
Points / game75.778.972.1
Allowed / game68.160.476.9
Point differential+7.6+18.5-4.8
Avg total143.8139.2148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %84%88%79%
Points / game83.386.879.0
Allowed / game73.173.073.1
Point differential+10.2+13.8+5.9
Avg total156.4159.8152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%59%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont3126584%83.373.1+10.2
2 Bradley31201165%77.573.1+4.4
3 Murray State31201165%83.579.5+3.9
4 Illinois State30191163%75.768.1+7.6
5 Northern Iowa31191261%69.361.1+8.2
6 Illinois (Chi.)31171455%75.369.8+5.5
7 Valparaiso31171455%71.971.2+0.7
8 Southern Illinois31161552%73.369.6+3.7
9 Drake31121939%75.375.2+0.1
10 Indiana State31112035%73.974.8-0.9
11 Evansville3172423%67.276.7-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State384381
Belmont403474
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