PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 103-87
25-24 35-25 20-20 23-18
Position#3
Record38-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game103.4
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#4
Record36-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game101.8
Allowed / game93.2
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat
31 Dec 2026
OKC v MIA
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
OKC124
MIA112
12 Feb 2025
OKC115
MIA101
08 Mar 2024
OKC107
MIA100
14 Dec 2022
OKC108
MIA110
15 Nov 2021
OKC90
MIA103
22 Feb 2021
OKC94
MIA108
12 Aug 2020
OKC116
MIA115
17 Jan 2020
OKC108
MIA115
18 Mar 2019
OKC107
MIA116
23 Mar 2018
OKC105
MIA99
07 Nov 2016
OKC97
MIA85
08 Jul 2016
OKC86
MIA72
17 Jan 2016
OKC99
MIA74
22 Mar 2015
OKC93
MIA75
11 Jul 2014
OKC103
MIA98
20 Feb 2014
OKC81
MIA103
14 Feb 2013
OKC100
MIA110
14 Jun 2012
OKC96
MIA100
12 Jun 2012
OKC105
MIA94
25 Mar 2012
OKC103
MIA87
30 Jan 2011
OKC103
MIA108
16 Jan 2010
OKC98
MIA80
14 Oct 2009
OKC96
MIA91
18 Jan 2009
OKC94
MIA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
115-104
115
104
+11
H08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H10/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
122-95
122
95
+27
H11/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
103-104
103
104
-1
H14/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
103-90
103
90
+13
A16/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
105-114
105
114
-9
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
111-95
111
95
+16
H19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
114-91
114
91
+23
H22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
149-140 OT
149
140
+9
H24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-34
33-30
26-24
31-16
27-26
24-23
18-20
21-27
28-25
30-15
33-30
31-25
22-23
31-30
20-24
30-27
29-25
21-26
28-14
25-25
19-30
29-35
31-27
26-22
31-15
26-27
27-28
27-25
25-24
19-28
26-24
20-21
33-30
33-20
22-21
26-20
30-29
33-32
31-27
22-28
212.8Avg total
110.2Scored
102.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)103.497.0200.4+6.376%
Season at home (26)106.997.0203.9+9.985%
Season away (24)99.597.0196.6+2.567%
Last 10 (10)110.2102.6212.8+7.660%
Last 5 (5)113.8107.4221.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)104.8102.3207.1+2.456%
vs Weaker (21)106.998.8205.7+8.176%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
108-78
108
78
+30
H07/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
98-104 OT
98
104
-6
A13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
102-106
102
106
-4
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
18-22
24-21
21-22
30-17
34-20
24-19
20-22
25-22
18-23
25-23
21-18
17-26
22-17
21-18
25-24
27-30
29-15
17-27
21-22
23-19
19-34
28-28
32-25
31-18
26-12
12-26
15-22
31-22
19-25
17-16
24-18
28-22
21-31
23-22
27-20
27-20
32-16
13-21
16-16
182.0Avg total
93.5Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)101.893.2195.0+8.575%
Season at home (23)103.390.4193.7+12.991%
Season away (25)100.495.8196.2+4.660%
Last 10 (10)93.588.5182.0+5.070%
Last 5 (5)92.886.6179.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)97.088.8185.8+8.288%
vs Weaker (22)100.291.6191.8+8.577%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H08/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H10/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H11/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H14/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A16/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/03
NBA
107.5Avg total
54.8Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.251.3104.4+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.350.1105.4+5.262%-
Last 30 away (14)50.752.6103.4-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)54.852.7107.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)55.654.0109.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)53.655.0108.6-1.433%-
vs Weaker (21)53.049.7102.7+3.357%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
64-37
64
37
+27
H07/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A23/03
NBA
93.6Avg total
49.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.445.297.7+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.945.595.4+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)54.645.099.6+9.675%-
Last 10 (10)49.743.993.6+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)51.443.895.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)52.443.696.0+8.862%-
vs Weaker (22)52.545.898.3+6.677%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/12HMinnesota Timberwolves149-140 OT
22/03/12HLos Angeles Clippers114-91
21/03/12AUtah Jazz90-97
19/03/12HPortland Trail Blazers111-95
17/03/12HSan Antonio Spurs105-114
16/03/12ADenver Nuggets103-90
14/03/12HHouston Rockets103-104
11/03/12HCharlotte Hornets122-95
10/03/12HCleveland Cavaliers90-96
08/03/12HPhoenix Suns115-104
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/12ADetroit Pistons88-73
20/03/12HPhoenix Suns99-95
18/03/12HOrlando Magic91-81
16/03/12APhiladelphia 76ers84-78
15/03/12AChicago Bulls102-106
13/03/12AOrlando Magic98-104 OT
11/03/12HIndiana Pacers93-91 OT
08/03/12HAtlanta Hawks89-86
07/03/12HBrooklyn Nets108-78
04/03/12ALos Angeles Lakers83-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeLLWWW85%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %76%85%67%
Points / game103.4106.999.5
Allowed / game97.097.097.0
Point differential+6.3+9.9+2.5
Avg total200.4203.9196.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%54%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)75% (4)73% (11)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %75%91%60%
Points / game101.8103.3100.4
Allowed / game93.290.495.8
Point differential+8.5+12.9+4.6
Avg total195.0193.7196.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%61%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)100% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %10%4%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls52421081%97.588.6+8.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder50381276%103.497.0+6.3
3 Miami Heat48361275%101.893.2+8.5
4 San Antonio Spurs49341569%100.496.0+4.4
5 Orlando Magic51321963%93.892.4+1.5
6 Los Angeles Lakers50302060%96.093.9+2.1
7 Atlanta Hawks52312160%94.492.1+2.3
8 Los Angeles Clippers50292158%97.595.6+1.8
9 Indiana Pacers49282157%95.893.3+2.5
10 Philadelphia 76ers51292257%94.187.5+6.5
11 Boston Celtics50282256%90.689.8+0.8
12 Denver Nuggets51282355%104.2102.3+1.9
13 Dallas Mavericks52282454%94.793.5+1.2
14 Houston Rockets51272453%98.197.4+0.7
15 Utah Jazz51272453%98.799.2-0.5
16 Memphis Grizzlies48252352%94.794.0+0.7
17 New York Knicks51262551%97.094.7+2.3
18 Minnesota Timberwolves52262650%99.598.8+0.7
19 Phoenix Suns51252649%96.998.2-1.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers50232746%97.095.7+1.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks50222844%97.998.9-1.0
22 Golden State Warriors48212744%98.199.9-1.7
23 Cleveland Cavaliers48183038%94.398.7-4.4
24 Sacramento Kings50183236%97.8103.2-5.4
25 Detroit Pistons50173334%90.196.0-5.9
26 Toronto Raptors51163531%90.394.2-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets52163631%92.398.5-6.2
28 New Orleans Pelicans50143628%89.393.4-4.2
29 Washington Wizards50113922%93.1100.9-7.8
30 Charlotte Hornets4884017%87.0100.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder25352023103
Miami Heat2425201887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.