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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 89-86
25-22 18-23 25-23 21-18
Position#4
Record30-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#9
Record24-16
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game90.9
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
114-96
114
96
+18
A14/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
105-90
105
90
+15
A15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
111-87
111
87
+24
A18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H19/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
120-108
120
108
+12
H22/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
102-88
102
88
+14
H24/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
107-93
107
93
+14
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
108-78
108
78
+30
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
28-20
35-24
24-22
33-16
35-23
22-19
15-32
35-14
28-24
27-29
21-20
22-19
21-12
27-23
20-24
26-32
31-21
36-35
27-20
24-20
27-27
29-19
22-22
32-24
28-18
27-27
20-24
26-27
18-30
27-21
27-21
20-28
18-22
24-21
21-22
30-17
34-20
24-19
20-22
194.8Avg total
103.8Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)103.594.0197.6+9.575%
Season at home (19)105.590.9196.4+14.689%
Season away (21)101.896.9198.6+4.962%
Last 10 (10)103.891.0194.8+12.880%
Last 5 (5)99.690.2189.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)106.493.7200.1+12.786%
vs Weaker (23)100.292.9193.1+7.370%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A15/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
101-99
101
99
+2
A16/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
77-97
77
97
-20
A19/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A23/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H24/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
101-96
101
96
+5
A07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
17-15
10-17
27-27
21-31
26-25
26-21
28-22
25-33
12-19
19-20
21-25
17-35
20-20
27-18
15-17
16-30
19-30
21-18
26-21
29-20
18-10
11-25
25-23
21-20
17-28
23-16
21-21
27-25
12-26
26-25
34-18
27-24
26-23
23-28
21-15
29-22
29-32
18-17
25-25
179.3Avg total
87.9Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)93.090.9183.9+2.260%
Season at home (19)96.191.5187.6+4.568%
Season away (21)90.390.3180.6+0.052%
Last 10 (10)87.991.4179.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)92.488.6181.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.092.0186.0+2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)88.393.9182.2-5.747%
vs Weaker (9)100.887.3188.1+13.489%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A14/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
68-39
68
39
+29
A15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H22/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H24/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
64-37
64
37
+27
H07/03
NBA
98.7Avg total
54.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.046.299.2+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.146.097.1+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)54.746.4101.1+8.375%-
Last 10 (10)54.344.498.7+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)51.446.698.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)56.649.3105.9+7.371%-
vs Weaker (23)52.045.397.2+6.778%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A15/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A16/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A19/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A23/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A07/03
NBA
92.7Avg total
43.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.047.694.6-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.947.996.8+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)45.247.392.5-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.249.592.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)47.046.093.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.050.0100.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)45.848.994.7-3.237%-
vs Weaker (9)49.044.293.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/12HBrooklyn Nets108-78
04/03/12ALos Angeles Lakers83-93
03/03/12AUtah Jazz98-99
02/03/12APortland Trail Blazers107-93
24/02/12HNew York Knicks102-88
22/02/12HSacramento Kings120-108
19/02/12HOrlando Magic90-78
18/02/12ACleveland Cavaliers111-87
15/02/12AIndiana Pacers105-90
14/02/12AMilwaukee Bucks114-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/12AIndiana Pacers101-96
04/03/12HOklahoma City Thunder97-90
03/03/12HMilwaukee Bucks99-94
01/03/12HGolden State Warriors82-85
24/02/12HOrlando Magic83-78
23/02/12ANew York Knicks82-99
20/02/12AChicago Bulls79-90
19/02/12APortland Trail Blazers77-97
16/02/12APhoenix Suns101-99
15/02/12ALos Angeles Lakers78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %75%89%62%
Points / game103.5105.5101.8
Allowed / game94.090.996.9
Point differential+9.5+14.6+4.9
Avg total197.6196.4198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%68%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWLWW68%
AwayWLLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %60%68%52%
Points / game93.096.190.3
Allowed / game90.991.590.3
Point differential+2.2+4.5+0.0
Avg total183.9187.6180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %10%5%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls4234881%97.487.7+9.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder4032880%101.795.6+6.0
3 Miami Heat40301075%103.594.0+9.5
4 San Antonio Spurs39261367%98.695.2+3.4
5 Los Angeles Clippers38241463%98.495.7+2.7
6 Orlando Magic42261662%93.892.5+1.4
7 Atlanta Hawks40241660%93.090.9+2.2
8 Philadelphia 76ers42251760%94.787.0+7.7
9 Indiana Pacers39231659%94.792.2+2.5
10 Denver Nuggets41241759%104.8101.2+3.6
11 Memphis Grizzlies39221756%93.592.1+1.3
12 Los Angeles Lakers41231856%94.292.6+1.6
13 Boston Celtics40221855%89.989.0+0.9
14 Dallas Mavericks42231955%93.891.5+2.3
15 Minnesota Timberwolves41221954%97.596.1+1.4
16 Houston Rockets42222052%97.296.9+0.3
17 Portland Trail Blazers40202050%98.293.8+4.4
18 New York Knicks40202050%95.794.3+1.4
19 Utah Jazz40202050%96.597.6-1.0
20 Phoenix Suns39172244%94.797.4-2.7
21 Golden State Warriors37162143%97.799.6-1.9
22 Milwaukee Bucks40152538%95.198.0-3.0
23 Cleveland Cavaliers38142437%93.797.9-4.2
24 Detroit Pistons41142734%89.095.4-6.4
25 Sacramento Kings40132732%95.4102.5-7.1
26 Toronto Raptors41132832%89.292.9-3.6
27 Brooklyn Nets41122929%92.099.1-7.1
28 New Orleans Pelicans40112928%88.493.0-4.6
29 Washington Wizards4093122%93.0101.8-8.7
30 Charlotte Hornets3963315%86.799.8-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2518252189
Atlanta Hawks2223231886
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