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Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 94-111
20-26 24-33 24-27 26-25
Position#29
Record6-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game117.9
vs
Position#21
Record11-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game116.9
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Milwaukee Bucks
13 Jan 2027
IND v MIL
upcoming
09 Jan 2027
IND v MIL
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
IND94
MIL111
03 Nov 2025
IND115
MIL117
29 Apr 2025
IND119
MIL118
22 Apr 2025
IND123
MIL115
19 Apr 2025
IND117
MIL98
11 Mar 2025
IND115
MIL114
31 Dec 2024
IND112
MIL120
02 May 2024
IND120
MIL98
28 Apr 2024
IND126
MIL113
26 Apr 2024
IND121
MIL118
03 Jan 2024
IND142
MIL130
09 Nov 2023
IND126
MIL124
29 Mar 2023
IND136
MIL149
27 Jan 2023
IND131
MIL141
28 Nov 2021
IND100
MIL118
25 Oct 2021
IND109
MIL119
13 May 2021
IND133
MIL142
12 Feb 2020
IND118
MIL111
16 Nov 2019
IND83
MIL102
13 Feb 2019
IND97
MIL106
12 Dec 2018
IND113
MIL97
05 Mar 2018
IND92
MIL89
08 Jan 2018
IND109
MIL96
06 Apr 2017
IND104
MIL89
11 Feb 2017
IND100
MIL116
31 Dec 2015
IND116
MIL120
21 Nov 2015
IND123
MIL86
12 Mar 2015
IND109
MIL103
04 Nov 2014
IND81
MIL87
27 Feb 2014
IND101
MIL96
15 Nov 2013
IND104
MIL77
22 Mar 2013
IND102
MIL78
05 Jan 2013
IND95
MIL80
19 Apr 2012
IND118
MIL109
01 Apr 2011
IND89
MIL88
05 Nov 2010
IND90
MIL94
25 Feb 2010
IND110
MIL112
21 Dec 2009
IND81
MIL84
15 Apr 2009
IND115
MIL108
28 Jan 2009
IND107
MIL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
103-101
103
101
+2
95avg 108
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
119-135
119
135
-16
103avg 108
H02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
120-135
120
135
-15
114avg 108
H04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
120-105
120
105
+15
112avg 108
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
116-105
116
105
+11
108avg 108
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
105-115
105
115
-10
93avg 108
A13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
89-108
89
108
-19
76avg 108
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
113-114
113
114
-1
106avg 108
H19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
109-128
109
128
-19
96avg 108
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
78avg 108
A23/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
35-27
25-26
17-21
25-37
29-29
36-33
29-36
28-33
20-39
31-30
41-33
30-33
32-24
30-26
28-22
35-23
31-28
26-37
24-17
31-34
27-29
32-27
15-25
32-31
15-27
19-23
23-27
36-25
26-34
30-27
21-28
27-44
22-20
30-34
30-30
35-26
26-17
21-31
13-29
223.8Avg total
108.9Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)109.7117.9227.6-8.221%
Season at home (15)113.9117.3231.3-3.433%
Season away (14)105.1118.6223.7-13.47%
Last 10 (10)108.9114.9223.8-6.030%
Last 5 (5)102.2113.6215.8-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)108.5119.7228.2-11.211%
vs Similar ◀ (11)110.0113.5223.5-3.536%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
109-118
109
118
-9
105avg 107
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
116-99
116
99
+17
116avg 107
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
126-129
126
129
-3
120avg 107
A02/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 107
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
101-116
101
116
-15
96avg 107
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
112-124
112
124
-12
99avg 107
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
116-101
116
101
+15
118avg 107
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
82-127
82
127
-45
70avg 107
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 107
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 107
A22/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-33
25-28
26-31
21-26
32-29
39-24
28-17
17-29
34-28
32-30
28-33
32-38
21-30
28-22
29-33
35-24
20-33
29-36
28-24
24-23
22-29
34-32
25-30
31-33
29-35
31-32
27-13
29-21
25-37
23-28
23-34
11-28
25-31
28-26
23-26
29-28
29-23
31-25
15-27
25-28
221.7Avg total
108.0Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)113.1116.9230.0-3.838%
Season at home (16)117.1116.5233.6+0.650%
Season away (13)108.2117.5225.6-9.323%
Last 10 (10)108.0113.7221.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)103.0113.2216.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)111.0116.3227.3-5.329%
vs Similar ◀ (7)115.4117.0232.4-1.657%
vs Weaker (2)129.5124.5254.0+5.050%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
Indiana PacersMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
48-72
48
72
-24
H04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A23/12
NBA
115.5Avg total
56.8Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.858.2113.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.758.9115.7-2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)52.857.5110.3-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)56.858.7115.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)55.457.4112.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)53.658.8112.4-5.326%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)56.857.1113.9-0.355%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A02/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A22/12
NBA
116.5Avg total
57.4Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.059.4115.4-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.260.9118.1-3.844%-
Last 30 away (14)54.657.6112.2-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)57.459.1116.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)55.459.6115.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)54.461.0115.3-6.624%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)57.055.9112.9+1.171%-
vs Weaker (2)69.055.5124.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.226.8
52.3%
54.8%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.612.3
33.6%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.718.2
80.2%
78.1%18.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.224.5
56.7%
54.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.814.4
38.1%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
78.1%15.8
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLLLLWWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWLLWLWL
#29
League position
#21
-6.2
Net rating
-5.8
108.9
Offensive rating
109.9
115.1
Defensive rating
115.7
51.5%
Effective FG%
56.9%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
12.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.6%
3-point %
38.1%
59.1%
Assist %
67.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 109.9Defence115.1 · 115.7Shooting51.5% · 56.9%3-point %33.6% · 38.1%Ball care12.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds22.4% · 20.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Indiana Pacers wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ABoston Celtics95-103
21/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans109-128
19/12/25HNew York Knicks113-114
14/12/25HWashington Wizards89-108
13/12/25APhiladelphia 76ers105-115
09/12/25HSacramento Kings116-105
06/12/25AChicago Bulls120-105
04/12/25HDenver Nuggets120-135
02/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers119-135
30/11/25HChicago Bulls103-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25AMinnesota Timberwolves100-103
19/12/25HToronto Raptors105-111
14/12/25ABrooklyn Nets82-127
12/12/25HBoston Celtics116-101
07/12/25ADetroit Pistons112-124
06/12/25HPhiladelphia 76ers101-116
04/12/25HDetroit Pistons113-109
02/12/25AWashington Wizards126-129
30/11/25HBrooklyn Nets116-99
29/11/25ANew York Knicks109-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLWLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %21%33%7%
Points / game109.7113.9105.1
Allowed / game117.9117.3118.6
Point differential-8.2-3.4-13.4
Avg total227.6231.3223.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%13%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %38%50%23%
Points / game113.1117.1108.2
Allowed / game116.9116.5117.5
Point differential-3.8+0.6-9.3
Avg total230.0233.6225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2725293%122.3106.7+15.6
2 Detroit Pistons2923679%118.6111.8+6.8
3 Denver Nuggets2821775%125.1116.0+9.1
4 San Antonio Spurs2619773%120.0113.7+6.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers2619773%118.0116.3+1.7
6 New York Knicks2618869%120.3113.0+7.3
7 Minnesota Timberwolves29191066%118.6113.8+4.8
8 Houston Rockets2617965%121.0112.2+8.8
9 Boston Celtics29181162%116.0110.0+6.0
10 Toronto Raptors29171259%113.9112.2+1.7
11 Philadelphia 76ers28161257%116.6115.4+1.2
12 Orlando Magic27151256%117.3114.8+2.6
13 Phoenix Suns27151256%115.2113.2+2.0
14 Miami Heat28151354%120.6117.9+2.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers30161453%119.3117.5+1.8
16 Golden State Warriors30151550%114.2112.3+1.9
17 Atlanta Hawks30151550%118.7119.4-0.7
18 Chicago Bulls28131546%119.5123.0-3.5
19 Memphis Grizzlies29131645%114.3115.8-1.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers29121741%117.5120.9-3.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks29111838%113.1116.9-3.8
22 Dallas Mavericks30111937%113.0116.9-3.9
23 Utah Jazz28101836%119.6127.1-7.5
24 Charlotte Hornets30102033%115.4118.8-3.4
25 Brooklyn Nets2891932%109.3113.9-4.6
26 New Orleans Pelicans3082227%115.4122.2-6.8
27 Los Angeles Clippers2872125%110.6116.0-5.4
28 Sacramento Kings2972224%111.5122.0-10.5
29 Indiana Pacers2962321%109.7117.9-8.2
30 Washington Wizards2852318%112.6126.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers2024242694
Milwaukee Bucks26332725111
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