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Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 104-89
25-21 31-29 29-23 19-16
Position#16
Record38-40
FormLLLLW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game105.6
vs
Position#14
Record40-38
FormWWWLL
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game104.3
USANBA· Bankers Life Fieldhouse
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Milwaukee Bucks
13 Jan 2027
IND v MIL
upcoming
09 Jan 2027
IND v MIL
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
IND94
MIL111
03 Nov 2025
IND115
MIL117
29 Apr 2025
IND119
MIL118
22 Apr 2025
IND123
MIL115
19 Apr 2025
IND117
MIL98
11 Mar 2025
IND115
MIL114
31 Dec 2024
IND112
MIL120
02 May 2024
IND120
MIL98
28 Apr 2024
IND126
MIL113
26 Apr 2024
IND121
MIL118
03 Jan 2024
IND142
MIL130
09 Nov 2023
IND126
MIL124
29 Mar 2023
IND136
MIL149
27 Jan 2023
IND131
MIL141
28 Nov 2021
IND100
MIL118
25 Oct 2021
IND109
MIL119
13 May 2021
IND133
MIL142
12 Feb 2020
IND118
MIL111
16 Nov 2019
IND83
MIL102
13 Feb 2019
IND97
MIL106
12 Dec 2018
IND113
MIL97
05 Mar 2018
IND92
MIL89
08 Jan 2018
IND109
MIL96
06 Apr 2017
IND104
MIL89
11 Feb 2017
IND100
MIL116
31 Dec 2015
IND116
MIL120
21 Nov 2015
IND123
MIL86
12 Mar 2015
IND109
MIL103
04 Nov 2014
IND81
MIL87
27 Feb 2014
IND101
MIL96
15 Nov 2013
IND104
MIL77
22 Mar 2013
IND102
MIL78
05 Jan 2013
IND95
MIL80
19 Apr 2012
IND118
MIL109
01 Apr 2011
IND89
MIL88
05 Nov 2010
IND90
MIL94
25 Feb 2010
IND110
MIL112
21 Dec 2009
IND81
MIL84
15 Apr 2009
IND115
MIL108
28 Jan 2009
IND107
MIL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
91-116
91
116
-25
77avg 96
A19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
107-100
107
100
+7
97avg 96
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
100-109
100
109
-9
88avg 96
A22/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
117-125
117
125
-8
101avg 96
H24/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
107-94
107
94
+13
95avg 96
H26/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
114-115
114
115
-1
107avg 96
H28/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
97-110
97
110
-13
86avg 96
A30/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
100-111
100
111
-11
86avg 96
A31/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
130-135 OT
130
135
-5
120avg 96
A02/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
108-90
108
90
+18
94avg 96
H04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
21-30
28-29
18-25
28-23
23-23
29-24
27-30
19-21
23-28
32-39
26-21
26-34
27-30
22-30
42-31
27-18
24-27
30-24
26-25
25-26
32-33
33-28
24-28
24-38
29-34
26-24
18-14
25-28
23-18
20-34
32-31
27-26
26-34
24-23
27-21
18-26
22-25
37-24
31-15
217.6Avg total
107.1Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)104.7105.6210.3-1.049%
Season at home (39)107.1102.4209.5+4.669%
Season away (39)102.3108.8211.1-6.628%
Last 10 (10)107.1110.5217.6-3.430%
Last 5 (5)109.8112.2222.0-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)112.2116.3228.5-4.217%
vs Similar ◀ (22)100.0102.2202.2-2.241%
vs Weaker (2)106.595.5202.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
92-117
92
117
-25
74avg 96
A19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
93-90
93
90
+3
80avg 96
A22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
116-98
116
98
+18
113avg 96
A23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
100-97
100
97
+3
90avg 96
H25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
94-109
94
109
-15
79avg 96
H26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
118-108
118
108
+10
125avg 96
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
103-100
103
100
+3
100avg 96
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
101avg 96
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
105-109
105
109
-4
100avg 96
H02/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
79-110
79
110
-31
61avg 96
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
15-36
26-31
22-23
18-21
30-14
19-28
26-27
25-24
44-26
21-25
26-23
29-21
16-22
27-31
28-23
31-29
24-27
24-35
15-18
35-24
37-26
22-26
24-32
24-24
31-25
25-28
23-23
35-22
21-26
15-25
24-22
28-31
25-22
25-22
27-34
20-28
19-35
20-26
20-21
205.1Avg total
100.8Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)104.3104.3208.6+0.051%
Season at home (40)106.5104.2210.6+2.355%
Season away (38)102.0104.4206.4-2.447%
Last 10 (10)100.8104.3205.1-3.560%
Last 5 (5)102.6106.4209.0-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)99.0104.0203.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (20)101.5102.0203.6-0.560%
vs Weaker (6)116.5109.3225.8+7.283%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
Indiana PacersMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H24/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H26/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H28/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A30/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A31/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A02/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H04/04
NBA
104.7Avg total
49.3Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.653.4105.0-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.453.3105.7-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)50.753.6104.3-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)49.355.4104.7-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)50.257.6107.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)54.554.7109.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)50.653.8104.4-3.236%-
vs Weaker (2)53.545.599.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
72-50
72
50
+22
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H02/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A05/04
NBA
104.6Avg total
53.6Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.252.8106.0+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.151.8101.9-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)56.453.7110.1+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)53.651.0104.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)55.052.6107.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.552.0103.5-0.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)51.951.9103.7+0.045%-
vs Weaker (6)59.056.3115.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.829.4
46.1%
50.2%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.710.1
40.9%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.718.0
82.9%
77.0%18.0
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.828.5
51.1%
50.2%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.4
75.8%
77.0%14.4
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WLLLLWLLWL
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWWLWWWL
#16
League position
#14
-3.5
Net rating
-3.7
109.5
Offensive rating
106.7
113.0
Defensive rating
110.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
11.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.9%
3-point %
36.6%
52.9%
Assist %
61.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 106.7Defence113.0 · 110.4Shooting50.3% · 52.3%3-point %40.9% · 36.6%Ball care11.6% · 12.2%Off. rebounds25.1% · 19.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Indiana Pacers wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/17HToronto Raptors108-90
02/04/17ACleveland Cavaliers130-135 OT
31/03/17AToronto Raptors100-111
30/03/17AMemphis Grizzlies97-110
28/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves114-115
26/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers107-94
24/03/17HDenver Nuggets117-125
22/03/17ABoston Celtics100-109
20/03/17HUtah Jazz107-100
19/03/17AToronto Raptors91-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder79-110
02/04/17HDallas Mavericks105-109
01/04/17HDetroit Pistons108-105 OT
29/03/17ABoston Celtics103-100
28/03/17ACharlotte Hornets118-108
26/03/17HChicago Bulls94-109
25/03/17HAtlanta Hawks100-97
23/03/17ASacramento Kings116-98
22/03/17APortland Trail Blazers93-90
19/03/17AGolden State Warriors92-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW49%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %49%69%28%
Points / game104.7107.1102.3
Allowed / game105.6102.4108.8
Point differential-1.0+4.6-6.6
Avg total210.3209.5211.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)71% (7)38% (8)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL51%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayWWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %51%55%47%
Points / game104.3106.5102.0
Allowed / game104.3104.2104.4
Point differential+0.0+2.3-2.4
Avg total208.6210.6206.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%28%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (24)46% (13)73% (11)
Overtime %5%8%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors79651482%116.1104.4+11.7
2 San Antonio Spurs78601877%105.898.2+7.6
3 Houston Rockets78532568%115.3109.0+6.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers78512765%110.5106.7+3.8
5 Boston Celtics78502864%107.6105.2+2.4
6 Utah Jazz78483062%100.696.5+4.1
7 Toronto Raptors79483161%107.1103.1+4.0
8 Los Angeles Clippers79483161%108.5104.8+3.7
9 Washington Wizards78473160%109.4107.5+1.9
10 Oklahoma City Thunder78453358%106.8105.7+1.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies79423753%100.7100.1+0.6
12 Milwaukee Bucks78403851%104.3104.3+0.0
13 Atlanta Hawks77393851%102.7104.0-1.3
14 Miami Heat78384049%102.9101.9+1.0
15 Chicago Bulls78384049%102.5103.3-0.8
16 Portland Trail Blazers78384049%108.3109.1-0.8
17 Indiana Pacers78384049%104.7105.6-1.0
18 Denver Nuggets78374147%111.7111.7+0.0
19 Charlotte Hornets79364346%105.5104.7+0.8
20 Detroit Pistons78354345%101.1102.4-1.3
21 New Orleans Pelicans78334542%104.5106.1-1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks78324641%97.9100.5-2.6
23 Minnesota Timberwolves77314640%105.5106.4-0.9
24 Sacramento Kings78314740%102.4106.4-4.0
25 New York Knicks78304838%104.5108.0-3.5
26 Philadelphia 76ers78285036%102.6108.2-5.6
27 Orlando Magic78275135%100.9107.2-6.3
28 Los Angeles Lakers78235529%104.7111.9-7.3
29 Phoenix Suns79225728%107.4113.3-6.0
30 Brooklyn Nets78195924%106.2112.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers25312919104
Milwaukee Bucks2129231689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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