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Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-115
18-39 30-28 30-27 23-21
Position#29
Record9-31
FormLLWWW
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game118.4
vs
Position#11
Record24-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game112.2
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Toronto Raptors
18 Mar 2027
IND v TOR
upcoming
28 Feb 2027
IND v TOR
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
IND101
TOR115
15 Nov 2025
IND111
TOR129
26 Feb 2025
IND111
TOR91
26 Feb 2024
IND122
TOR130
22 Nov 2023
IND131
TOR132
02 Jan 2023
IND122
TOR114
12 Nov 2022
IND118
TOR104
26 Nov 2021
IND114
TOR97
30 Oct 2021
IND94
TOR97
25 Jan 2021
IND129
TOR114
24 Jan 2021
IND102
TOR107
07 Feb 2020
IND106
TOR115
23 Dec 2019
IND120
TOR115
23 Jan 2019
IND110
TOR106
15 Mar 2018
IND99
TOR106
24 Nov 2017
IND107
TOR104
04 Apr 2017
IND108
TOR90
29 Apr 2016
IND101
TOR83
23 Apr 2016
IND100
TOR83
21 Apr 2016
IND85
TOR101
17 Mar 2016
IND94
TOR101
14 Dec 2015
IND106
TOR90
16 Mar 2015
IND98
TOR117
27 Jan 2015
IND91
TOR104
07 Jan 2014
IND86
TOR79
08 Nov 2013
IND91
TOR84
08 Feb 2013
IND98
TOR100
13 Nov 2012
IND72
TOR74
09 Apr 2012
IND103
TOR98
31 Jan 2011
IND104
TOR93
06 Dec 2010
IND124
TOR100
02 Feb 2010
IND130
TOR115
11 Jan 2010
IND105
TOR101
08 Apr 2009
IND130
TOR101
16 Jan 2009
IND111
TOR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
122-140
122
140
-18
109avg 107
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
116-142
116
142
-26
111avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
119-126
119
126
-7
104avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
110-112
110
112
-2
99avg 107
H31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
113-123
113
123
-10
106avg 107
H03/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
127-135
127
135
-8
130avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
116-120
116
120
-4
104avg 107
H07/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
114-112
114
112
+2
109avg 107
A09/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
123-99
123
99
+24
122avg 107
H11/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
98-96
98
96
+2
94avg 107
H13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-28
22-47
30-36
31-29
28-29
32-30
34-39
22-44
25-30
23-36
30-39
41-21
28-31
38-37
29-26
15-18
31-30
27-41
27-22
28-30
36-28
22-41
42-38
27-28
28-22
32-31
33-31
23-36
33-30
27-28
30-29
24-25
36-18
25-27
38-27
24-27
19-24
34-32
26-21
19-19
236.3Avg total
115.8Scored
120.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)110.8118.4229.2-7.622%
Season at home (22)113.0116.4229.4-3.532%
Season away (18)108.2120.8229.1-12.611%
Last 10 (10)115.8120.5236.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)115.6112.4228.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)112.7120.6233.3-7.918%
vs Similar (8)109.8112.0221.8-2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
L
117-138
117
138
-21
103avg 106
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
141-127 OT
141
127
+14
141avg 106
H28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
107-106
107
106
+1
94avg 106
H30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
103-106
103
106
-3
90avg 106
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
134-117
134
117
+17
132avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
118-100
118
100
+18
118avg 106
H06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
97-96
97
96
+1
79avg 106
A08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
117-125
117
125
-8
113avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
116-115 OT
116
115
+1
101avg 106
H11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
102-115
102
115
-13
90avg 106
H13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-35
30-38
38-29
17-36
33-29
32-35
31-36
26-22
18-29
36-36
30-29
23-12
23-32
31-31
25-22
24-21
35-29
42-41
30-36
27-11
31-26
30-23
25-24
32-27
25-22
20-28
21-22
31-24
30-37
30-31
26-29
31-28
22-25
36-23
18-36
31-23
28-45
23-35
26-19
25-16
229.7Avg total
115.2Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)114.2112.2226.4+2.060%
Season at home (21)115.0112.2227.2+2.862%
Season away (19)113.3112.2225.5+1.158%
Last 10 (10)115.2114.5229.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)110.0110.2220.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)105.0118.5223.5-13.50%
vs Similar (18)113.4109.5222.9+3.972%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)114.1109.1223.2+5.075%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.7+4.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.7+4.7
Indiana PacersToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A28/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
48-66
48
66
-18
A30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H03/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A04/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H07/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A09/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H11/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/01
NBA
120.5Avg total
58.5Scored
62.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.660.6117.2-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.860.4118.2-2.541%-
Last 30 away (13)55.061.0116.0-6.031%-
Last 10 (10)58.562.0120.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)58.456.2114.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)56.761.5118.3-4.832%-
vs Similar (8)56.258.1114.4-1.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A10/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H13/01
NBA
121.7Avg total
58.7Scored
63.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.457.3113.7-0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.759.1116.8-1.465%-
Last 30 away (13)54.855.0109.8-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)58.763.0121.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)55.059.0114.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.563.2118.8-7.825%-
vs Similar (18)56.657.3113.9-0.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)56.554.2110.8+2.275%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.928.0
52.9%
54.8%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.414.8
41.8%
35.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws19.215.2
79.2%
78.1%15.2
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.632.4
55.3%
54.8%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.510.5
28.0%
35.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws23.318.9
81.1%
78.1%18.9
They take 96.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WWWLLLLLLL
Toronto Raptors
LWLWWWLWWL
#29
League position
#11
-4.7
Net rating
+0.7
110.5
Offensive rating
112.6
115.1
Defensive rating
111.9
56.9%
Effective FG%
50.1%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
9.8%
16.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
41.8%
3-point %
28.0%
69.2%
Assist %
68.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 112.6Defence115.1 · 111.9Shooting56.9% · 50.1%3-point %41.8% · 28.0%Ball care14.2% · 9.8%Off. rebounds16.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Indiana Pacers wins
6
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26HBoston Celtics98-96
11/01/26HMiami Heat123-99
09/01/26ACharlotte Hornets114-112
07/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers116-120
04/01/26AOrlando Magic127-135
03/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs113-123
31/12/25HOrlando Magic110-112
30/12/25AHouston Rockets119-126
28/12/25AMiami Heat116-142
27/12/25HBoston Celtics122-140
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26HPhiladelphia 76ers102-115
11/01/26HPhiladelphia 76ers116-115 OT
10/01/26ABoston Celtics117-125
08/01/26ACharlotte Hornets97-96
06/01/26HAtlanta Hawks118-100
04/01/26HAtlanta Hawks134-117
01/01/26HDenver Nuggets103-106
30/12/25HOrlando Magic107-106
28/12/25HGolden State Warriors141-127 OT
27/12/25AWashington Wizards117-138

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW22%
HomeLLLWW32%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402218
Win %22%32%11%
Points / game110.8113.0108.2
Allowed / game118.4116.4120.8
Point differential-7.6-3.5-12.6
Avg total229.2229.4229.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)38% (8)25% (4)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLWLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %60%62%58%
Points / game114.2115.0113.3
Allowed / game112.2112.2112.2
Point differential+1.9+2.8+1.1
Avg total226.4227.2225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)71% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %8%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3933685%121.2108.5+12.7
2 Detroit Pistons38281074%117.8111.2+6.6
3 Denver Nuggets40271368%122.7117.5+5.2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves41271466%120.3114.6+5.8
5 San Antonio Spurs38251366%117.4112.7+4.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers37241365%116.4116.0+0.4
7 Houston Rockets37231462%117.9110.8+7.1
8 New York Knicks37231462%119.2115.2+4.0
9 Boston Celtics39241562%116.6110.1+6.5
10 Phoenix Suns39241562%115.5111.5+4.0
11 Toronto Raptors40241660%114.2112.2+1.9
12 Philadelphia 76ers38221658%117.1115.2+1.9
13 Orlando Magic38211755%116.1114.7+1.4
14 Miami Heat39211854%119.8117.8+2.0
15 Golden State Warriors41221954%115.5113.2+2.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers41221954%119.8117.7+2.0
17 Atlanta Hawks42202248%118.3118.9-0.6
18 Portland Trail Blazers41192246%115.8118.9-3.0
19 Chicago Bulls39182146%117.2120.8-3.6
20 Memphis Grizzlies39172244%114.9116.2-1.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks40172342%112.7115.7-3.0
22 Los Angeles Clippers39162341%112.1113.5-1.4
23 Dallas Mavericks40152538%113.0116.8-3.9
24 Utah Jazz39142536%119.1126.9-7.8
25 Charlotte Hornets40142635%116.1116.7-0.5
26 Brooklyn Nets37112630%108.7113.8-5.1
27 Washington Wizards38102826%112.8124.0-11.2
28 Sacramento Kings40103025%110.2121.2-11.1
29 Indiana Pacers4093122%110.8118.4-7.6
30 New Orleans Pelicans4293321%114.9122.4-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers18303023101
Toronto Raptors39282721115
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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