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Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 94-101 (OT)
25-27 21-16 14-20 25-22 9-16
Position#11
Record36-31
FormWWWLW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game100.5
vs
Position#5
Record45-21
FormWWWLW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game98.4
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Toronto Raptors
18 Mar 2027
IND v TOR
upcoming
28 Feb 2027
IND v TOR
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
IND101
TOR115
15 Nov 2025
IND111
TOR129
26 Feb 2025
IND111
TOR91
26 Feb 2024
IND122
TOR130
22 Nov 2023
IND131
TOR132
02 Jan 2023
IND122
TOR114
12 Nov 2022
IND118
TOR104
26 Nov 2021
IND114
TOR97
30 Oct 2021
IND94
TOR97
25 Jan 2021
IND129
TOR114
24 Jan 2021
IND102
TOR107
07 Feb 2020
IND106
TOR115
23 Dec 2019
IND120
TOR115
23 Jan 2019
IND110
TOR106
15 Mar 2018
IND99
TOR106
24 Nov 2017
IND107
TOR104
04 Apr 2017
IND108
TOR90
29 Apr 2016
IND101
TOR83
23 Apr 2016
IND100
TOR83
21 Apr 2016
IND85
TOR101
17 Mar 2016
IND94
TOR101
14 Dec 2015
IND106
TOR90
16 Mar 2015
IND98
TOR117
27 Jan 2015
IND91
TOR104
07 Jan 2014
IND86
TOR79
08 Nov 2013
IND91
TOR84
08 Feb 2013
IND98
TOR100
13 Nov 2012
IND72
TOR74
09 Apr 2012
IND103
TOR98
31 Jan 2011
IND104
TOR93
06 Dec 2010
IND124
TOR100
02 Feb 2010
IND130
TOR115
11 Jan 2010
IND105
TOR101
08 Apr 2009
IND130
TOR101
16 Jan 2009
IND111
TOR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
95-96
95
96
-1
88avg 92
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
102-111
102
111
-9
91avg 92
H28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
96-100
96
100
-4
88avg 92
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
104-99
104
99
+5
104avg 92
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
101-108
101
108
-7
91avg 92
A05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
100-99
100
99
+1
87avg 92
A06/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 92
H08/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
112-105
112
105
+7
108avg 92
A12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
75-104
75
104
-29
62avg 92
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
103-98
103
98
+5
92avg 92
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
24-24
20-24
25-19
27-39
27-26
23-22
25-24
19-18
24-26
30-30
23-26
22-22
27-17
24-24
31-36
30-31
20-24
32-25
19-28
31-37
25-27
22-16
22-19
25-13
20-19
28-30
26-29
26-23
29-28
28-24
29-30
17-30
21-22
18-37
19-15
20-20
23-19
28-31
32-28
199.8Avg total
98.7Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)101.9100.5202.4+1.454%
Season at home (31)102.798.7201.4+3.965%
Season away (36)101.3102.0203.3-0.744%
Last 10 (10)98.7101.1199.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)97.899.4197.2-1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)102.4104.4206.8-2.040%
vs Similar ◀ (16)99.2103.2202.4-4.038%
vs Weaker (9)106.7102.7209.3+4.078%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
99-97
99
97
+2
90avg 92
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
101-114
101
114
-13
89avg 92
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
104-94
104
94
+10
94avg 92
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
117-115
117
115
+2
107avg 92
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
107-113
107
113
-6
105avg 92
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-99
104
99
+5
99avg 92
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
94avg 92
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
112-104 OT
112
104
+8
98avg 92
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
107-109
107
109
-2
92avg 92
H14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-89
107
89
+18
107avg 92
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
24-18
23-28
31-20
25-23
27-29
20-37
29-25
24-26
28-23
33-25
19-20
31-30
27-22
32-25
27-38
30-26
31-25
24-26
22-36
28-23
14-35
36-22
26-19
20-21
32-27
30-27
22-21
28-24
25-22
17-25
27-26
29-34
23-24
25-26
30-25
22-28
30-21
29-17
26-23
209.2Avg total
106.2Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)103.098.4201.4+4.668%
Season at home (34)104.798.3202.9+6.476%
Season away (32)101.298.6199.8+2.659%
Last 10 (10)106.2103.0209.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)106.899.4206.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)106.699.5206.1+7.187%
vs Weaker (15)105.899.3205.1+6.573%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Indiana PacersToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A06/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H08/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/03
NBA
97.7Avg total
48.3Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.949.699.5+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.249.499.6+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)49.649.899.4-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)48.349.497.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.695.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.450.296.6-3.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)49.451.9101.3-2.644%-
vs Weaker (9)52.845.197.9+7.778%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/03
NBA
103.1Avg total
51.9Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.049.6103.5+4.477%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.750.4104.1+3.476%-
Last 30 away (13)54.348.5102.8+5.877%-
Last 10 (10)51.951.2103.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)50.251.8102.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.349.3103.6+4.973%-
vs Weaker (15)53.749.8103.5+3.980%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.129.9
46.6%
49.0%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.7
33.5%
35.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.518.8
83.6%
75.5%18.8
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.729.2
51.5%
49.0%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.3
37.7%
35.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws28.622.9
80.1%
75.5%22.9
They take 78.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WLWWWLWLLL
Toronto Raptors
WLWWWLWWLW
#11
League position
#5
-2.5
Net rating
+3.4
102.5
Offensive rating
113.9
105.0
Defensive rating
110.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
12.8%
Turnover %
11.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.5%
3-point %
37.7%
58.2%
Assist %
49.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 113.9Defence105.0 · 110.4Shooting47.5% · 52.9%3-point %33.5% · 37.7%Ball care12.8% · 11.7%Off. rebounds24.0% · 25.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/16HBoston Celtics103-98
13/03/16AAtlanta Hawks75-104
12/03/16ADallas Mavericks112-105
08/03/16HSan Antonio Spurs99-91
06/03/16AWashington Wizards100-99
05/03/16ACharlotte Hornets101-108
03/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks104-99
01/03/16ACleveland Cavaliers96-100
28/02/16HPortland Trail Blazers102-111
27/02/16HCharlotte Hornets95-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-89
14/03/16HChicago Bulls107-109
13/03/16HMiami Heat112-104 OT
11/03/16HAtlanta Hawks104-96
09/03/16HBrooklyn Nets104-99
06/03/16HHouston Rockets107-113
05/03/16HPortland Trail Blazers117-115
03/03/16HUtah Jazz104-94
28/02/16ADetroit Pistons101-114
27/02/16HCleveland Cavaliers99-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW54%
HomeWLLWW65%
AwayWLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673136
Win %54%65%44%
Points / game101.9102.7101.3
Allowed / game100.598.7102.0
Point differential+1.4+3.9-0.7
Avg total202.4201.4203.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (27)58% (12)47% (15)
Overtime %10%6%14%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeLWWWL76%
AwayLLWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663432
Win %68%76%59%
Points / game103.0104.7101.2
Allowed / game98.498.398.6
Point differential+4.6+6.4+2.6
Avg total201.4202.9199.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%32%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)57% (14)43% (7)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors6761691%115.7104.3+11.4
2 San Antonio Spurs67571085%104.692.2+12.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers67481972%103.697.4+6.1
4 Toronto Raptors66452168%103.098.4+4.6
5 Oklahoma City Thunder68462268%110.1103.0+7.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers67432464%104.6100.8+3.9
7 Miami Heat67392858%98.997.7+1.1
8 Boston Celtics68392957%106.0102.4+3.7
9 Atlanta Hawks68392957%102.398.9+3.4
10 Memphis Grizzlies68392957%99.1100.6-1.5
11 Charlotte Hornets67382957%103.2100.9+2.3
12 Indiana Pacers67363154%101.9100.5+1.4
13 Portland Trail Blazers68353351%104.0103.4+0.7
14 Detroit Pistons68343450%101.9101.5+0.4
15 Dallas Mavericks68343450%102.4102.7-0.3
16 Houston Rockets68343450%106.1106.9-0.7
17 Chicago Bulls66333350%101.5103.2-1.6
18 Utah Jazz67323548%98.097.1+0.8
19 Washington Wizards67323548%103.1104.3-1.3
20 Orlando Magic67293843%100.8102.9-2.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks68293943%99.4103.1-3.7
22 Denver Nuggets68284041%102.5104.6-2.1
23 New York Knicks69284141%98.9101.6-2.7
24 Sacramento Kings67264139%106.7109.5-2.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans67254237%103.1106.3-3.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves68224632%101.6105.6-4.0
27 Brooklyn Nets67194828%98.2104.4-6.3
28 Phoenix Suns67184927%100.8108.0-7.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers68145421%97.9106.8-9.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers6795813%97.1107.7-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Indiana Pacers25211425994
Toronto Raptors2716202216101
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