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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-107
28-22 21-30 17-29 23-26
Position#23
Record29-38
FormLLWWW
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game103.1
vs
Position#5
Record44-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game98.6
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL107
TOR121
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
107-112
107
112
-5
96avg 92
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
91-102
91
102
-11
87avg 92
H28/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
128-121
128
121
+7
129avg 92
H01/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
99-104
99
104
-5
86avg 92
H03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
116-101
116
101
+15
109avg 92
H05/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
96-104
96
104
-8
82avg 92
H06/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 92
A08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
114-108
114
108
+6
106avg 92
H10/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
103-92
103
92
+11
97avg 92
H13/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
109-100
109
100
+9
101avg 92
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
27-27
21-26
34-24
24-34
25-25
24-21
18-22
32-26
33-38
27-28
36-29
22-22
17-27
24-24
36-31
29-35
33-21
36-25
18-20
12-32
36-32
31-20
17-20
16-25
24-22
29-26
21-27
29-22
28-32
23-31
34-23
33-28
22-24
22-19
26-21
27-25
23-26
28-28
31-21
209.7Avg total
105.3Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)99.6103.1202.7-3.543%
Season at home (32)102.7102.0204.7+0.762%
Season away (35)96.7104.1200.8-7.326%
Last 10 (10)105.3104.4209.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)102.4100.8203.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)101.0101.3202.3-0.343%
vs Similar (15)101.8102.7204.5-0.953%
vs Weaker (1)108.0101.0209.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
114-105
114
105
+9
104avg 92
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
99-97
99
97
+2
90avg 92
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
101-114
101
114
-13
89avg 92
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
104-94
104
94
+10
94avg 92
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
117-115
117
115
+2
107avg 92
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
107-113
107
113
-6
105avg 92
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-99
104
99
+5
99avg 92
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
94avg 92
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
112-104 OT
112
104
+8
98avg 92
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
107-109
107
109
-2
92avg 92
H14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
24-30
26-28
27-19
21-31
24-18
23-28
31-20
25-23
27-29
20-37
29-25
24-26
28-23
33-25
19-20
31-30
27-22
32-25
27-38
30-26
31-25
24-26
22-36
28-23
14-35
36-22
26-19
20-21
32-27
30-27
22-21
28-24
25-22
17-25
27-26
29-34
23-24
25-26
30-25
211.5Avg total
106.9Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)102.998.6201.5+4.468%
Season at home (34)104.798.3202.9+6.476%
Season away (31)101.098.9199.9+2.158%
Last 10 (10)106.9104.6211.5+2.370%
Last 5 (5)106.8104.2211.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)106.2100.9207.1+5.281%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)105.7100.0205.7+5.771%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H28/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H01/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H05/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H06/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H10/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H13/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A14/03
NBA
107.5Avg total
51.7Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.152.1102.2-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.353.1105.4-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)47.650.998.5-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)51.755.8107.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)50.053.6103.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)49.452.4101.8-2.936%-
vs Similar (15)50.552.1102.6-1.540%-
vs Weaker (1)54.048.0102.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/03
NBA
104.9Avg total
52.8Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.149.9104.0+4.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.750.4104.1+3.476%-
Last 30 away (13)54.649.2103.8+5.469%-
Last 10 (10)52.852.1104.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)52.052.2104.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)54.449.9104.2+4.569%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)53.849.9103.6+3.979%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.4 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.434.2
50.0%
49.0%68.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.26.0
39.5%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws25.118.9
75.3%
75.5%18.9
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 18% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 106.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.329.8
52.0%
49.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.9
36.6%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws29.523.6
80.0%
75.5%23.6
They take 78.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWLLWLWLL
Toronto Raptors
LWWWLWWLWW
#23
League position
#5
+0.9
Net rating
+2.4
107.4
Offensive rating
113.6
106.5
Defensive rating
111.2
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
11.9%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.5%
3-point %
36.6%
59.0%
Assist %
47.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 113.6Defence106.5 · 111.2Shooting51.7% · 52.8%3-point %39.5% · 36.6%Ball care14.2% · 11.9%Off. rebounds25.0% · 25.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/16ABrooklyn Nets109-100
13/03/16HNew Orleans Pelicans103-92
10/03/16HMiami Heat114-108
08/03/16AChicago Bulls90-100
06/03/16HOklahoma City Thunder96-104
05/03/16HMinnesota Timberwolves116-101
03/03/16HIndiana Pacers99-104
01/03/16HHouston Rockets128-121
28/02/16HDetroit Pistons91-102
26/02/16ABoston Celtics107-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/16HChicago Bulls107-109
13/03/16HMiami Heat112-104 OT
11/03/16HAtlanta Hawks104-96
09/03/16HBrooklyn Nets104-99
06/03/16HHouston Rockets107-113
05/03/16HPortland Trail Blazers117-115
03/03/16HUtah Jazz104-94
28/02/16ADetroit Pistons101-114
27/02/16HCleveland Cavaliers99-97
25/02/16HMinnesota Timberwolves114-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW43%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLWLLW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673235
Win %43%62%26%
Points / game99.6102.796.7
Allowed / game103.1102.0104.1
Point differential-3.5+0.7-7.3
Avg total202.7204.7200.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)60% (10)14% (7)
Overtime %4%6%3%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL68%
HomeLWWWL76%
AwayWLLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653431
Win %68%76%58%
Points / game102.9104.7101.0
Allowed / game98.698.398.9
Point differential+4.4+6.4+2.1
Avg total201.5202.9199.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%32%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)57% (14)43% (7)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors6660691%115.6104.6+11.0
2 San Antonio Spurs66561085%104.692.3+12.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers66471971%103.697.4+6.2
4 Toronto Raptors65442168%102.998.6+4.4
5 Oklahoma City Thunder67452267%109.8102.9+6.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers65422365%104.6100.6+4.1
7 Boston Celtics67392858%106.0101.9+4.0
8 Miami Heat67392858%98.997.7+1.1
9 Memphis Grizzlies67392858%99.0100.4-1.4
10 Atlanta Hawks67382957%102.198.6+3.4
11 Charlotte Hornets66372956%103.2101.0+2.2
12 Indiana Pacers67363154%101.9100.5+1.4
13 Portland Trail Blazers68353351%104.0103.4+0.7
14 Chicago Bulls65333251%101.6102.9-1.3
15 Detroit Pistons67343351%101.7101.2+0.5
16 Dallas Mavericks67343351%102.4102.8-0.3
17 Houston Rockets67343351%106.1106.6-0.5
18 Utah Jazz67323548%98.097.1+0.8
19 Washington Wizards66313547%102.9104.5-1.6
20 Orlando Magic66293744%100.9102.9-2.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks67293843%99.6103.1-3.5
22 Denver Nuggets68284041%102.5104.6-2.1
23 New York Knicks68284041%99.1101.4-2.2
24 Sacramento Kings65254038%106.7109.5-2.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans66244236%102.8106.2-3.5
26 Minnesota Timberwolves67214631%101.4105.5-4.1
27 Brooklyn Nets67194828%98.2104.4-6.3
28 Phoenix Suns67184927%100.8108.0-7.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers67145321%97.9106.8-9.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers6795813%97.1107.7-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2821172389
Toronto Raptors22302926107
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