PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 102-95
26-18 29-28 16-20 31-29
Position#2
Record65-16
FormWWLWW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#5
Record56-26
FormLWLWW
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game97.6
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Toronto Raptors
03 Dec 2026
SAS v TOR
upcoming
27 Oct 2025
SAS121
TOR103
13 Apr 2025
SAS125
TOR118
21 Jul 2024
SAS100
TOR89
05 Nov 2023
SAS116
TOR123
02 Nov 2022
SAS100
TOR143
09 Mar 2022
SAS104
TOR119
26 Dec 2020
SAS119
TOR114
26 Jan 2020
SAS106
TOR110
03 Jan 2019
SAS125
TOR107
23 Oct 2017
SAS101
TOR97
03 Jan 2017
SAS110
TOR82
02 Apr 2016
SAS102
TOR95
10 Mar 2015
SAS117
TOR107
23 Dec 2013
SAS112
TOR99
26 Dec 2012
SAS100
TOR80
19 Jan 2011
SAS104
TOR95
09 Nov 2009
SAS131
TOR124
20 Dec 2008
SAS107
TOR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
108-87
108
87
+21
H16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
118-110
118
110
+8
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
A21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
112-88
112
88
+24
H24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A27/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
101-87
101
87
+14
A29/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
100-92
100
92
+8
H31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
20-27
21-19
27-17
19-21
29-23
23-26
37-17
23-28
33-26
39-24
23-32
17-18
26-19
22-28
22-14
28-7
23-29
21-31
16-24
26-21
30-26
32-16
24-25
37-23
27-28
24-33
22-20
26-24
18-24
19-35
29-28
32-18
21-27
28-23
20-19
27-26
19-13
27-16
27-37
194.3Avg total
100.9Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)103.592.8196.2+10.780%
Season at home (41)105.291.1196.3+14.198%
Season away (40)101.794.5196.2+7.262%
Last 10 (10)100.993.4194.3+7.580%
Last 5 (5)103.096.4199.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)93.898.0191.8-4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)106.395.4201.8+10.988%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
107-89
107
89
+18
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
105-91
105
91
+14
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
109-112
109
112
-3
A26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-91
115
91
+24
A26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
100-119
100
119
-19
H28/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
99-95
99
95
+4
A02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
30-21
29-17
26-23
27-25
16-21
20-14
22-25
30-14
25-27
24-33
26-17
30-25
23-30
27-27
25-18
25-25
21-21
16-23
17-22
21-29
37-25
20-25
31-33
20-15
28-21
37-25
30-30
21-27
27-34
26-36
26-22
25-20
29-21
35-26
16-30
27-23
18-30
29-19
25-23
200.4Avg total
102.5Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)102.297.6199.8+4.568%
Season at home (42)103.897.4201.1+6.479%
Season away (40)100.598.0198.4+2.557%
Last 10 (10)102.597.9200.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)105.6102.8208.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)100.0119.0219.0-19.00%
vs Similar (15)104.5101.1205.6+3.373%
vs Weaker (14)106.4100.2206.6+6.171%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
San Antonio SpursToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A27/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A29/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H31/03
NBA
95.6Avg total
50.6Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.445.596.8+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.547.3100.8+6.293%-
Last 30 away (16)49.543.993.4+5.662%-
Last 10 (10)50.645.095.6+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)52.646.098.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)45.250.095.2-4.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)52.344.897.1+7.585%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A02/04
NBA
98.4Avg total
50.2Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.549.5102.0+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.550.0102.5+2.569%-
Last 30 away (14)52.648.9101.5+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)50.248.298.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)50.649.099.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)48.061.0109.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (15)52.847.7100.5+5.173%-
vs Weaker (14)52.650.6103.1+2.064%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.432.0
51.3%
49.0%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.46.8
37.0%
35.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.516.5
80.5%
75.5%16.5
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.225.4
44.4%
49.0%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.2
39.7%
35.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws27.921.1
75.6%
75.5%21.1
They take 82.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWLWWLWWWW
Toronto Raptors
WWLWLLWWWW
#2
League position
#5
+8.1
Net rating
+4.8
108.6
Offensive rating
107.7
100.5
Defensive rating
102.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
49.1%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.3%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.0%
3-point %
39.7%
58.8%
Assist %
54.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 107.7Defence100.5 · 102.8Shooting52.2% · 49.1%3-point %37.0% · 39.7%Ball care13.3% · 12.3%Off. rebounds24.4% · 26.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/16HNew Orleans Pelicans100-92
29/03/16AMemphis Grizzlies101-87
27/03/16AOklahoma City Thunder92-111
26/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies110-104
24/03/16HMiami Heat112-88
21/03/16ACharlotte Hornets88-91
20/03/16HGolden State Warriors87-79
18/03/16HPortland Trail Blazers118-110
16/03/16HLos Angeles Clippers108-87
13/03/16HOklahoma City Thunder93-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/16AMemphis Grizzlies99-95
30/03/16HAtlanta Hawks105-97
28/03/16HOklahoma City Thunder100-119
26/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans115-91
26/03/16AHouston Rockets109-112
23/03/16ABoston Celtics79-91
20/03/16HOrlando Magic105-100
18/03/16HBoston Celtics105-91
17/03/16AIndiana Pacers101-94 OT
16/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWW98%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %80%98%62%
Points / game103.5105.2101.7
Allowed / game92.891.194.5
Point differential+10.7+14.1+7.2
Avg total196.2196.3196.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%61%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)100% (6)12% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW68%
HomeLWWLW79%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824240
Win %68%79%57%
Points / game102.2103.8100.5
Allowed / game97.697.498.0
Point differential+4.5+6.4+2.5
Avg total199.8201.1198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%33%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (25)60% (15)40% (10)
Overtime %5%2%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors83711286%114.0104.2+9.8
2 San Antonio Spurs81651680%103.592.8+10.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder81572470%109.8102.3+7.5
4 Toronto Raptors82562668%102.297.6+4.5
5 Cleveland Cavaliers83552866%103.298.2+5.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers81503162%104.1100.9+3.2
7 Charlotte Hornets83513261%102.799.4+3.3
8 Boston Celtics81483359%105.2101.7+3.5
9 Atlanta Hawks84493558%102.198.7+3.4
10 Miami Heat83483558%99.498.1+1.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies82463656%98.299.3-1.1
12 Indiana Pacers83453854%101.8100.3+1.5
13 Portland Trail Blazers83434052%104.6103.8+0.8
14 Detroit Pistons85444152%102.0100.7+1.3
15 Chicago Bulls84424250%101.3103.1-1.8
16 Utah Jazz83414249%97.896.2+1.7
17 Washington Wizards82404249%103.8104.5-0.7
18 Houston Rockets84404448%106.0106.8-0.8
19 Dallas Mavericks83384546%101.8103.3-1.4
20 Orlando Magic83374645%101.6102.9-1.3
21 Denver Nuggets84364843%101.9104.1-2.1
22 Sacramento Kings82354743%106.5108.2-1.8
23 New York Knicks82344841%98.5100.9-2.3
24 Milwaukee Bucks82344841%99.3103.0-3.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans82315138%102.6106.1-3.4
26 Minnesota Timberwolves83275633%101.2105.8-4.6
27 Phoenix Suns82245829%100.6107.1-6.5
28 Brooklyn Nets81235828%98.5104.8-6.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers82186422%97.5106.6-9.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers84117313%96.9107.3-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs26291631102
Toronto Raptors1828202995
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.