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Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-100
24-19 21-24 22-27 23-30
Position#5
Record56-26
FormLWWWW
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game98.2
vs
Position#11
Record45-37
FormWLWWW
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game100.5
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Indiana Pacers
04 Apr 2027
TOR v IND
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
TOR122
IND104
26 Nov 2025
TOR97
IND95
03 Dec 2024
TOR122
IND111
18 Nov 2024
TOR130
IND119
09 Apr 2024
TOR123
IND140
14 Feb 2024
TOR125
IND127
22 Mar 2023
TOR114
IND118
26 Mar 2022
TOR131
IND91
27 Oct 2021
TOR118
IND100
16 May 2021
TOR113
IND125
23 Feb 2020
TOR127
IND81
05 Feb 2020
TOR119
IND118
06 Jan 2019
TOR121
IND105
19 Dec 2018
TOR99
IND96
06 Apr 2018
TOR92
IND73
01 Dec 2017
TOR120
IND115
31 Mar 2017
TOR111
IND100
19 Mar 2017
TOR116
IND91
01 May 2016
TOR89
IND84
26 Apr 2016
TOR102
IND99
18 Apr 2016
TOR98
IND87
16 Apr 2016
TOR90
IND100
08 Apr 2016
TOR111
IND98
28 Oct 2015
TOR106
IND99
12 Dec 2014
TOR106
IND94
04 Apr 2014
TOR102
IND94
01 Jan 2014
TOR95
IND82
01 Mar 2013
TOR81
IND93
31 Oct 2012
TOR88
IND90
13 Jan 2012
TOR90
IND95
28 Dec 2011
TOR85
IND90
11 Mar 2011
TOR108
IND98
31 Jan 2010
TOR117
IND102
24 Nov 2009
TOR123
IND112
15 Mar 2009
TOR110
IND87
10 Dec 2008
TOR101
IND88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
100-119
100
119
-19
81avg 92
H28/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-97
105
97
+8
101avg 92
H30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
99-95
99
95
+4
92avg 92
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-102
95
102
-7
83avg 92
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
96-90
96
90
+6
88avg 92
H05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
73avg 92
A08/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
111-98
111
98
+13
106avg 92
H08/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
83avg 92
A10/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
122-98
122
98
+24
117avg 92
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
103-96
103
96
+7
97avg 92
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
27-34
26-36
26-22
25-20
29-21
35-26
16-30
27-23
18-30
29-19
25-23
18-26
28-29
20-16
29-31
26-16
30-26
19-17
21-31
20-28
23-19
20-23
24-25
20-15
30-31
32-20
29-32
20-25
34-26
21-18
18-20
32-23
23-38
32-13
35-24
16-26
33-21
29-19
25-30
199.0Avg total
101.1Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)102.798.2200.9+4.568%
Season at home (41)105.098.4203.3+6.678%
Season away (41)100.598.0198.5+2.459%
Last 10 (10)101.197.9199.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)103.295.2198.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.5110.5208.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)102.5100.1202.5+2.467%
vs Weaker (13)107.397.5204.8+9.885%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
104-101
104
101
+3
99avg 93
H27/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
96-98
96
98
-2
84avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
94-114
94
114
-20
83avg 93
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
115-102
115
102
+13
115avg 93
A02/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 93
A03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
123-109
123
109
+14
120avg 93
H06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
98-111
98
111
-13
85avg 93
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
129-105
129
105
+24
139avg 93
H10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
102-90
102
90
+12
99avg 93
H12/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
97-92
97
92
+5
92avg 93
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
27-23
24-32
23-22
27-28
31-32
26-24
12-14
28-33
23-24
28-32
15-25
28-28
33-21
13-28
41-25
18-23
36-18
20-24
18-22
36-33
34-28
26-21
27-27
15-20
31-30
20-32
32-29
39-19
30-22
35-31
25-33
29-36
24-18
26-16
23-20
37-20
25-26
16-24
19-22
205.9Avg total
105.0Scored
100.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)102.2100.5202.6+1.755%
Season at home (41)102.998.9201.8+4.063%
Season away (41)101.4102.0203.5-0.646%
Last 10 (10)105.0100.9205.9+4.170%
Last 5 (5)109.8101.4211.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)106.0102.6208.6+3.460%
vs Similar ◀ (15)97.8104.4202.2-6.633%
vs Weaker (10)104.095.9199.9+8.190%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
Toronto RaptorsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A08/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H08/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A10/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A14/04
NBA
100.4Avg total
50.0Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.549.7101.1+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.550.5103.1+2.065%-
Last 30 away (13)50.148.598.6+1.554%-
Last 10 (10)50.050.4100.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)50.250.4100.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.058.0105.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)51.947.399.2+4.567%-
vs Weaker (13)51.751.1102.8+0.662%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H27/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H29/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A02/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H12/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A14/04
NBA
108.7Avg total
58.1Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.949.8101.7+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.650.3102.9+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)51.149.3100.4+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)58.150.6108.7+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)60.050.4110.4+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.250.4101.6+0.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)49.252.3101.5-3.133%-
vs Weaker (10)56.245.9102.1+10.380%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.928.2
48.7%
49.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.1
37.8%
35.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
75.5%17.4
They take 82.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 105.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.031.8
52.1%
49.0%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.6
36.3%
35.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.015.6
78.0%
75.5%15.6
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WWWWLWLWWL
Indiana Pacers
WWWLWWWLLW
#5
League position
#11
+3.4
Net rating
+4.2
107.4
Offensive rating
107.7
104.0
Defensive rating
103.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.8%
3-point %
36.3%
54.4%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 107.7Defence104.0 · 103.5Shooting51.0% · 52.8%3-point %37.8% · 36.3%Ball care12.4% · 14.9%Off. rebounds23.4% · 26.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Toronto Raptors wins
2
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/16ABrooklyn Nets103-96
12/04/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-98
10/04/16ANew York Knicks93-89
08/04/16HIndiana Pacers111-98
08/04/16AAtlanta Hawks87-95
05/04/16HCharlotte Hornets96-90
03/04/16ASan Antonio Spurs95-102
02/04/16AMemphis Grizzlies99-95
30/03/16HAtlanta Hawks105-97
28/03/16HOklahoma City Thunder100-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/16AMilwaukee Bucks97-92
12/04/16HNew York Knicks102-90
10/04/16HBrooklyn Nets129-105
08/04/16AToronto Raptors98-111
06/04/16HCleveland Cavaliers123-109
03/04/16ANew York Knicks92-87
02/04/16APhiladelphia 76ers115-102
31/03/16HOrlando Magic94-114
29/03/16HChicago Bulls96-98
27/03/16HHouston Rockets104-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWLLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %68%78%59%
Points / game102.7105.0100.5
Allowed / game98.298.498.0
Point differential+4.5+6.6+2.4
Avg total200.9203.3198.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%34%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)60% (15)50% (10)
Overtime %5%2%7%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLLWWW63%
AwayLWWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %55%63%46%
Points / game102.2102.9101.4
Allowed / game100.598.9102.0
Point differential+1.7+4.0-0.6
Avg total202.6201.8203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%32%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (32)53% (15)53% (17)
Overtime %10%7%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors8273989%114.9104.1+10.8
2 San Antonio Spurs82671582%103.592.9+10.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers82572570%104.398.3+6.0
4 Toronto Raptors82562668%102.798.2+4.5
5 Oklahoma City Thunder82552767%110.2102.9+7.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers82532965%104.5100.2+4.3
7 Atlanta Hawks82483459%102.899.2+3.6
8 Boston Celtics82483459%105.7102.5+3.2
9 Charlotte Hornets82483459%103.4100.7+2.7
10 Miami Heat82483459%100.098.4+1.6
11 Indiana Pacers82453755%102.2100.5+1.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers82443854%105.1104.3+0.8
13 Detroit Pistons82443854%102.0101.4+0.6
14 Dallas Mavericks82424051%102.3102.6-0.3
15 Chicago Bulls82424051%101.6103.1-1.5
16 Memphis Grizzlies82424051%99.1101.3-2.2
17 Houston Rockets82414150%106.5106.4+0.2
18 Washington Wizards82414150%104.1104.6-0.5
19 Utah Jazz82404249%97.795.9+1.8
20 Orlando Magic82354743%102.1103.7-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings82334940%106.6109.1-2.5
22 Denver Nuggets82334940%101.9105.0-3.1
23 Milwaukee Bucks82334940%99.0103.2-4.2
24 New York Knicks82325039%98.4101.1-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans82305237%102.7106.5-3.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves82295335%102.4106.0-3.5
27 Phoenix Suns82235928%100.9107.5-6.7
28 Brooklyn Nets82216126%98.6106.0-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers82176521%97.3106.9-9.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers82107212%97.4107.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors2421222390
Indiana Pacers19242730100
← all games of the day
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