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Indiana State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-61
50-36 51-25
Position#13
Record20-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#355
Record6-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Indiana State v Valparaiso
31 Jan 2026
INDI72
VALP76
05 Feb 2025
INDI80
VALP62
07 Feb 2024
INDI101
VALP61
08 Feb 2023
INDI84
VALP62
22 Jan 2022
INDI73
VALP75
29 Feb 2020
INDI71
VALP58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-37
39-36
44-27
33-39
43-43
35-46
48-32
46-32
44-30
44-36
25-28
47-35
41-39
48-44
33-29
45-49
37-45
41-27
37-36
38-31
156.2Avg total
83.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.572.4157.9+13.087%
Season at home (11)88.565.1153.5+23.4100%
Season away (12)82.879.2161.9+3.675%
Last 10 (10)83.372.9156.2+10.490%
Last 5 (5)81.874.2156.0+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)78.283.6161.8-5.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.471.3157.8+15.188%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
61-86
61
86
-25
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-44
32-42
36-42
28-28
24-44
44-33
28-20
31-30
38-40
37-38
34-39
50-38
34-29
35-46
37-40
33-41
30-41
40-40
32-30
30-33
142.0Avg total
68.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.972.3140.1-4.426%
Season at home (13)69.070.8139.8-1.838%
Season away (10)66.474.2140.6-7.810%
Last 10 (10)68.273.8142.0-5.620%
Last 5 (5)71.075.4146.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)66.573.4139.8-6.921%
vs Similar (4)70.076.2146.2-6.225%
vs Weaker (2)78.063.5141.5+14.550%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.9-0.9
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.9-0.9
Indiana StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/02
NCAA
74.6Avg total
40.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.834.376.1+7.573%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.430.171.6+11.393%-
Last 30 away (16)42.237.980.1+4.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.034.674.6+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.470.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.632.975.5+9.779%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
32.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.435.467.8-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.533.465.9-0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)32.237.669.9-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)32.236.969.1-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.869.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.236.267.4-5.025%-
vs Similar (4)33.837.571.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker (2)43.522.065.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Indiana State wins
4
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HDrake75-67
01/02/24ABelmont78-72
27/01/24HBradley95-86 OT
25/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)89-83
21/01/24AMurray State72-63
17/01/24HMissouri State88-66
13/01/24HBelmont94-64
11/01/24ADrake78-89
07/01/24ANorthern Iowa77-66
04/01/24HEvansville87-73
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HEvansville62-63
01/02/24ADrake70-81
27/01/24HMissouri State70-81
25/01/24ASouthern Illinois69-75
20/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)84-77
18/01/24AEvansville75-78
14/01/24AIllinois State59-50
11/01/24HSouthern Illinois68-77
07/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)64-70
04/01/24HBradley61-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game85.588.582.8
Allowed / game72.465.179.2
Point differential+13.0+23.4+3.6
Avg total157.9153.5161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%82%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL26%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %26%38%10%
Points / game67.969.066.4
Allowed / game72.370.874.2
Point differential-4.4-1.8-7.8
Avg total140.1139.8140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2320387%85.572.4+13.0
2 Drake2318578%79.167.8+11.3
3 Bradley2317674%76.067.4+8.6
4 Southern Illinois2315865%72.665.3+7.3
5 Evansville2314961%73.172.5+0.6
6 Northern Iowa23121152%72.571.4+1.1
7 Belmont23121152%77.078.5-1.5
8 Illinois State23111248%65.867.8-2.0
9 Murray State2391439%70.467.8+2.7
10 Illinois (Chi.)2381535%69.568.7+0.7
11 Valparaiso2361726%67.972.3-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State5051101
Valparaiso362561
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