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Indiana State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-89
51-42 43-47
Position#311
Record8-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#96
Record12-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Indiana State v Illinois State
14 Jan 2026
INDI94
ILLI89
15 Feb 2025
INDI85
ILLI76
13 Feb 2024
INDI67
ILLI80
18 Feb 2023
INDI80
ILLI64
12 Feb 2022
INDI60
ILLI57
11 Jan 2020
INDI65
ILLI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#348
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Eureka
#568
W
99-57
99
57
+42
H03/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
99-108 OT
99
108
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
16-36
58-45
52-22
47-35
35-27
42-28
36-39
34-29
41-36
33-38
25-42
40-43
36-41
35-30
38-33
28-42
39-33
33-41
38-35
31-37
152.7Avg total
77.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.473.7149.1+1.647%
Season at home (8)82.468.5150.9+13.975%
Season away (9)69.178.3147.4-9.222%
Last 10 (10)77.275.5152.7+1.740%
Last 5 (5)70.677.2147.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.979.6150.5-8.727%
vs Similar (13)78.875.7154.5+3.154%
vs Weaker (6)82.869.5152.3+13.350%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
59-63 OT
59
63
-4
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
39-29
49-41
40-37
45-13
50-40
33-40
45-43
30-35
45-33
42-25
43-40
31-27
42-29
46-28
27-19
23-35
48-42
25-28
26-23
142.5Avg total
77.0Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.265.8143.9+12.471%
Season at home (10)81.559.5141.0+22.090%
Season away (7)73.474.7148.1-1.343%
Last 10 (10)77.065.5142.5+11.570%
Last 5 (5)72.261.6133.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.574.8148.2-1.225%
vs Similar (10)73.472.5145.9+0.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.165.9143.1+11.273%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +7.0+7.0
Indiana StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#348
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A28/11
NCAA
Eureka
#568
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/01
NCAA
70.0Avg total
35.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.873.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.333.772.0+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)34.439.573.9-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.470.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.138.770.8-6.627%-
vs Similar (13)38.336.174.4+2.254%-
vs Weaker (6)39.334.874.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H10/01
NCAA
66.5Avg total
35.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.867.9+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.928.868.7+11.281%-
Last 30 away (14)31.735.467.1-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.730.866.5+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.428.662.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.533.865.2-2.225%-
vs Similar (10)33.435.068.4-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.329.968.3+8.473%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Indiana State wins
5
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HEvansville69-72
04/01/26ADrake72-74
02/01/26ANorthern Iowa66-75
30/12/25HBelmont81-80 OT
21/12/25AIllinois State65-85
19/12/25HBradley99-108 OT
14/12/25AWisc. Milwaukee70-68
07/12/25HSouthern Indiana77-55
03/12/25HEureka99-57
28/11/25AAlcorn State74-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)59-63 OT
08/01/26AValparaiso71-77
01/01/26HEvansville73-47
30/12/25ADrake73-56
21/12/25HIndiana State85-65
19/12/25ASouthern Illinois75-68
13/12/25AUtah State78-83
07/12/25HChicago State95-53
04/12/25HEastern Kentucky89-78
28/11/25HFurman72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%75%22%
Points / game75.482.469.1
Allowed / game73.768.578.3
Point differential+1.6+13.9-9.2
Avg total149.1150.9147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %71%90%43%
Points / game78.281.573.4
Allowed / game65.859.574.7
Point differential+12.4+22.0-1.3
Avg total143.9141.0148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%80%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1815383%87.977.1+10.9
2 Belmont2016480%81.571.4+10.1
3 Illinois State1712571%78.265.8+12.4
4 Bradley1913668%79.172.2+6.9
5 Northern Iowa1812667%69.160.1+9.1
6 Drake178947%76.571.5+5.0
7 Southern Illinois178947%76.873.4+3.4
8 Indiana State178947%75.473.7+1.6
9 Illinois (Chi.)1881044%74.971.2+3.7
10 Valparaiso1881044%71.971.5+0.4
11 Evansville1951426%68.273.7-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State514394
Illinois State424789
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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