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Indiana State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-62
39-31 41-31
Position#254
Record11-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#248
Record10-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Indiana State v Valparaiso
31 Jan 2026
INDI72
VALP76
05 Feb 2025
INDI80
VALP62
07 Feb 2024
INDI101
VALP61
08 Feb 2023
INDI84
VALP62
22 Jan 2022
INDI73
VALP75
29 Feb 2020
INDI71
VALP58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
A09/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-118
65
118
-53
A16/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
48-52
31-36
35-26
40-45
46-41
32-42
47-42
33-66
32-52
25-32
28-39
40-40
41-45
26-38
30-36
25-36
47-31
52-41
36-42
157.6Avg total
74.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.079.6159.6+0.448%
Season at home (11)79.771.4151.1+8.445%
Season away (12)80.287.1167.3-6.850%
Last 10 (10)74.483.2157.6-8.830%
Last 5 (5)70.076.0146.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.087.2159.2-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.083.6166.6-0.657%
vs Weaker (7)87.761.6149.3+26.1100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-34
38-38
43-36
37-37
45-40
41-46
21-26
26-32
30-40
34-31
38-38
36-43
29-43
42-38
26-44
42-34
34-29
41-50
38-45
40-41
150.2Avg total
72.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.974.6151.4+2.343%
Season at home (13)82.971.2154.2+11.762%
Season away (10)69.078.9147.9-9.920%
Last 10 (10)72.877.4150.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)73.281.0154.2-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.079.4147.4-11.414%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.575.0150.5+0.545%
vs Weaker (4)84.572.5157.0+12.075%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -1.3-1.3
Indiana StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A09/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A16/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A01/02
NCAA
74.4Avg total
33.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.876.5-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.835.372.1+1.544%-
Last 30 away (12)39.244.083.2-4.817%-
Last 10 (10)33.840.674.4-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.471.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.442.076.4-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.640.977.4-4.314%-
vs Weaker (7)43.629.473.0+14.186%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A01/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
33.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.471.1-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.233.972.1+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)30.639.469.9-8.821%-
Last 10 (10)33.937.571.4-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.039.872.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.638.270.8-5.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.535.169.6-0.555%-
vs Weaker (4)35.038.573.5-3.550%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Indiana State wins
4
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)88-83
30/01/25HMissouri State72-67
25/01/25HNorthern Iowa56-74
22/01/25AIllinois State81-85
18/01/25HDrake53-71
16/01/25ABradley65-118
11/01/25HBelmont79-84
09/01/25AValparaiso95-98 OT
04/01/25AEvansville66-62
02/01/25HBradley89-90 OT
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AIllinois State78-86
29/01/25HSouthern Illinois75-79
25/01/25HEvansville68-78
23/01/25ADrake71-81
18/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)74-81
15/01/25ABelmont64-71
11/01/25AMurray State47-58
09/01/25HIndiana State98-95 OT
04/01/25HNorthern Iowa80-73
02/01/25AMissouri State73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeLLLLW45%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%45%50%
Points / game80.079.780.2
Allowed / game79.671.487.1
Point differential+0.4+8.4-6.8
Avg total159.6151.1167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)20% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %43%62%20%
Points / game76.982.969.0
Allowed / game74.671.278.9
Point differential+2.3+11.7-9.9
Avg total151.4154.2147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2321291%70.657.5+13.1
2 Bradley2318578%79.369.0+10.3
3 Illinois (Chi.)2315865%81.274.6+6.6
4 Belmont2315865%81.478.8+2.6
5 Northern Iowa2314961%75.067.7+7.4
6 Illinois State2314961%76.871.7+5.2
7 Indiana State23111248%80.079.6+0.4
8 Murray State24111346%72.570.2+2.3
9 Valparaiso23101343%76.974.6+2.3
10 Southern Illinois23101343%73.274.2-1.0
11 Evansville2391439%66.370.3-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State394180
Valparaiso313162
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