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Indiana State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-75
40-35 33-40
Position#291
Record8-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#242
Record9-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Indiana State v Valparaiso
31 Jan 2026
INDI72
VALP76
05 Feb 2025
INDI80
VALP62
07 Feb 2024
INDI101
VALP61
08 Feb 2023
INDI84
VALP62
22 Jan 2022
INDI73
VALP75
29 Feb 2020
INDI71
VALP58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A02/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H04/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H18/12
NCAA
Oakland City
#379
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Midway
#624
W
107-51
107
51
+56
H30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
38-49
37-39
32-29
43-34
27-43
39-23
28-20
37-33
41-36
53-25
54-26
43-41
33-30
38-30
34-42
33-30
23-34
31-32
24-31
140.2Avg total
72.8Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.470.1143.5+3.247%
Season at home (9)74.764.7139.3+10.067%
Season away (8)71.976.2148.1-4.425%
Last 10 (10)72.867.4140.2+5.450%
Last 5 (5)73.665.8139.4+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.276.7141.9-11.510%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.262.2129.3+5.075%
vs Weaker (6)78.559.5138.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EWU Phantoms
#565
W
101-58
101
58
+43
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H21/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#357
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H22/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A06/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H09/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
A12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H15/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-21
58-37
27-30
40-38
26-28
41-27
50-36
38-30
39-31
31-39
22-43
43-49
22-32
38-31
30-22
25-33
26-34
31-40
34-39
38-33
145.6Avg total
74.3Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.870.0142.8+2.847%
Season at home (12)75.268.0143.2+7.250%
Season away (7)68.973.4142.3-4.643%
Last 10 (10)74.371.3145.6+3.050%
Last 5 (5)67.878.0145.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.369.5133.7-5.218%
vs Similar ◀ (14)66.269.3135.5-3.143%
vs Weaker (4)83.062.5145.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +2.6+2.6
Indiana StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A02/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A14/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Oakland City
#379
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Midway
#624
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A20/01
NCAA
71.8Avg total
39.2Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.967.8+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.031.567.5+4.580%-
Last 30 away (15)33.734.368.1-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)39.232.671.8+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.671.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.537.872.3-3.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.430.262.7+2.267%-
vs Weaker (6)39.531.270.7+8.383%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EWU Phantoms
#565
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H11/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H21/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#357
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A06/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H09/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H15/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/01
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.9Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.431.863.2-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.130.863.9+2.344%-
Last 30 away (12)28.833.462.2-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)31.931.663.5+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)26.834.060.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.031.161.1-1.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)29.533.763.2-4.221%-
vs Weaker (4)38.830.068.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana State wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/22ASouthern Illinois55-63
16/01/22HLoyola Chicago56-64
12/01/22ANorthern Iowa74-80 OT
02/01/22HBradley76-71
30/12/21HMidway107-51
20/12/21HOakland City78-69
18/12/21HAlabama A&M Bulldogs67-43
14/12/21ANorth Dakota St70-77
04/12/21HMiami (Ohio)69-68
02/12/21ALoyola Chicago76-88
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/22HNorthern Iowa83-80 OT
15/01/22HMissouri State57-74
12/01/22ALoyola Chicago74-81 OT
09/01/22HSouthern Illinois60-63
06/01/22ANorthern Iowa65-92
02/01/22HIllinois State81-76 OT
22/12/21HWilliam & Mary88-66
21/12/21HEastern Michigan67-55
11/12/21HCharlotte67-68
08/12/21HEWU Phantoms101-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%67%25%
Points / game73.474.771.9
Allowed / game70.164.776.2
Point differential+3.2+10.0-4.4
Avg total143.5139.3148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW47%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game72.875.268.9
Allowed / game70.068.073.4
Point differential+2.8+7.2-4.6
Avg total142.8143.2142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %21%25%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1816289%83.163.2+19.9
2 Belmont1914574%80.871.4+9.5
3 Drake1913668%74.265.3+8.9
4 Southern Illinois1810856%65.360.9+4.4
5 Northern Iowa179853%74.970.2+4.8
6 Illinois State1910953%79.677.1+2.5
7 Bradley1991047%72.367.3+5.0
8 Valparaiso1991047%72.870.0+2.8
9 Indiana State178947%73.470.1+3.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)167944%69.770.6-0.9
11 Evansville1741324%59.569.5-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State403373
Valparaiso354075
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