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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 97-61
17-26 25-15 28-5 27-15
Position#1
Record27-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#7
Record13-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game83.7
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai
24 Apr 2025
ZAL109
MAZ63
17 Nov 2024
ZAL101
MAZ46
12 May 2024
ZAL97
MAZ61
29 Apr 2024
ZAL95
MAZ68
28 Jan 2024
ZAL103
MAZ75
26 Jan 2015
ZAL76
MAZ52
24 Nov 2014
ZAL98
MAZ79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 80
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
58avg 80
A04/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
62-64
62
64
-2
48avg 80
H11/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
92-78
92
78
+14
82avg 80
H14/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
102avg 80
A17/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-57
101
57
+44
114avg 80
H21/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
95-68
95
68
+27
95avg 80
H29/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
102-78
102
78
+24
108avg 80
H02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
89avg 80
A05/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
92-62
92
62
+30
88avg 80
H08/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
28-24
18-18
15-19
11-20
18-19
15-12
22-18
9-16
16-15
17-13
20-20
27-22
22-19
19-16
24-21
19-19
21-19
11-23
36-26
30-15
21-10
26-13
24-19
31-7
25-23
23-15
16-23
32-15
29-21
23-21
18-21
26-17
13-35
26-25
28-20
26-15
23-19
24-7
19-21
166.2Avg total
89.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)88.873.6162.5+15.287%
Season at home (16)91.272.9164.1+18.294%
Season away (15)86.374.4160.7+11.980%
Last 10 (10)89.876.4166.2+13.460%
Last 5 (5)96.672.4169.0+24.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.066.0137.0+5.050%
vs Similar (12)83.679.6163.2+4.058%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)94.975.8170.7+19.281%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 72
A20/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
79-73
79
73
+6
79avg 72
H27/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
88avg 72
A01/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
74avg 72
H06/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-104
78
104
-26
70avg 72
A10/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
53avg 72
H14/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
42avg 72
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
55avg 72
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 72
A02/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
76avg 72
H09/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
22-15
24-31
9-17
17-22
25-13
24-22
13-16
21-21
20-15
22-32
26-23
14-15
27-17
16-19
16-20
21-26
23-30
15-23
19-25
23-24
13-22
11-17
15-16
14-21
12-31
20-18
17-19
7-31
23-25
15-23
23-16
21-31
25-14
20-23
16-20
23-29
17-22
16-20
25-22
162.1Avg total
75.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.383.7162.0-5.441%
Season at home (16)74.978.5153.4-3.644%
Season away (16)81.688.9170.5-7.238%
Last 10 (10)75.686.5162.1-10.920%
Last 5 (5)71.288.8160.0-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.687.8163.4-12.225%
vs Similar (9)83.183.7166.8-0.656%
vs Weaker (5)87.480.4167.8+7.080%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
Zalgiris KaunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H11/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H21/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H29/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
61-36
61
36
+25
H02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A05/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H08/05
LKL
81.5Avg total
44.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.138.383.4+6.860%-
Last 30 at home (19)47.637.184.7+10.568%-
Last 30 away (11)40.840.481.2+0.545%-
Last 10 (10)44.936.681.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)51.235.486.6+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.534.569.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (12)41.840.982.7+0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.936.885.8+12.181%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A20/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H06/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A10/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H14/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A02/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H09/05
LKL
83.7Avg total
39.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.483.2-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.641.479.0-3.838%-
Last 30 away (14)42.245.787.9-3.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.383.7-4.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.650.085.6-14.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.444.281.6-6.838%-
vs Similar (9)42.343.986.2-1.644%-
vs Weaker (5)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.2
55.2%
55.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.4
39.7%
34.7%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.315.6
80.8%
73.2%15.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.8
52.0%
55.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.9
28.4%
34.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.915.7
71.7%
73.2%15.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWLWLLW
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#7
+18.5
Net rating
-13.8
119.4
Offensive rating
98.9
100.9
Defensive rating
112.7
57.3%
Effective FG%
47.8%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
21.6%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.7%
3-point %
28.4%
69.6%
Assist %
69.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 98.9Defence100.9 · 112.7Shooting57.3% · 47.8%3-point %39.7% · 28.4%Ball care14.7% · 21.6%Off. rebounds26.0% · 32.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Mazeikiai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24HJuventus92-62
05/05/24ABC Wolves93-97
02/05/24HNevezis102-78
29/04/24HMazeikiai95-68
21/04/24HJonava101-57
17/04/24ANeptunas112-114 OT
14/04/24HRytas92-78
11/04/24HReal Madrid62-64
04/04/24AMonaco66-69
01/04/24ALietkabelis83-77
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/24HNevezis81-93
02/05/24ALietkabelis82-88
29/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas68-95
21/04/24HRytas63-89
14/04/24HJonava62-79
10/04/24ABC Wolves78-104
06/04/24HJuventus73-71
01/04/24ANeptunas89-91
27/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes79-73
20/03/24ALietkabelis81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWLL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %87%94%80%
Points / game88.891.286.3
Allowed / game73.672.974.4
Point differential+15.2+18.2+11.9
Avg total162.5164.1160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%75%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game78.374.981.6
Allowed / game83.778.588.9
Point differential-5.4-3.6-7.2
Avg total162.0153.4170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3127487%88.873.6+15.2
2 Rytas3226681%93.780.3+13.4
3 BC Wolves3123874%87.679.5+8.1
4 Juventus31191261%87.881.9+5.9
5 Lietkabelis31171455%84.683.8+0.7
6 Neptunas32161650%85.486.2-0.8
7 Mazeikiai32131941%78.383.7-5.4
8 Jonava32122038%82.585.9-3.4
9 Nevezis32112134%84.491.3-6.9
10 Siauliai3292328%82.287.8-5.6
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes3162519%83.095.0-12.0
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1725282797
Mazeikiai261551561
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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