PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Juventus vs Gargzdai Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record6-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game86.2
LithuaniaLKL· Utenos arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Juventus v Gargzdai
27 Mar 2027
JUV v GAR
upcoming
18 Oct 2026
JUV100
GAR90
18 Apr 2026
JUV98
GAR103
27 Dec 2025
JUV104
GAR78
12 Nov 2025
JUV90
GAR73
30 Jan 2024
JUV v GAR
upcoming
12 Oct 2023
JUV84
GAR61
06 Feb 2023
JUV92
GAR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
85avg 78
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
86avg 78
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
66-105
66
105
-39
51avg 78
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 78
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
100-90
100
90
+10
100avg 78
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#33
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 78
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
63avg 78
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
74avg 78
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
24-14
17-22
25-17
18-20
23-16
26-17
26-24
8-20
21-24
19-34
18-27
25-23
28-18
15-21
3-21
31-25
26-26
20-19
23-20
22-25
25-25
14-20
15-5
25-30
17-21
10-20
24-23
27-16
15-29
25-24
15-25
21-21
19-25
35-23
14-20
17-21
25-27
20-12
23-34
172.5Avg total
84.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.288.0173.2-2.833%
Season at home (5)89.686.4176.0+3.260%
Season away (4)79.890.0169.8-10.20%
Last 10 (10)84.188.4172.5-4.350%
Last 5 (5)83.490.4173.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)85.093.8178.8-8.844%
vs Similar (8)86.989.6176.5-2.838%
vs Weaker (4)93.087.0180.0+6.075%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 80
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 80
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 80
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 80
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 80
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 80
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 80
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 80
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
173.3Avg total
89.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.086.2175.2+2.867%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (5)92.888.2181.0+4.660%
Last 10 (10)89.583.8173.3+5.780%
Last 5 (5)84.283.0167.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%
vs Similar (7)90.987.1178.0+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.785.1173.8+3.667%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
JuventusGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#33
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H08/11
LKL
89.5Avg total
44.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.187.8-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.343.788.0+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.587.6-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)44.545.089.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.090.6-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)43.646.990.5-3.433%-
vs Similar (8)43.640.884.4+2.962%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.082.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
87.5Avg total
43.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.244.884.9-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)42.745.888.5-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.987.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.086.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.683.7-5.518%-
vs Similar (7)38.344.482.7-6.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.245.187.3-2.842%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.5
53.1%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
70.8%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
LWLLWWLLWW
Gargzdai
WLWWLWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
-6.3
Net rating
+3.6
96.0
Offensive rating
99.4
102.3
Defensive rating
95.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
34.6%
50.5%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 99.4Defence102.3 · 95.8Shooting52.6% · 54.5%3-point %34.6% · 34.6%Ball care15.2% · 13.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Juventus   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Juventus wins
3
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Juventus v Gargzdai100-90
18/04/26Juventus v Gargzdai98-103 OT
21/03/26Gargzdai v Juventus89-82
27/12/25Juventus v Gargzdai104-78
12/11/25Juventus v Gargzdai90-73
18/10/25Gargzdai v Juventus91-74
01/10/25Gargzdai v Juventus68-72
19/11/23Gargzdai v Juventus74-97
09/11/23Gargzdai v Juventus66-75
12/10/23Juventus v Gargzdai84-61
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas85-94
03/11/26HPardubice98-95 OT
31/10/26AJonava82-94
25/10/26HRytas76-94
21/10/26AReggiana76-75
18/10/26HGargzdai100-90
11/10/26ASiauliai71-83
07/10/26HUnicaja66-105
04/10/26HTaurage93-77
27/09/26HNevezis94-77
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
26/09/26HNeptunas87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game85.289.679.8
Allowed / game88.086.490.0
Point differential-2.8+3.2-10.2
Avg total173.2176.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game89.084.292.8
Allowed / game86.283.888.2
Point differential+2.8+0.5+4.6
Avg total175.2168.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2.8
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2.8
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.