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Juventus vs Gargzdai Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game94.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Juventus v Gargzdai
27 Mar 2027
JUV v GAR
upcoming
18 Oct 2026
JUV100
GAR90
18 Apr 2026
JUV98
GAR103
27 Dec 2025
JUV104
GAR78
12 Nov 2025
JUV90
GAR73
30 Jan 2024
JUV v GAR
upcoming
12 Oct 2023
JUV84
GAR61
06 Feb 2023
JUV92
GAR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
103-66
103
66
+37
108avg 83
A18/12
LKL
Svendborg
#15
W
110-92
110
92
+18
108avg 83
H20/12
ENBL
Rytas
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 83
H27/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
106-74
106
74
+32
104avg 83
H29/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
93avg 83
A07/01
LKL
Zwolle
#6
W
84-56
84
56
+28
95avg 83
H10/01
ENBL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
73-72
73
72
+1
68avg 83
A13/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
67-104
67
104
-37
57avg 83
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
88-63
88
63
+25
87avg 83
H24/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-95
87
95
-8
86avg 83
H26/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-12
17-18
30-20
22-16
22-24
32-20
30-25
26-23
26-18
19-25
24-27
17-28
25-19
38-14
25-19
18-22
20-24
28-18
22-17
21-19
24-21
23-11
22-11
15-13
19-16
11-23
24-15
19-18
11-19
23-27
18-29
15-29
17-14
29-17
20-16
22-16
20-24
28-22
19-17
20-32
169.3Avg total
89.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.277.2166.4+12.071%
Season at home (9)92.480.2172.7+12.267%
Season away (8)85.573.8159.2+11.875%
Last 10 (10)89.579.8169.3+9.770%
Last 5 (5)79.878.0157.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.0101.7184.7-18.70%
vs Similar (7)92.087.6179.6+4.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.873.5162.3+15.385%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 68
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 68
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 68
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 68
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 68
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
89-94
89
94
-5
85avg 68
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-110
79
110
-31
57avg 68
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
73-105
73
105
-32
62avg 68
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 68
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
72avg 68
A14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-12
21-21
10-27
21-20
26-20
18-25
9-32
22-19
17-26
25-18
27-18
16-18
21-20
17-17
12-22
22-23
19-25
23-18
16-26
28-25
21-19
24-24
16-26
25-22
15-37
15-22
24-29
13-24
20-21
20-32
20-28
18-15
21-30
24-24
19-24
28-17
12-30
22-29
19-24
172.6Avg total
79.3Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.994.1171.9-16.218%
Season at home (8)79.893.1172.9-13.425%
Season away (9)76.294.9171.1-18.711%
Last 10 (10)79.393.3172.6-14.010%
Last 5 (5)80.8100.4181.2-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.289.3164.4-14.115%
vs Similar (3)88.087.7175.7+0.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -8.4-8.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -8.4-8.4
JuventusGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A18/12
LKL
Svendborg
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H20/12
ENBL
Rytas
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H29/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A07/01
LKL
Zwolle
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H10/01
ENBL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H24/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/01
ENBL
85.2Avg total
46.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.983.9+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.439.485.8+7.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.581.9+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)46.638.685.2+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.347.790.0-5.333%-
vs Similar (7)44.745.990.6-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.936.780.6+7.280%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/01
LKL
85.9Avg total
41.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.483.3-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.945.484.3-6.629%-
Last 30 away (16)38.943.682.5-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.785.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.088.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.344.282.5-5.926%-
vs Similar (3)44.346.390.7-2.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.4
57.5%
55.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.5
39.2%
34.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.216.6
78.3%
73.2%16.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.0
30.1%
34.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.214.9
61.6%
73.2%14.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
LWLWWWWLWW
Gargzdai
LLLLLLLWLL
#4
League position
#12
+13.2
Net rating
-19.1
116.5
Offensive rating
102.3
103.3
Defensive rating
121.4
57.9%
Effective FG%
48.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.2%
3-point %
30.1%
67.1%
Assist %
65.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 102.3Defence103.3 · 121.4Shooting57.9% · 48.9%3-point %39.2% · 30.1%Ball care19.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds31.8% · 32.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Juventus   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Juventus wins
1
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Gargzdai v Juventus74-97
09/11/23Gargzdai v Juventus66-75
12/10/23Juventus v Gargzdai84-61
16/04/23Gargzdai v Juventus77-76
06/02/23Juventus v Gargzdai92-90
04/12/22Gargzdai v Juventus68-85
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24HBakken Bears87-95
24/01/24HTartu Ulikool88-63
20/01/24ARytas67-104
13/01/24ALietkabelis73-72
10/01/24HZwolle84-56
07/01/24ANeptunas91-78
29/12/23HNevezis106-74
27/12/23HRytas86-98
20/12/23HSvendborg110-92
18/12/23ASiauliai103-66
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ANeptunas81-100
08/01/24HMazeikiai82-93
28/12/23AJonava73-105
16/12/23ARytas79-110
11/12/23HSiauliai89-94
04/12/23ANevezis80-92
25/11/23AMazeikiai66-77
22/11/23AMazeikiai91-81
19/11/23HJuventus74-97
16/11/23ANeptunas78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game89.292.485.5
Allowed / game77.280.273.8
Point differential+12.0+12.2+11.8
Avg total166.4172.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%56%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%25%11%
Points / game77.979.876.2
Allowed / game94.193.194.9
Point differential-16.2-13.4-18.7
Avg total171.9172.9171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1816289%83.470.8+12.7
2 Rytas1715288%92.878.4+14.4
3 BC Wolves1813572%83.577.4+6.1
4 Juventus1712571%89.277.2+12.0
5 Lietkabelis1610662%84.181.9+2.1
6 Neptunas1881044%83.984.3-0.4
7 Mazeikiai1771041%77.481.9-4.6
8 Jonava1871139%81.784.8-3.1
9 Siauliai1851328%80.986.1-5.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1851328%85.192.9-7.8
11 Nevezis1841422%82.492.0-9.6
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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