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Juventus vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-85
35-24 24-16 25-29 19-16
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game104.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · Juventus v Prienai
18 Mar 2023
JUV86
PRI90
27 Nov 2022
JUV94
PRI76
16 Nov 2022
JUV103
PRI85
25 Sep 2021
JUV88
PRI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
79avg 75
H28/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-95
68
95
-27
57avg 75
A03/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
90avg 75
H08/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 75
H15/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 75
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-109
76
109
-33
60avg 75
A30/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
85-100
85
100
-15
no box
A02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 75
A05/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
24-19
22-21
15-24
14-29
14-21
21-28
19-17
33-20
23-13
21-27
18-17
22-13
18-28
22-27
25-16
26-19
28-10
30-27
23-21
22-19
23-21
22-26
17-16
19-16
26-26
26-23
24-21
17-24
22-22
12-29
25-34
17-28
24-30
26-20
18-22
20-24
20-17
23-18
24-21
174.3Avg total
86.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.787.7183.3+8.067%
Season at home (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)96.088.5184.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)86.887.5174.3-0.760%
Last 5 (5)85.491.4176.8-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.993.8177.7-9.99%
vs Similar (11)84.082.3166.3+1.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.581.0171.5+9.562%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
49avg 64
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
66-89
66
89
-23
49avg 64
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
78avg 64
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
92-99 OT
92
99
-7
no box
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
no box
A23/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
70-95
70
95
-25
no box
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
67avg 64
H30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
89-110
89
110
-21
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 64
H06/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-20
22-22
10-25
21-25
14-17
7-22
24-25
25-25
22-25
22-21
20-26
22-19
16-21
20-18
22-22
19-26
10-28
27-30
21-23
23-27
21-24
26-17
20-22
13-33
19-20
23-19
15-23
15-30
21-25
20-18
21-23
17-19
24-28
22-29
26-34
20-24
15-22
19-27
14-22
179.8Avg total
80.4Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.7104.0182.7-25.30%
Season at home (1)77.0107.0184.0-30.00%
Season away (2)79.5102.5182.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)80.499.4179.8-19.00%
Last 5 (5)82.8102.2185.0-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.489.4166.8-12.012%
vs Similar (4)89.2102.2191.5-13.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.2-5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.2-5.2
JuventusPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A03/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H08/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A05/11
LKL
85.5Avg total
43.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.983.9+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.238.983.1+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.884.7-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.085.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.487.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.841.081.8-0.264%-
vs Similar (11)44.242.786.9+1.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.638.182.8+6.562%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H06/11
LKL
85.3Avg total
37.1Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.545.181.5-8.610%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.444.679.0-10.16%-
Last 30 away (14)38.845.684.4-6.914%-
Last 10 (10)37.148.285.3-11.10%-
Last 5 (5)37.650.488.0-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.744.179.8-8.412%-
vs Similar (4)41.551.292.8-9.80%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.1
52.9%
55.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.66.1
31.1%
34.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
75.0%17.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.0
50.3%
55.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.2
30.8%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
75.0%14.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WLLWWWWWLL
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#11
-7.9
Net rating
-20.6
107.2
Offensive rating
102.1
115.1
Defensive rating
122.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
48.6%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.1%
3-point %
30.8%
61.6%
Assist %
50.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 102.1Defence115.1 · 122.7Shooting50.9% · 48.6%3-point %31.1% · 30.8%Ball care19.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds33.2% · 24.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Juventus   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Juventus wins
2
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
19/10/22Prienai v Juventus77-107
07/03/22Prienai v Juventus88-81 OT
18/12/21Prienai v Juventus80-74
25/09/21Juventus v Prienai88-75
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes87-80
02/11/22ABC Wolves85-100
30/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas76-109
27/10/22HNeptunas95-86
22/10/22AJonava84-82
19/10/22APrienai107-77
15/10/22HLietkabelis87-84
08/10/22HNeptunas95-77
03/10/22ABC Wolves68-95
28/09/22HNevezis84-85
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22HGargzdai68-95
03/11/22ANeptunas89-110
30/10/22HLietkabelis77-96
26/10/22ABC Wolves70-95
23/10/22APieno Zvaigzdes110-115 OT
19/10/22HJuventus77-107
17/10/22HNeptunas92-99 OT
10/10/22ASiauliai89-97
01/10/22HRytas66-89
29/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas66-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game95.795.096.0
Allowed / game87.786.088.5
Point differential+8.0+9.0+7.5
Avg total183.3181.0184.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Prienai
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.777.079.5
Allowed / game104.0107.0102.5
Point differential-25.3-30.0-23.0
Avg total182.7184.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevezis43175%94.291.8+2.5
2 BC Wolves32167%92.080.0+12.0
3 Juventus32167%95.787.7+8.0
4 Neptunas32167%93.788.3+5.3
5 Siauliai32167%83.080.7+2.3
6 Jonava42250%80.579.5+1.0
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes3030%87.094.0-7.0
8 Prienai3030%78.7104.0-25.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus35242519103
Prienai2416291685
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