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Juventus vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 86-90
25-24 25-18 20-21 16-27
Position#5
Record14-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#12
Record2-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game89.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Juventus v Prienai
18 Mar 2023
JUV86
PRI90
27 Nov 2022
JUV94
PRI76
16 Nov 2022
JUV103
PRI85
25 Sep 2021
JUV88
PRI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
67avg 79
A09/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
77avg 79
H15/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
L
73-109
73
109
-36
no box
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
92avg 79
A30/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
H06/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
97-98
97
98
-1
94avg 79
A13/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
58avg 79
H15/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
88-77
88
77
+11
86avg 79
A05/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 79
A12/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
17-25
20-21
25-24
19-16
13-15
23-27
19-13
19-19
23-16
21-32
18-19
21-32
17-25
20-23
15-29
27-14
17-20
22-24
26-27
29-15
16-20
19-27
28-28
27-21
30-27
25-18
15-32
14-14
22-19
11-22
20-23
24-19
22-27
21-24
21-7
18-19
11-32
18-19
24-21
168.6Avg total
81.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.983.1168.0+1.864%
Season at home (11)86.782.3169.0+4.564%
Season away (11)83.184.0167.1-0.964%
Last 10 (10)81.687.0168.6-5.440%
Last 5 (5)83.086.8169.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.491.6171.0-12.122%
vs Similar (13)87.286.2173.3+1.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.177.6171.8+16.5100%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
50avg 64
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 64
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 64
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
60avg 64
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 64
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
no box
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 64
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 64
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
74avg 64
H11/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
15-22
16-19
17-20
14-16
14-20
22-25
25-19
27-12
15-27
16-17
13-18
26-19
12-39
19-19
20-21
28-15
15-18
22-19
21-22
20-23
23-25
22-20
21-30
19-23
17-15
21-19
23-29
21-24
17-27
21-10
26-13
18-23
20-22
19-21
21-22
22-26
21-22
22-22
24-22
165.1Avg total
79.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.589.1167.6-10.69%
Season at home (11)75.291.0166.2-15.80%
Season away (11)81.887.3169.1-5.518%
Last 10 (10)79.585.6165.1-6.120%
Last 5 (5)83.687.6171.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.191.0168.1-14.08%
vs Similar (4)84.594.0178.5-9.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
JuventusPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H15/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A30/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H06/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A13/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A12/03
LKL
81.5Avg total
40.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.986.0+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.139.785.9+6.479%-
Last 30 away (16)42.243.886.1-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.081.5-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.685.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.144.483.6-5.333%-
vs Similar (13)44.843.087.8+1.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.537.285.8+11.275%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/03
LKL
83.3Avg total
38.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.346.383.6-9.07%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.446.281.6-10.80%-
Last 30 away (16)38.946.485.3-7.412%-
Last 10 (10)38.444.983.3-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.085.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.746.383.1-9.64%-
vs Similar (4)41.046.087.0-5.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.3
53.7%
54.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.6
35.8%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.815.1
80.3%
74.2%15.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.0
49.9%
54.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
35.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
74.2%15.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
LWLLWWLLWL
Prienai
LLWLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#12
+2.9
Net rating
-10.3
108.4
Offensive rating
106.4
105.5
Defensive rating
116.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
49.2%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
21.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.8%
3-point %
32.2%
67.2%
Assist %
46.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 106.4Defence105.5 · 116.7Shooting53.7% · 49.2%3-point %35.8% · 32.2%Ball care21.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.2% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Juventus   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Juventus wins
2
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
18/12/22Prienai v Juventus68-92
27/11/22Juventus v Prienai94-76
16/11/22Juventus v Prienai103-85
19/10/22Prienai v Juventus77-107
07/03/22Prienai v Juventus88-81 OT
18/12/21Prienai v Juventus80-74
25/09/21Juventus v Prienai88-75
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ALietkabelis71-91
05/03/23ARytas88-77
15/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas67-78
13/02/23ANeptunas97-98
06/02/23HGargzdai92-90
30/01/23ASiauliai92-85
22/01/23ALietkabelis73-109
15/01/23HBC Wolves81-86
09/01/23ANevezis74-71
03/01/23HLietkabelis81-85
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes89-92
05/03/23HBC Wolves78-88
14/02/23AJonava85-74
12/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-86
04/02/23HNevezis86-98
28/01/23ALietkabelis86-74
14/01/23ARytas77-98
09/01/23AGargzdai71-74
21/12/22ANeptunas75-80
18/12/22HJuventus68-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayWWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game84.986.783.1
Allowed / game83.182.384.0
Point differential+1.8+4.5-0.9
Avg total168.0169.0167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %9%0%18%
Points / game78.575.281.8
Allowed / game89.191.087.3
Point differential-10.6-15.8-5.5
Avg total167.6166.2169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %14%18%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2218482%86.872.8+14.0
2 Rytas2217577%90.481.5+8.9
3 BC Wolves2215768%85.580.6+5.0
4 Lietkabelis2214864%85.782.7+3.0
5 Juventus2214864%84.983.1+1.8
6 Jonava2213959%81.479.6+1.8
7 Nevezis22101245%83.284.7-1.5
8 Siauliai22101245%84.486.5-2.0
9 Neptunas22101245%78.280.5-2.2
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2251723%78.288.7-10.5
11 Gargzdai2241818%77.585.0-7.5
12 Prienai222209%78.589.1-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus2525201686
Prienai2418212790
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