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Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 95-77
33-20 23-13 21-27 18-17
Position#5
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#7
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game88.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas
13 Feb 2027
JUV v NEP
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
JUV v NEP
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
JUV103
NEP90
29 May 2026
JUV86
NEP83
02 May 2026
JUV102
NEP91
15 Nov 2025
JUV90
NEP97
21 Apr 2025
JUV100
NEP94
12 Dec 2024
JUV82
NEP93
06 Oct 2024
JUV92
NEP99
25 Mar 2024
JUV83
NEP96
23 Nov 2023
JUV92
NEP78
02 Oct 2023
JUV112
NEP102
02 May 2023
JUV85
NEP83
27 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP86
08 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP77
14 Mar 2022
JUV82
NEP79
27 Jan 2022
JUV76
NEP64
03 Mar 2021
JUV98
NEP58
13 Dec 2020
JUV85
NEP84
15 Apr 2020
JUV v NEP
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
JUV80
NEP76
09 Feb 2019
JUV88
NEP89
30 Dec 2018
JUV88
NEP80
24 Mar 2018
JUV81
NEP90
07 Oct 2017
JUV72
NEP73
02 May 2017
JUV57
NEP78
26 Mar 2017
JUV83
NEP98
04 Dec 2016
JUV91
NEP97
26 Mar 2016
JUV104
NEP89
08 Oct 2015
JUV79
NEP76
07 Jun 2015
JUV61
NEP66
01 Jun 2015
JUV76
NEP66
20 Apr 2015
JUV77
NEP71
30 Dec 2014
JUV79
NEP85
21 Dec 2013
JUV76
NEP79
29 Sep 2012
JUV93
NEP88
19 Nov 2011
JUV85
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 76
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
94-91
94
91
+3
88avg 76
A21/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
no box
H25/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
67avg 76
H28/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
101-102 OT
101
102
-1
no box
A02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-95
73
95
-22
69avg 76
H04/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
89avg 76
A07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-90
88
90
-2
74avg 76
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
79avg 76
H28/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-95
68
95
-27
57avg 76
A03/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
27-22
16-14
17-28
18-30
35-22
19-19
22-20
31-23
20-20
22-15
23-15
19-21
17-14
18-24
22-25
15-22
29-22
21-29
22-14
20-26
12-15
16-25
25-29
23-16
26-23
16-25
22-28
28-15
19-19
17-31
24-25
23-21
24-19
22-21
15-24
14-29
14-21
21-28
19-17
173.0Avg total
84.1Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
Season at home (2)86.087.5173.5-1.50%
Season away (1)68.095.0163.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)84.188.9173.0-4.820%
Last 5 (5)80.091.4171.4-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.292.3173.6-11.10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.280.9161.1-0.744%
vs Weaker (9)87.681.0168.6+6.656%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 76
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
93-88
93
88
+5
97avg 76
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 76
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
66avg 76
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 76
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
87-78
87
78
+9
89avg 76
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
53avg 76
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 76
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
60avg 76
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H03/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
12-18
18-28
25-12
30-14
22-22
23-20
18-32
17-22
23-26
14-28
34-16
15-19
23-19
11-10
21-20
11-20
22-31
19-23
19-13
21-17
20-14
12-15
34-32
14-23
13-16
17-33
16-17
18-20
16-25
19-19
18-15
17-18
10-22
13-26
27-27
15-16
18-19
26-17
19-26
161.5Avg total
78.0Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.388.0164.3-11.70%
Season at home (2)81.085.5166.5-4.50%
Season away (1)67.093.0160.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)78.083.5161.5-5.540%
Last 5 (5)75.286.2161.4-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.582.8155.3-10.427%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.877.2154.9+0.650%
vs Weaker (7)83.476.3159.7+7.157%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
JuventusNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A21/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H28/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A03/10
LKL
84.6Avg total
42.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.782.9+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.838.881.6+4.080%-
Last 30 away (15)41.642.584.1-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.884.6+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.439.780.1+0.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.943.886.7-0.956%-
vs Weaker (9)43.938.982.8+5.067%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/10
LKL
75.6Avg total
36.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.878.7+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.977.9+2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.679.5+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.275.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.070.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.240.977.1-4.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.238.980.2+2.350%-
vs Weaker (7)43.635.178.7+8.471%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.8
52.9%
54.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
35.0%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.814.7
74.2%
74.2%14.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.6
52.4%
54.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.5
34.4%
35.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.015.9
66.2%
74.2%15.9
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
LLLLLLLWWL
Neptunas
LLLLWLWLWW
#5
League position
#7
-5.5
Net rating
-10.8
107.6
Offensive rating
104.3
113.1
Defensive rating
115.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
22.0%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.43
31.9%
3-point %
34.4%
62.9%
Assist %
71.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 104.3Defence113.1 · 115.1Shooting51.3% · 52.1%3-point %31.9% · 34.4%Ball care18.0% · 22.0%Off. rebounds32.2% · 32.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Juventus   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Juventus wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
14/03/22Juventus v Neptunas82-79
27/01/22Juventus v Neptunas76-64
06/11/21Neptunas v Juventus79-88
14/04/21Neptunas v Juventus89-91
03/03/21Juventus v Neptunas98-58
14/02/21Neptunas v Juventus69-86
13/12/20Juventus v Neptunas85-84
14/10/20Neptunas v Juventus88-97
08/02/20Neptunas v Juventus115-89
14/12/19Juventus v Neptunas80-76
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/22ABC Wolves68-95
28/09/22HNevezis84-85
25/09/22HRytas88-90
07/05/22ALietkabelis87-92
04/05/22HLietkabelis73-95
02/05/22ALietkabelis101-102 OT
28/04/22HZalgiris Kaunas76-84
25/04/22HNevezis96-73
21/04/22ASiauliai94-91
18/04/22ARytas74-82
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-92 OT
29/09/22ARytas67-93
26/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-79
11/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas60-89
09/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas87-78
07/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas71-87
04/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas70-68
02/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas88-92
28/04/22HRytas93-88
24/04/22APieno Zvaigzdes82-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.086.068.0
Allowed / game90.087.595.0
Point differential-10.0-1.5-27.0
Avg total170.0173.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.381.067.0
Allowed / game88.085.593.0
Point differential-11.7-4.5-26.0
Avg total164.3166.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.765.7+23.0
2 Rytas330100%90.773.7+17.0
3 Lietkabelis330100%88.376.7+11.7
4 Jonava330100%77.066.7+10.3
5 BC Wolves32167%79.374.7+4.7
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes32167%87.789.7-2.0
7 Nevezis31233%75.078.7-3.7
8 Siauliai31233%74.386.7-12.3
9 Gargzdai3030%79.788.7-9.0
10 Juventus3030%80.090.0-10.0
11 Neptunas3030%76.388.0-11.7
12 Prienai3030%68.786.7-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus3323211895
Neptunas2013271777
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