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Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 95-86
19-16 26-26 26-23 24-21
Position#7
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game77.0
Juventus 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas
13 Feb 2027
JUV v NEP
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
JUV v NEP
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
JUV103
NEP90
29 May 2026
JUV86
NEP83
02 May 2026
JUV102
NEP91
15 Nov 2025
JUV90
NEP97
21 Apr 2025
JUV100
NEP94
12 Dec 2024
JUV82
NEP93
06 Oct 2024
JUV92
NEP99
25 Mar 2024
JUV83
NEP96
23 Nov 2023
JUV92
NEP78
02 Oct 2023
JUV112
NEP102
02 May 2023
JUV85
NEP83
27 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP86
08 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP77
14 Mar 2022
JUV82
NEP79
27 Jan 2022
JUV76
NEP64
03 Mar 2021
JUV98
NEP58
13 Dec 2020
JUV85
NEP84
15 Apr 2020
JUV v NEP
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
JUV80
NEP76
09 Feb 2019
JUV88
NEP89
30 Dec 2018
JUV88
NEP80
24 Mar 2018
JUV81
NEP90
07 Oct 2017
JUV72
NEP73
02 May 2017
JUV57
NEP78
26 Mar 2017
JUV83
NEP98
04 Dec 2016
JUV91
NEP97
26 Mar 2016
JUV104
NEP89
08 Oct 2015
JUV79
NEP76
07 Jun 2015
JUV61
NEP66
01 Jun 2015
JUV76
NEP66
20 Apr 2015
JUV77
NEP71
30 Dec 2014
JUV79
NEP85
21 Dec 2013
JUV76
NEP79
29 Sep 2012
JUV93
NEP88
19 Nov 2011
JUV85
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
101-102 OT
101
102
-1
no box
A02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-95
73
95
-22
69avg 75
H04/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
89avg 75
A07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-90
88
90
-2
74avg 75
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
79avg 75
H28/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-95
68
95
-27
57avg 75
A03/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
90avg 75
H08/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 75
H15/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 75
A22/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
29-22
21-29
22-14
20-26
12-15
16-25
25-29
23-16
26-23
16-25
22-28
28-15
19-19
17-31
24-25
23-21
24-19
22-21
15-24
14-29
14-21
21-28
19-17
33-20
23-13
21-27
18-17
22-13
18-28
22-27
25-16
26-19
28-10
30-27
23-21
22-19
23-21
22-26
17-16
175.3Avg total
87.4Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)107.077.0184.0+30.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)107.077.0184.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.487.9175.3-0.540%
Last 5 (5)88.283.0171.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.691.5173.2-9.90%
vs Similar (11)82.380.5162.7+1.864%
vs Weaker (8)88.981.0169.9+7.950%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 75
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
87-78
87
78
+9
89avg 75
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
53avg 75
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 75
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
60avg 75
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 75
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H24/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
22-31
19-23
19-13
21-17
20-14
12-15
34-32
14-23
13-16
17-33
16-17
18-20
16-25
19-19
18-15
17-18
10-22
13-26
27-27
15-16
18-19
26-17
19-26
20-33
13-23
27-21
17-18
19-22
21-16
18-20
22-22
25-18
26-27
16-18
18-18
20-16
27-18
18-17
29-18
165.7Avg total
80.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.285.5165.7-5.340%
Last 5 (5)89.285.8175.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.582.8155.3-10.427%
vs Similar (11)76.580.9157.5-4.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.177.5165.6+10.675%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
JuventusNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A03/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H08/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A22/10
LKL
83.3Avg total
44.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.383.1+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.238.681.8+4.675%-
Last 30 away (14)42.442.284.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.183.3+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.683.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.839.979.7-0.164%-
vs Similar (11)44.241.986.1+2.364%-
vs Weaker (8)45.138.683.8+6.562%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/10
LKL
78.0Avg total
36.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.779.2-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.679.8+2.544%-
Last 30 away (14)37.740.978.6-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.478.0-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.682.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.240.977.1-4.718%-
vs Similar (11)39.540.880.3-1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.236.580.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.1
54.5%
55.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.9
32.7%
34.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.5%
74.2%16.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.4
56.4%
55.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.3
34.4%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.915.3
66.8%
74.2%15.3
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WWWWLLLLLL
Neptunas
WWWLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#4
-1.5
Net rating
-8.3
109.9
Offensive rating
106.8
111.4
Defensive rating
115.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.4%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.4%
Turnover %
22.3%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.7%
3-point %
34.4%
61.0%
Assist %
67.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 106.8Defence111.4 · 115.1Shooting52.7% · 54.4%3-point %32.7% · 34.4%Ball care19.4% · 22.3%Off. rebounds34.5% · 32.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Juventus   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Juventus wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
08/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-77
14/03/22Juventus v Neptunas82-79
27/01/22Juventus v Neptunas76-64
06/11/21Neptunas v Juventus79-88
14/04/21Neptunas v Juventus89-91
03/03/21Juventus v Neptunas98-58
14/02/21Neptunas v Juventus69-86
13/12/20Juventus v Neptunas85-84
14/10/20Neptunas v Juventus88-97
08/02/20Neptunas v Juventus115-89
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/22AJonava84-82
19/10/22APrienai107-77
15/10/22HLietkabelis87-84
08/10/22HNeptunas95-77
03/10/22ABC Wolves68-95
28/09/22HNevezis84-85
25/09/22HRytas88-90
07/05/22ALietkabelis87-92
04/05/22HLietkabelis73-95
02/05/22ALietkabelis101-102 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/22HGargzdai94-69
20/10/22HBC Wolves85-81
17/10/22APrienai99-92 OT
08/10/22AJuventus77-95
03/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-92 OT
29/09/22ARytas67-93
26/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-79
11/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas60-89
09/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas87-78
07/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas71-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game107.0-107.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+30.0-+30.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus110100%107.077.0+30.0
2 Jonava220100%81.575.0+6.5
3 Siauliai110100%79.073.0+6.0
4 Neptunas110100%85.081.0+4.0
5 BC Wolves21150%88.077.5+10.5
6 Nevezis1010%80.082.0-2.0
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes2020%71.580.0-8.5
8 Prienai2020%73.5101.0-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus1926262495
Neptunas1626232186
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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